MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on May 21, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

Cleveland Guardians logo CLE @ Detroit Tigers logo DET Thu, May 21 • 1:10 PM ET
2 Expert Picks 9 Computer Picks
Total
Cleveland Guardians logo Detroit Tigers logo u7.5 (-125)
Best Odds
Pick made: 1 hours ago
Chris Faria image
Chris Faria
Betting Analyst

Tigers starter Casey Mize has a stingy 2.43 ERA and ranks in the 85th percentile in xBA (.211).

Detroit can’t score, Mize won’t give up a ton, and both teams have bullpens with a sub-4.00 ERA. 

Moneyline
Cleveland Guardians logo CLE (+100)
Best Odds
Pick made: 1 hours ago
Chris Faria image
Chris Faria
Betting Analyst

The Tigers are missing three key players (Torres, Baez, Carpenter) and have fallen off a cliff, going 2-13 over their last 15 while scoring just 2.47 runs per game over that span.

The Guardians are hot with eight wins in their last nine and rank second in runs as well as third in OBP among all teams this month.

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Pittsburgh Pirates logo PIT @ St. Louis Cardinals logo STL Thu, May 21 • 1:15 PM ET
7 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Brandon Lowe logo
Brandon Lowe o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 1.55
Best Odds
Pick made: 13 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Lowe in the 93rd percentile when assessing his home run ability.. Brandon Lowe is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. Busch Stadium has the 8th-shortest fences among all major league parks.. This matchup is expected to have the 12th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Considering Dustin May's large platoon split, Brandon Lowe will have a tremendous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in today's matchup.
Total RBIs
Oneil Cruz logo
Oneil Cruz o0.5 Total RBIs (+164)
Projection 0.67
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Oneil Cruz projects as the 13th-best home run batter in the majors, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Oneil Cruz is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today.. Busch Stadium has the 8th-shortest fences among all major league parks.. This matchup is expected to have the 12th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Considering Dustin May's large platoon split, Oneil Cruz will have a gigantic advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in today's matchup.
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New York Mets logo NYM @ Washington Nationals logo WAS Thu, May 21 • 4:05 PM ET
3 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Keibert Ruiz logo
Keibert Ruiz u0.5 Total Hits (+125)
Projection 0.68
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Keibert Ruiz in the 1st percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.. Keibert Ruiz is projected to hit 9th on the lineup card in this game.. 28% of the time that Keibert Ruiz has started against a left-handed starter this year, he has been replaced by a pinch-hitter.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Nationals Park as the worst ballpark in the game for right-handed batting average.. Nationals Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output.
Total RBIs
Juan Soto logo
Juan Soto o0.5 Total RBIs (+140)
Projection 0.68
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Juan Soto ranks as the 3rd-best batter in the majors.. Juan Soto is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. Nationals Park has the 4th-shallowest right field fences in the league.. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game.. Batting from the opposite that Cade Cavalli throws from, Juan Soto will have an advantage in today's game.
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Atlanta Braves logo ATL @ Miami Marlins logo MIA Thu, May 21 • 6:40 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 9 Computer Picks
Moneyline
Atlanta Braves logo ATL (-140)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 hours ago
Aisha Quiñones image
Aisha Quiñones
Senior Publishing Editor

Spencer Strider has consistently handled the Miami Marlins, going 2-2 with a 2.38 ERA and 25 strikeouts over five career appearances. With the Atlanta Braves well ahead of their NL East rival, don’t expect him to ease up now.

Total Hits
Ozzie Albies logo
Ozzie Albies u0.5 Total Hits (+170)
Projection 0.88
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ozzie Albies in the 6th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.. Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest altitudes in the majors, which tends to lead to worse offense.. The switch-hitting Ozzie Albies will bat from his worse side (0) today against Sandy Alcantara. Ozzie Albies pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (39.5% — 96th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 4th-deepest RF fences today.. Out of all the teams today, the 5th-strongest infield defense belongs to the Miami Marlins.
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Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR @ New York Yankees logo NYY Thu, May 21 • 7:05 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
Moneyline
New York Yankees logo NYY (-160)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 hours ago
Aisha Quiñones image
Aisha Quiñones
Senior Publishing Editor

Carlos Rodón has some redemption on his mind after a shaky, costly return in the Subway Series for the New York Yankees. As they wrap up their current series against an AL East rival, he’ll need to capitalize on a Toronto Blue Jays lineup that’s hitting just .225 against left-handers this season. Rodón has a 2-3 record with an ERA of 4.72 and 54 strikeouts in 9 appearances against the Blue Jays in his career, but this Toronto team looks like a shell of themselves to start the season. Take the home team to best the Jays as Rodón shakes off the rust and slowly, but surely finds his rhythm again on the mound.

Total Hits
Lenyn Sosa logo
Lenyn Sosa u0.5 Total Hits (+145)
Projection 0.73
Best Odds
Pick made: 11 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Yankee Stadium as the worst venue in MLB for righty BABIP.. Built just 11 feet above sea level, Yankee Stadium has one of the lowest elevations in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense.. The weather report expects the 6th-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. The New York Yankees infield defense grades out as the 3rd-strongest out of every team today.. Lenyn Sosa will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game.
View 11 Picks
Athletics Athletics logo ATH @ Los Angeles Angels logo LAA Thu, May 21 • 9:38 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 7 Computer Picks
Moneyline
Athletics Athletics logo ATH (-104)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 hours ago
Aisha Quiñones image
Aisha Quiñones
Senior Publishing Editor

José Soriano has struggled mightily against the Athletics, going 1-3 with a 9.00 ERA and 33 strikeouts in eight career outings — numbers that should have the AL West-leading A’s feeling confident heading into Thursday’s finale. It also sets the stage for Shea Langeliers, who’s been on fire with a .328 average, hitting .326 against right-handers and already launching 12 home runs this season. Expect Soriano to run into trouble again, with Langeliers likely playing a major role.

Total Bases
Mike Trout logo
Mike Trout o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.74
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Mike Trout ranks as the 6th-best hitter in baseball.. Mike Trout is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today.. In MLB, Angel Stadium has the lowest average fence height.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast projects for the 2nd-most favorable hitting conditions of the day.. The Athletics outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-weakest among all the teams in action today.
View 8 Picks
Colorado Rockies logo COL @ Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ Thu, May 21 • 9:40 PM ET
5 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Gabriel Moreno logo
Gabriel Moreno o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 1.77
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Moreno in the 89th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.. Gabriel Moreno is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 50% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 3rd-best field in the game for righty batting average.. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude among all stadiums, which generally leads to higher offensive output.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the hottest temperature of the day at 82°.
Total Bases
Ketel Marte logo
Ketel Marte o1.5 Total Bases (-110)
Projection 2.08
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Ketel Marte projects as the 17th-best batter in the majors, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Ketel Marte is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game.. The #3 field in MLB for boosting batting average to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude among all stadiums, which generally leads to higher offensive output.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the hottest temperature of the day at 82°.
View 5 Picks

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