Atlanta @ Boston Picks & Props

Jarren Duran has gone under 1.5 in 10 of his last 10 games.

The #2 field in the majors for boosting batting average to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Among all parks, Fenway Park's LF fences are the shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 4th-best of the day for bats. Among all the teams playing today, the worst infield defense is that of the Atlanta Braves. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Yu Chang will hold that advantage today.

Rafael Devers projects as the 16th-best batter in MLB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Rafael Devers is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for bats. Rafael Devers will hold the platoon advantage against Spencer Strider in today's matchup. The Atlanta Braves don't have any same-handed RPs in their bullpen, so Rafael Devers is guaranteed to hold the platoon advantage against every reliever the entire game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Verdugo in the 96th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for bats. Alex Verdugo will have the handedness advantage over Spencer Strider today. The Atlanta Braves don't have any same-handed relievers in their bullpen, so Alex Verdugo is guaranteed to never face a bullpen mismatch the entire game. Alex Verdugo hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 91st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Wong in the 78th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for bats. Connor Wong pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.4% — 86th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Among all the teams playing today, the worst infield defense is that of the Atlanta Braves. Connor Wong will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

When it comes to his batting average skill, Masataka Yoshida is projected as the 16th-best batter in the majors by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Masataka Yoshida is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for bats. Masataka Yoshida will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Spencer Strider in today's matchup. The Atlanta Braves don't have any same-handed relief pitchers in their bullpen, so Masataka Yoshida is guaranteed to never face a bullpen mismatch all game.

The switch-hitting Ozzie Albies will lose the platoon advantage while batting from his weak side (0) today against Brayan Bello Playing on the road generally lowers hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Ozzie Albies in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sean Murphy in the 96th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Sean Murphy is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today's game. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for bats. Sean Murphy pulls a lot of his flyballs (34% — 83rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for bats. Triston Casas will have the handedness advantage against Spencer Strider in today's matchup. The Atlanta Braves don't have any same-handed RPs in their bullpen, so Triston Casas is guaranteed to never face a bullpen mismatch all game. Triston Casas pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.9% — 92nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today. Among all the teams playing today, the worst infield defense is that of the Atlanta Braves.

Brayan Bello will have the handedness advantage over Austin Riley today. Playing on the road generally reduces hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Austin Riley in today's game.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Justin Turner ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Justin Turner is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for bats. Justin Turner hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 82nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today. Among all the teams playing today, the worst infield defense is that of the Atlanta Braves.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 2nd-best field in MLB for LHB batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 4th-best of the day for bats. Eddie Rosario will hold the platoon advantage over Brayan Bello in today's game. Eddie Rosario pulls many of his flyballs (34.6% — 86th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game. The Barrel% of Eddie Rosario has significantly improved, with an increase from 5.5% last year to 10.7% this year.

Matt Olson will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup.

Adam Duvall is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for bats. Adam Duvall pulls many of his flyballs (40.3% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's shallowest LF fences today. Among all the teams playing today, the worst infield defense is that of the Atlanta Braves. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Adam Duvall will hold that advantage in today's game.

The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for bats. Orlando Arcia hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 79th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Marcell Ozuna ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The #2 field in the majors for boosting batting average to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Among all parks, Fenway Park's LF fences are the shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 4th-best of the day for bats. Marcell Ozuna has made notable gains with his Barrel% lately, improving his 14.3% seasonal rate to 20% over the past week.

Michael Harris II has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Travis d'Arnaud has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Christian Arroyo has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Ronald Acuna Jr. has gone over 1.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.