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What Is An MLB Computer Pick?
MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.
MLB Picks
Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Oct. 12, 2026.
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Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.11 |
-135 
|
o6.5 -130 
|
-1.5 +138 
|
|
3.98 |
+120 
|
u7.0 -111
|
+1.5 -155
|
LA Dodgers
- Under is 3-0-2 in Dodgers last 5 vs. National League Central.
- Dodgers are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 6-0-2 in Dodgers last 8 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 6-0 in Yamamotos last 6 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Milwaukee
- Brewers are 10-0 in Hendersons last 10 starts as a home favorite.
- Brewers are 6-0 in Hendersons last 6 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Brewers are 7-0 in Hendersons last 7 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Brewers are 7-0 in Hendersons last 7 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Top Projection
Shohei Ohtani o1.5 Total Bases (+145)
o1.5+145
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.18 |
+142 
|
o6.5 -120
|
+1.5 -150
|
|
4.16 |
-164
|
u6.5 +105 
|
-1.5 +138 
|
Cleveland
- Over is 5-0 in Griffins last 5 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Guardians are 8-1 in their last 9 games as a road favorite.
- Guardians are 5-1 in their last 6 road games.
- Under is 5-1 in Guardians last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
Tampa Bay
- Rays are 6-0 in Rasmussens last 6 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Rays are 5-0 in Rasmussens last 5 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Rays are 8-0 in Rasmussens last 8 starts with 8 or more days of rest.
- Rays are 5-0 in Rasmussens last 5 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Top Projection
Jo Adell o1.5 Total Bases (+185)
o1.5+190
LAD
@
MIL
Mon, Oct 12 • 5:00 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Shohei Ohtani o0.5 Total Home Runs (+320)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
Ohtani hitting a home run is in play to 27%. He's still looking for his first homer of the postseason despite a respectable 41.7% hard-hit rate, and it’s a when and not if Ohtani leaves the yard during this series for me after he hit eight homers during the 2025 playoffs. I also value his .458 expected slugging percentage against Milwaukee starter Logan Henderson across six plate appearances.
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Freddie Freeman o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+110)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
I'd recommend this Over to 48% because Freeman is turning in another solid postseason with five hits, three runs and two RBI across five games while posting a team-high .522 xwOBA. His spot in the heart of the Los Angeles lineup is also a boon for scoring and driving in runs, and he’s up to an elite .416 xwOBA across his past 35 postseason games.
CLE
@
TB
Mon, Oct 12 • 8:00 PM ET
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Jonathan Aranda o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+108)
Colby Marchio
Contributor
Jonathan Aranda has been seeing the ball exceptionally well this postseason, making some of the best quality contact in Tampa Bay’s lineup. He covers nearly 90% of Griffin’s pitch mix and has cleared this prop more than 64% of the time in favorable spots. Anything below 50% offers excellent value.
Total Home Runs
Junior Caminero o0.5 Total Home Runs (+475)
Colby Marchio
Contributor
Junior Caminero is the lone elite-rated hitter on Batters-Box's current-season ratings, and he's been crushing left-handed pitching. With a 45.3% hard-hit rate at home against southpaws and strong quality-of-contact numbers this postseason, the Rays star has the power to change this game with one swing.
Our experts and prediction models are hard at work analyzing the data. Check back shortly for today's picks, or explore our Computer Picks for inspiration.
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How To Use MLB Computer Picks
You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.
This page also tees up access to deeper betting trends. For example, if a club's run line is favored, you can check their ATS trends, potentially opening up some quality underdog bets.
If you're ready to get started with MLB betting, visit our dedicated page highlighting the best MLB betting sites.
Moneyline
This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.
It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.
Run line
The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.
The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.
Totals (Over/Under)
Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.
Free Computer Picks by Odds Shark
More MLB Picks & Betting Tools
NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks
A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.
First Five Innings MLB Picks
The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.
MLB Picks And Parlays
If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.
But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.
If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.
MLB Player Props
Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?
You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.
MLB Futures Picks
Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.
MLB Free Picks FAQs
When do we release our MLB picks?
Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.
What kinds of MLB picks do we make?
Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.
