MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on April 10, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

PIT @

CHC Fri, Apr 10 • 2:20 PM ET

1 Computer Pick

Total Bases

Oneil Cruz o0.5 Total Bases (-105)

Projection 1.09

Best Odds

o0.5 -105

Pick made: 18 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +221

o0.5 -105

o1.5 +195

o0.5 -120

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Oneil Cruz as MLB's 15th-best home run hitter.. Oneil Cruz is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game.. Batters such as Oneil Cruz with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Shota Imanaga who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.. Compared to last season, Oneil Cruz has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 14.9% to 26.9% this season.. Over the last 14 days, Oneil Cruz has averaged an impressive 102.7-mph exit velocity on his flyballs, an advanced indicator of home run potential.

-105 at bet365

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MIA @

DET Fri, Apr 10 • 6:40 PM ET

1 Computer Pick

Total Bases

Spencer Torkelson o0.5 Total Bases (-140)

Projection 1.41

Best Odds

o0.5 -134

Pick made: 18 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +173

o0.5 -135

o1.5 +165

o0.5 -140

o0.5 -134

o0.5 -140

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Torkelson in the 91st percentile when estimating his home run ability.. Spencer Torkelson is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Comerica Park as the 10th-best park in baseball for run-scoring.. In Major League Baseball, Comerica Park has the 3rd-lowest average fence height.. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest altitude in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.

-134 at Caesars

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AZ @

PHI Fri, Apr 10 • 6:40 PM ET

2 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Adolis Garcia u1.5 Total Bases (-173)

Projection 0.75

Best Odds

u1.5 -173

Pick made: 12 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

u1.5 -175

u1.5 -173

Adolis Garcia is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card in today's game.. The #7 ballpark in the majors for suppressing offensive stats to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park.. Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest altitudes in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to worse offense.. Dry weather has a small but significant link with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-driest conditions of all games today at 38%.. Batting from the same side that Mike Soroka throws from, Adolis Garcia will be in a tough position in today's game.

-173 at Caesars

Total Bases

Kyle Schwarber o0.5 Total Bases (-170)

Projection 1.69

Best Odds

o0.5 -170

Pick made: 24 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +120

o0.5 -190

o1.5 +100

o1.5 +112

o0.5 -170

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Kyle Schwarber as Major League Baseball's 4th-best home run batter.. Kyle Schwarber is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today.. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences in MLB — generally good for homers.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this contest, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters.. Kyle Schwarber will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Mike Soroka in today's game.

-170 at Fanatics Sportsbook

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LAA @

CIN Fri, Apr 10 • 6:45 PM ET

1 Computer Pick

Total Home Runs

Matt McLain o0.5 Total Home Runs (+870)

Projection 0.15

Best Odds

o0.5 +920

Pick made: 42 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +870

o0.5 +550

o0.5 +920

o0.5 +850

o0.5 +900

Matt McLain is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. Great American Ball Park projects as the #1 stadium in the majors for RHB home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. This contest is forecasted to have the 11th-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.8-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for bats.. Matt McLain has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.5%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of baseball's 8th-shallowest RF fences today.

+920 at FanDuel

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MIN @

TOR Fri, Apr 10 • 7:07 PM ET

3 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Matt Wallner o0.5 Total Bases (-115)

Projection 1.39

Best Odds

o0.5 -115

Pick made: 36 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +193

o0.5 -155

o1.5 +175

o0.5 -115

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Matt Wallner as Major League Baseball's 10th-best home run batter.. Rogers Centre profiles as the #3 venue in Major League Baseball for left-handed home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Rogers Centre has the 10th-shallowest CF dimensions in Major League Baseball.. The Rogers Centre roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 10° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense.. Matt Wallner has big-time power (99th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's never a guarantee (34.4% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Patrick Corbin struggles to strike batters out (3rd percentile K%) — great news for Wallner.

-115 at Fanatics Sportsbook

Total Home Runs

Kazuma Okamoto o0.5 Total Home Runs (+568)

Projection 0.23

Best Odds

o0.5 +570

Pick made: 4 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +568

o0.5 +450

o0.5 +570

o0.5 +500

o0.5 +560

When assessing his home run talent, Kazuma Okamoto ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kazuma Okamoto is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Rogers Centre as the 3rd-best ballpark in the league for RHB home runs.. Rogers Centre has the 10th-shallowest CF dimensions in Major League Baseball.. The Rogers Centre roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 10° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense.

+570 at FanDuel

View 3 Picks

NYY @

TB Fri, Apr 10 • 7:10 PM ET

1 Expert Pick 3 Computer Picks

Moneyline

NYY (-136)

Best Odds

-142

Pick made: 14 hours ago

-149

-150

-142

-155

-145

-150

Tampa Bay owns just a .503 lifetime OPS against Max Fried, and with the Yankees left-hander off to a 2–0 start with a 1.35 ERA, the Bronx Bombers will one-up their AL East counterparts at the Trop.

Total Bases

Junior Caminero o0.5 Total Bases (-185)

Projection 1.75

Best Odds

o0.5 -185

Pick made: 4 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +125

o0.5 -200

o1.5 +125

o1.5 +127

o0.5 -185

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Junior Caminero in the 96th percentile when it comes to his home run skill.. Junior Caminero is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today's game.. The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 10° hotter than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for offense.. Junior Caminero pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.6% — 95th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. The New York Yankees outfield defense projects as the 5th-weakest out of every team on the slate today.

-185 at Fanatics Sportsbook

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SF @

BAL Fri, Apr 10 • 7:15 PM ET

3 Computer Picks

Total Hits

Pete Alonso u0.5 Total Hits (+202)

Projection 0.83

Best Odds

u0.5 +202

Pick made: 7 hours ago

EV Model Rating

u0.5 +175

u0.5 +202

u0.5 +169

u0.5 +165

Hitting from the same side that Landen Roupp throws from, Pete Alonso will be in a tough position today.

+202 at bet365

Total RBIs

Willy Adames o0.5 Total RBIs (+230)

Projection 0.51

Best Odds

o0.5 +230

Pick made: 4 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +200

o0.5 +230

o0.5 +190

o0.5 +123

o0.5 +185

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willy Adames in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his home run skill.. Willy Adames is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this game.. Willy Adames's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, going from 18.1% to 24.1%.. In the last 14 days, Willy Adames has been successful in optimizing the launch angle of his hardest hit balls to hit for power, putting up a 23° angle.. In terms of power, Willy Adames has performed in the 85th percentile, having hit 27.9 home runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season.

+230 at bet365

View 3 Picks

CLE @

ATL Fri, Apr 10 • 7:15 PM ET

8 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Kyle Manzardo o0.5 Total Bases (-140)

Projection 1.49

Best Odds

o0.5 -140

Pick made: 1 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +148

o0.5 -140

o1.5 +145

o1.5 +140

o0.5 -165

Kyle Manzardo is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game.. The #9 ballpark in the league for boosting base hits to lefties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park.. Truist Park has the 5th-shallowest CF fences in the majors.. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which often leads to better offense.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-best for hitting on the schedule today.

-140 at bet365

Total Bases

Rhys Hoskins o0.5 Total Bases (-145)

Projection 1.45

Best Odds

o0.5 -136

Pick made: 8 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +170

o0.5 -150

o1.5 +160

o0.5 -136

o0.5 -145

Rhys Hoskins is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Truist Park as the 9th-best venue in the game for righty base hits.. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which often leads to better offense.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-best for hitting on the schedule today.. Extreme groundball bats like Rhys Hoskins tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Bryce Elder.

-136 at Caesars

View 8 Picks

WAS @

MIL Fri, Apr 10 • 7:40 PM ET

1 Expert Pick 3 Computer Picks

Spread

MIL -1.5 (+116)

Best Odds

-1.5 +110

Pick made: 14 hours ago

-1.5 +109

-1.5 +110

-1.5 +102

-1.5 +110

-1.5 +105

Milwaukee ranks Top 5 in runs per game and OPS, and the Brewers are set to take advantage of Nationals right-hander Jake Irvin, whom they have slashed .351/.439/.625 against. The home team should roll on Friday.

Total Bases

James Wood o0.5 Total Bases (-165)

Projection 1.72

Best Odds

o0.5 -165

Pick made: 5 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 -165

o1.5 +120

o0.5 -190

When estimating his BABIP ability, James Wood is projected as the best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. James Wood is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks American Family Field as the 9th-best field in the majors for LHB home runs.. Among all parks, American Family Field's CF dimensions are the 8th-shallowest.. Among all major league parks, American Family Field has the 6th-lowest average fence height.

-165 at bet365

View 4 Picks

CHW @

KC Fri, Apr 10 • 7:40 PM ET

1 Computer Pick

Total Hits

Carter Jensen u0.5 Total Hits (+190)

Projection 0.78

Best Odds

u0.5 +190

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

u0.5 +190

u0.5 +150

As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 4th-most favorable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 10.3-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for mound aces.. Carter Jensen pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.8% — 82nd percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's deepest RF fences today.. The Chicago White Sox infield defense profiles as the 5th-best out of every team on the slate today.. Carter Jensen's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off recently; his 93.4-mph seasonal mark has fallen to 84.9-mph over the past 7 days.

+190 at DraftKings

View Pick

BOS @

STL Fri, Apr 10 • 8:15 PM ET

1 Computer Pick

Outs Recorded

Dustin May o15.5 Outs Recorded (+140)

Projection 16.5

Best Odds

o14.5 -190

Pick made: 6 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o15.5 +140

o14.5 -190

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Pedro Pages (the Cardinals's expected catcher today) grades out as a good pitch framer.. The #1 ballpark in the league for suppressing home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Busch Stadium.. In Major League Baseball, Busch Stadium's right field dimensions are the 2nd-deepest.. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-most favorable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup.. Home field advantage typically boosts pitcher metrics across the board, and Dustin May will hold that advantage today.

-190 at Fanatics Sportsbook

View Pick

COL @

SD Fri, Apr 10 • 9:40 PM ET

5 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Brenton Doyle o0.5 Total Bases (-120)

Projection 1.28

Best Odds

o0.5 -120

Pick made: 30 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +244

o1.5 +210

o0.5 -135

o0.5 -120

When estimating his home run ability, Brenton Doyle ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Petco Park has the 5th-shortest average fence height among all stadiums.. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy link with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast calls for the 3rd-most humid conditions of all games today at 76%.. Brenton Doyle has a ton of pop (76th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's never a sure thing (29.3% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Walker Buehler doesn't generate many whiffs (17th percentile K%) — great news for Doyle.. Brenton Doyle hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 90th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

-120 at Fanatics Sportsbook

Strikeouts Thrown

Walker Buehler o4.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+125)

Projection 5.09

Best Odds

o4.5 +128

Pick made: 1 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o4.5 +128

o4.5 +125

o4.5 +122

o4.5 -125

o4.5 +121

o4.5 +120

The Colorado Rockies have 3 hitters in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Brenton Doyle, Hunter Goodman, Edouard Julien).. Petco Park profiles as the #5 venue in baseball for strikeouts, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Petco Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which generally leads to worse offense.. Home field advantage generally improves pitcher metrics across the board, and Walker Buehler will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. Walker Buehler's higher utilization percentage of his secondary pitches this season (80.5% vs. 58.8% last year) should work in his favor since they are typically much more effective than fastballs.

+128 at DraftKings

View 5 Picks

HOU @

SEA Fri, Apr 10 • 9:40 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Luke Raley o0.5 Total Bases (+120)

Projection 1.3

Best Odds

o0.5 +120

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +192

o0.5 +120

o1.5 +190

o0.5 -120

o0.5 -115

When it comes to his home run ability, Luke Raley ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. In Major League Baseball, T-Mobile Park has the 10th-lowest average fence height.. T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-smallest outfield in MLB — generally good for long-balls.. The weather forecast predicts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Batting from the opposite that Tatsuya Imai throws from, Luke Raley will have the upper hand today.

+120 at bet365

Total Bases

Cole Young o0.5 Total Bases (-105)

Projection 1.2

Best Odds

o0.5 -105

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +246

o0.5 -105

o1.5 +230

o0.5 -115

o0.5 -110

In Major League Baseball, T-Mobile Park has the 10th-lowest average fence height.. The weather forecast predicts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Batting from the opposite that Tatsuya Imai throws from, Cole Young will have an advantage in today's matchup.. Cole Young pulls many of his flyballs (36% — 87th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. Cole Young will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

-105 at bet365

View 10 Picks

$Texas Rangers logo$ TEX @

LAD Fri, Apr 10 • 10:10 PM ET

4 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Evan Carter o0.5 Total Bases (-105)

Projection 1.17

Best Odds

o0.5 -105

Pick made: 4 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +238

o0.5 -105

o1.5 +190

o0.5 -125

o0.5 -115

The #2 venue in MLB for boosting home runs to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Dodger Stadium.. In MLB, Dodger Stadium has the lowest average fence height.. Humid weather has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the 2nd-most humid conditions on the slate at 76%.. Evan Carter will have the handedness advantage against Tyler Glasnow today.. Evan Carter hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39% — 93rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 9th-shallowest CF fences today.

-105 at bet365

Total Bases

Josh Smith o0.5 Total Bases (+110)

Projection 1

Best Odds

o0.5 +110

Pick made: 11 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +277

o0.5 +110

o1.5 +230

o0.5 +100

o0.5 -105

The #2 venue in MLB for boosting home runs to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Dodger Stadium.. The 9th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in the majors are found in Dodger Stadium.. In MLB, Dodger Stadium has the lowest average fence height.. Humid weather has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the 2nd-most humid conditions on the slate at 76%.. Hitting from the opposite that Tyler Glasnow throws from, Josh Smith will have the upper hand in today's matchup.

+110 at bet365

View 4 Picks

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