MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on June 15, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

Miami Marlins logo MIA @ Philadelphia Phillies logo PHI Mon, Jun 15 • 6:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Jakob Marsee logo
Jakob Marsee o1.5 Total Bases (+250)
Projection 1.26
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Citizens Bank Park as the 10th-best ballpark in the league for left-handed home runs.. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in the majors — generally good for homers.. The weather report expects the 4th-best hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Considering Zack Wheeler's large platoon split, Jakob Marsee will have a massive advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish today.
Total Bases
Kyle Stowers logo
Kyle Stowers o1.5 Total Bases (+165)
Projection 1.67
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Stowers in the 91st percentile when assessing his home run ability.. Kyle Stowers is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Citizens Bank Park as the 10th-best ballpark in the league for left-handed home runs.. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in the majors — generally good for homers.. The weather report expects the 4th-best hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.
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Kansas City Royals logo KC @ Washington Nationals logo WAS Mon, Jun 15 • 6:45 PM ET
3 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Kansas City Royals logo Washington Nationals logo o9.5 (+115)
Best Odds
Pick made: 1 hours ago
Quinn Allen image
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

The Royals are averaging 5.15 runs per game over the last two weeks, while both bullpens have struggled. Washington's relief corps owns a 5.23 FIP and 1.57 HR/9 over the last week, and Kansas City's bullpen has surrendered 1.65 HR/9 across its last 27.1 innings.

Moneyline
Washington Nationals logo WAS (-130)
Best Odds
Pick made: 1 hours ago
Quinn Allen image
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

Washington draws a favorable matchup against Mitch Spence, who was recalled from Triple-A after posting an ERA north of six and allowing 9.91 hits per nine innings in Omaha. The Nationals are batting .280 with a 41.5% hard-hit rate and .455 xSLG over the last week.

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New York Mets logo NYM @ Cincinnati Reds logo CIN Mon, Jun 15 • 7:10 PM ET
3 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
New York Mets logo Cincinnati Reds logo u8.5 (-120)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

Cincy righty Chase Burns has been exceptional this season with a 2.95 xERA and 3.21 xFIP across 13 starts, and the Mets also rank 28th in wOBA against right-handed pitchers. So, with the Reds ranking 26th in overall wOBA with just 3.1 runs per game since Elly De La Cruz (hamstring) was sidelined June 1, this game has Under written all over it.

Moneyline
Cincinnati Reds logo CIN (-140)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

There’s a sizable pitching edge for the Reds, with Chase Burns establishing himself as an elite righty and sporting a tidy 2.95 xERA and 3.21 xFIP across 13 starts. He’s held opposing hitters to the fifth-lowest squared up swing rate among qualified starting pitchers, and the Mets rank 28th in wOBA against righties for the season. Of course, New York is sending Tobias Myers to the bump for just his third start of the year after primarily working as a reliever, so the Mets are going to be relying on a bullpen that’s already been tasked with 58.1 innings over the past six days.

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San Diego Padres logo SD @ St. Louis Cardinals logo STL Mon, Jun 15 • 7:45 PM ET
2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
San Diego Padres logo St. Louis Cardinals logo u8.5 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: 18 minutes ago
Quinn Allen image
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

San Diego's offense has struggled away from home, batting just .224 with an 89 wRC+ on the road. The Padres' bullpen has also been excellent lately, posting a 2.94 FIP, 0.73 HR/9, and 50% ground-ball rate, while Dustin May is capable of providing length for St. Louis.

Moneyline
St. Louis Cardinals logo STL (-140)
Best Odds
Pick made: 19 minutes ago
Quinn Allen image
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

Lucas Giolito's command issues remain a major concern, as he's walking 7.84 hitters per nine innings this season and 6.75 per nine across his last two starts. Meanwhile, St. Louis owns a 132 wRC+ and .369 wOBA recently, while Dustin May has posted a stellar 1.94 FIP over his last four outings.

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Colorado Rockies logo COL @ Chicago Cubs logo CHC Mon, Jun 15 • 8:05 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
2 LEG PARLAY
Shota Imanaga profile picture
Shota Imanaga o5.5 Hits Allowed
Hits Allowed
Michael Lorenzen profile picture
Michael Lorenzen o5.5 Hits Allowed
Hits Allowed
Bet now
Pick made: an hour ago
Colby Marchio image
Colby Marchio
Contributor

 The bats should stay hot tonight as the Rockies and Cubs meet at Wrigley Field. Cubs left-hander Shota Imanaga enters with concerning Batters-Box metrics, carrying poor ratings in matchup ISO, hard contact rate, and ground ball rate. In favorable matchups, he has allowed 5+ hits in 85% of starts. On the other side, Rockies right-hander Michael Lorenzen owns the worst pitcher rating on the slate and has struggled significantly away from home, posting a 6.68 ERA while allowing plenty of hard contact. 

Total Bases
Hunter Goodman logo
Hunter Goodman o1.5 Total Bases (+115)
Projection 1.9
Best Odds
Pick made: 17 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Hunter Goodman as the league's 18th-best home run hitter.. Hunter Goodman is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today's game.. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 2nd-strongest of the day for bats.. Hunter Goodman will have the handedness advantage against Shota Imanaga today.
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Minnesota Twins logo MIN @ Texas Rangers logo TEX Mon, Jun 15 • 8:05 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Byron Buxton logo
Byron Buxton o1.5 Total Bases (+124)
Projection 1.83
Best Odds
Pick made: 17 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Byron Buxton as the league's 4th-best home run hitter.. Byron Buxton is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today.. Globe Life Field has the 7th-shortest fence height (on average) in the league.. Hitting from the opposite that MacKenzie Gore throws from, Byron Buxton will have the upper hand in today's game.. Byron Buxton has averaged 54.6 homers per 600 plate appearances this year, ranking in the 100th percentile for power.
Total RBIs
Byron Buxton logo
Byron Buxton o0.5 Total RBIs (+173)
Projection 0.6
Best Odds
Pick made: 23 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Byron Buxton as the league's 4th-best home run hitter.. Byron Buxton is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today.. Globe Life Field has the 7th-shortest fence height (on average) in the league.. Hitting from the opposite that MacKenzie Gore throws from, Byron Buxton will have the upper hand in today's game.. Byron Buxton has averaged 54.6 homers per 600 plate appearances this year, ranking in the 100th percentile for power.
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Detroit Tigers logo DET @ Houston Astros logo HOU Mon, Jun 15 • 8:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Yordan Alvarez logo
Yordan Alvarez o1.5 Total Bases (-114)
Projection 2.37
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Yordan Alvarez projects as the 2nd-best hitter in the majors, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Yordan Alvarez is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. Yordan Alvarez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Troy Melton in today's matchup.. The Detroit Tigers outfield defense profiles as the 13th-worst among all the teams today.. Detroit's 3rd-worst outfield defense of all teams on the slate today creates a favorable matchup for Yordan Alvarez, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.
Total Bases
Riley Greene logo
Riley Greene o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.76
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Riley Greene in the 97th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.. Riley Greene is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. HRs are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Minute Maid Park has the 2nd-shallowest among all stadiums.. Batting from the opposite that Kai-Wei Teng throws from, Riley Greene will have the upper hand in today's game.
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Los Angeles Angels logo LAA @ Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ Mon, Jun 15 • 9:40 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
Moneyline
Los Angeles Angels logo LAA (+110)
Best Odds
Pick made: 29 minutes ago
Joe Osborne image
Joe Osborne
Senior Betting Analyst

The Angels are worth a look as a road underdog tonight behind the red-hot Walbert Ureña. The rookie right-hander has allowed one earned run or fewer in six of his last eight starts, while Arizona has struggled badly against right-handed pitching of late. Los Angeles also enters in better offensive form and gets a favorable matchup against Ryne Nelson, who owns a 5.19 ERA and was tagged for seven earned runs in his last outing.

Total Bases
Zach Neto logo
Zach Neto o1.5 Total Bases (+110)
Projection 1.89
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his home run ability, Zach Neto ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Zach Neto is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 3rd-best stadium in MLB for boosting offensive stats to RHB.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-most suitable for hitting of all games today.. When it comes to power, Zach Neto finds himself in the 76th percentile, having averaged 25 HRs per 600 plate appearances this year.
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Pittsburgh Pirates logo PIT @ Athletics Athletics logo ATH Mon, Jun 15 • 9:40 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
Total
Pittsburgh Pirates logo Athletics Athletics logo o10.5 (-118)
Best Odds
Pick made: 15 hours ago
Jason Wilson image
Jason Wilson
Publishing Editor

While the A's aren't playing any more games at Las Vegas Stadium this season, let's not forget that Sutter Health Park is its own launching pad. No, the Pirates won't plate 23 runs as the Rockies did on Sunday, but they'll do their part. But I'm more interested in how Nick Kurtz and Tyler Soderstrom (and the A's other boppers) fare against Jared Jones and the Pittsburgh bullpen behind him. 

Total Bases
Lawrence Butler logo
Lawrence Butler o1.5 Total Bases (+160)
Projection 1.89
Best Odds
Pick made: 13 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Lawrence Butler is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 90% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.. Sutter Health Park grades out as the #2 field in baseball for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Sutter Health Park has the 4th-shortest fences in the majors.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the highest temperatures on the schedule today at 100°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 17.4-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for bats.
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Tampa Bay Rays logo TB @ Los Angeles Dodgers logo LAD Mon, Jun 15 • 10:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Ryan Ward logo
Ryan Ward u0.5 Total Hits (+125)
Projection 0.71
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Ward in the 7th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.. Ryan Ward is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Dodger Stadium ranks as the #21 park in MLB for lefty base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 4th-most favorable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.. Ryan Ward pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.7% — 75th percentile) but may find it hard to clear baseball's 8th-deepest RF fences in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Ryan Vilade logo
Ryan Vilade u1.5 Total Bases (-210)
Projection 0.76
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 4th-most favorable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.. Ryan Vilade will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's matchup.
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Atlanta Braves logo ATL @ Chicago White Sox logo CHW Thu, Aug 20 • 2:10 PM ET
5 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Atlanta Braves logo Chicago White Sox logo o8.5 (-105)
Pick made: 3 days ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

Atlanta and Chicago send two of the best lineups in baseball to the dish, and they respectively rank eighth and third in wOBA against lefties for the campaign. The two clubs have also trended to the Over, and I'm particularly expecting White Sox southpaw Anthony Kay to struggle considering he's saddled with the fifth-highest xERA in baseball among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings this year.

Moneyline
Atlanta Braves logo ATL (-112)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 days ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

I'm fading Chicago White Sox lefty Anthony Kay on Thursday. He's sporting the fifth-highest xERA among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings, after all. Plus, the Atlanta Braves enter ranked eighth in wOBA against southpaws for the season and sixth in overall xwOBA across the past 14 days.

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Boston Red Sox logo BOS @ New York Yankees logo NYY Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET
2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Boston Red Sox logo New York Yankees logo o8.5 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 days ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.

Moneyline
New York Yankees logo NYY (-135)
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 days ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.

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