MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on June 16, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

Miami Marlins logo MIA @ Philadelphia Phillies logo PHI Tue, Jun 16 • 6:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Edmundo Sosa logo
Edmundo Sosa o1.5 Total Bases (+212)
Projection 1.41
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edmundo Sosa in the 79th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.. The #10 field in baseball for boosting home runs to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park.. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in the league — generally good for dingers.. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Edmundo Sosa will hold that advantage in today's game.. Edmundo Sosa has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 96.5-mph average to last season's 90.8-mph mark.
Total RBIs
Bryce Harper logo
Bryce Harper o0.5 Total RBIs (+173)
Projection 0.75
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bryce Harper ranks as the 10th-best hitter in MLB.. Bryce Harper is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today.. Citizens Bank Park ranks as the #10 field in the majors for left-handed home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Batting from the opposite that Tyler Phillips throws from, Bryce Harper will have an edge today.. Bryce Harper has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.7%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.
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Kansas City Royals logo KC @ Washington Nationals logo WAS Tue, Jun 16 • 6:45 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Isaac Collins logo
Isaac Collins o0.5 Total RBIs (+275)
Projection 0.41
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Dingers are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Nationals Park has the 10th-shallowest among all stadiums.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for for the 4th-best hitting conditions of all games today.. As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the plate, Isaac Collins will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side against Foster Griffin in this game.. Isaac Collins's launch angle this season (20.1°) is significantly better than his 12.6° figure last year.. Compared to his seasonal average of 20.1°, Isaac Collins has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 35.1° figure in the last two weeks' worth of games.
Total Bases
Curtis Mead logo
Curtis Mead o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 1.73
Best Odds
Pick made: 13 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Curtis Mead in the 77th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.. Curtis Mead is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for for the 4th-best hitting conditions of all games today.. Curtis Mead has a 76th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Among all the teams in action today, the worst outfield defense is that of the Kansas City Royals.
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Chicago White Sox logo CHW @ New York Yankees logo NYY Tue, Jun 16 • 7:05 PM ET
6 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Braden Montgomery logo
Braden Montgomery o1.5 Total Bases (+160)
Projection 1.65
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his home run ability, Colson Montgomery ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Colson Montgomery is penciled in 4th in the lineup today.. Among all stadiums, Yankee Stadium has the 8th-lowest average fence height.. Colson Montgomery will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Gerrit Cole today.. Colson Montgomery pulls many of his flyballs (40.3% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.
Total RBIs
Braden Montgomery logo
Braden Montgomery o0.5 Total RBIs (+155)
Projection 0.62
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his home run ability, Colson Montgomery ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Colson Montgomery is penciled in 4th in the lineup today.. Among all stadiums, Yankee Stadium has the 8th-lowest average fence height.. Colson Montgomery will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Gerrit Cole today.. Colson Montgomery pulls many of his flyballs (40.3% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.
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New York Mets logo NYM @ Cincinnati Reds logo CIN Tue, Jun 16 • 7:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Edwin Arroyo logo
Edwin Arroyo o1.5 Total Bases (+210)
Projection 1.72
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edwin Arroyo in the 83rd percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.. Edwin Arroyo has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (88% of the time), but he is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game.. The #1 stadium in the majors for boosting home runs to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. This contest is predicted to have the 11th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 17.1-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for bats.
Total Bases
Juan Soto logo
Juan Soto o1.5 Total Bases (-101)
Projection 2.82
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Juan Soto ranks as the 3rd-best hitter in the game.. Juan Soto is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today.. The #1 stadium in the majors for boosting home runs to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. Great American Ball Park has the 6th-shallowest right field dimensions among all major league stadiums.. This contest is predicted to have the 11th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.
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San Francisco Giants logo SF @ Atlanta Braves logo ATL Tue, Jun 16 • 7:15 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Casey Schmitt logo
Casey Schmitt o1.5 Total Bases (+145)
Projection 1.85
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Casey Schmitt in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his home run talent.. Casey Schmitt is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. The #5 stadium in the game for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park.. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to higher offensive output.. This game is projected to have the most humid conditions of the day (83%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid.
Total Bases
Mauricio Dubon logo
Mauricio Dubon o1.5 Total Bases (+153)
Projection 1.56
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Mauricio Dubon is projected to bat 1st in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 54% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.. The #5 stadium in the game for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park.. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to higher offensive output.. This game is projected to have the most humid conditions of the day (83%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid.. Mauricio Dubon hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 88th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 5th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.
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Cleveland Guardians logo CLE @ Milwaukee Brewers logo MIL Tue, Jun 16 • 7:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Gabriel Arias logo
Gabriel Arias o1.5 Total Bases (+238)
Projection 1.48
Best Odds
Pick made: 35 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Gabriel Arias's BABIP ability is projected in the 78th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Gabriel Arias has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (100% of the time), but he is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today.. In MLB, American Family Field has the 6th-lowest average fence height.. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation generally leads to better offense.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 14.5-mph in this game, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats.
Total Bases
Jake Bauers logo
Jake Bauers o1.5 Total Bases (+179)
Projection 1.57
Best Odds
Pick made: 35 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Bauers in the 90th percentile when estimating his home run talent.. Jake Bauers is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game.. The 6th-shallowest CF dimensions in the majors are found in American Family Field.. In MLB, American Family Field has the 6th-lowest average fence height.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 14.5-mph in this game, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats.
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San Diego Padres logo SD @ St. Louis Cardinals logo STL Tue, Jun 16 • 7:45 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Lars Nootbaar logo
Lars Nootbaar o1.5 Total Bases (+195)
Projection 1.59
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lars Nootbaar in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.. Lars Nootbaar is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Among all parks, Busch Stadium has the 9th-lowest average fence height.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast projects for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.6-mph in this contest, the 4th-best of the day for hitters.
Total Bases
Nathan Church logo
Nathan Church o1.5 Total Bases (+255)
Projection 1.27
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Among all parks, Busch Stadium has the 9th-lowest average fence height.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast projects for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.6-mph in this contest, the 4th-best of the day for hitters.. Batting from the opposite that Michael King throws from, Nathan Church will have an edge today.. Nathan Church will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.
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Minnesota Twins logo MIN @ Texas Rangers logo TEX Tue, Jun 16 • 8:05 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Byron Buxton logo
Byron Buxton o0.5 Total RBIs (+150)
Projection 0.7
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Byron Buxton projects as the 4th-best home run batter in the league, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Byron Buxton is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. Among all major league parks, Globe Life Field has the 7th-lowest average fence height.. Batters such as Byron Buxton with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Kumar Rocker who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.. Byron Buxton's launch angle this year (22.8°) is considerably higher than his 17.5° angle last season.
Total RBIs
Brandon Nimmo logo
Brandon Nimmo o0.5 Total RBIs (+135)
Projection 0.69
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Brandon Nimmo ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Brandon Nimmo is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Among all major league parks, Globe Life Field has the 7th-lowest average fence height.. Brandon Nimmo will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zebby Matthews today.. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense is that of the the Minnesota Twins.
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Colorado Rockies logo COL @ Chicago Cubs logo CHC Tue, Jun 16 • 8:05 PM ET
8 Computer Picks
Total Hits
TJ Rumfield logo
TJ Rumfield u0.5 Total Hits (+180)
Projection 0.86
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects T.J. Rumfield in the 17th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.. Wrigley Field projects as the #22 stadium in the majors for lefty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. T.J. Rumfield pulls many of his flyballs (33.8% — 75th percentile) but may find it hard to clear baseball's 5th-deepest RF fences in today's matchup.. Out of every team playing today, the best infield defense is that of the Chicago Cubs.. T.J. Rumfield will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.
Total Bases
Cole Carrigg logo
Cole Carrigg u1.5 Total Bases (-220)
Projection 0.81
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Cole Carrigg is projected to hit 6th in the lineup in this matchup.. The #9 venue in the majors for suppressing offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Wrigley Field.. The league's 7th-tallest fences can be found at Wrigley Field.. Cole Carrigg pulls many of his flyballs (34.9% — 82nd percentile) and will have to hit them out towards MLB's 5th-deepest RF fences today.. Out of every team playing today, the best infield defense is that of the Chicago Cubs.
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Detroit Tigers logo DET @ Houston Astros logo HOU Tue, Jun 16 • 8:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Yordan Alvarez logo
Yordan Alvarez o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 2.16
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his batting average skill, Yordan Alvarez is projected as the best batter in Major League Baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Yordan Alvarez is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. Extreme groundball bats like Yordan Alvarez tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Framber Valdez.. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Yordan Alvarez will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. Yordan Alvarez has made significant improvements with his Barrel%, bettering his 13.8% rate last year to 18.9% this year.
Total Bases
Kevin McGonigle logo
Kevin McGonigle o1.5 Total Bases (+150)
Projection 1.57
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kevin McGonigle in the 90th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.. Kevin McGonigle is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in today's game.. Homers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Minute Maid Park has the 2nd-shallowest in MLB.. Kevin McGonigle will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Hunter Brown in today's matchup.. Kevin McGonigle's launch angle lately (27.6° in the last 14 days) is significantly higher than his 20.8° seasonal mark.
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Los Angeles Angels logo LAA @ Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ Tue, Jun 16 • 9:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Nolan Arenado logo
Nolan Arenado o1.5 Total Bases (+155)
Projection 1.64
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Nolan Arenado is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today.. The #3 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting offensive stats to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.. This matchup is forecasted to have the 13th-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Nolan Arenado will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Reid Detmers in today's game.. Among every team playing today, the weakest infield defense is that of the Los Angeles Angels.
Total Home Runs
Oswald Peraza logo
Oswald Peraza o0.5 Total Home Runs (+1300)
Projection 0.1
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude among all stadiums, which generally leads to higher offensive output.. This matchup is forecasted to have the 13th-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Oswald Peraza has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% lately, improving his 10.2% seasonal rate to 15.8% in the past 14 days.. Oswald Peraza has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 87.9-mph to 96.1-mph over the last 14 days.. Oswald Peraza's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better recently, increasing from 14.6% on the season to 26.3% over the past two weeks.
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Baltimore Orioles logo BAL @ Seattle Mariners logo SEA Tue, Jun 16 • 9:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Gunnar Henderson logo
Gunnar Henderson o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.74
Best Odds
Pick made: 35 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gunnar Henderson in the 94th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.. Gunnar Henderson is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. T-Mobile Park has the 10th-lowest fences in the league.. T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-smallest outfield among all major league stadiums — generally good for HRs.. Gunnar Henderson will hold the platoon advantage against Logan Gilbert in today's game.
Total Bases
Julio Rodriguez logo
Julio Rodriguez o1.5 Total Bases (+120)
Projection 1.9
Best Odds
Pick made: 35 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Julio Rodriguez as the 10th-best hitter in the majors when assessing his batting average talent.. Julio Rodriguez is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game.. T-Mobile Park has the 10th-lowest fences in the league.. T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-smallest outfield among all major league stadiums — generally good for HRs.. Out of every team in action today, the 4th-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Baltimore Orioles.
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Pittsburgh Pirates logo PIT @ Athletics Athletics logo ATH Tue, Jun 16 • 9:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Home Runs
Lawrence Butler logo
Lawrence Butler o0.5 Total Home Runs (+550)
Projection 0.21
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Sutter Health Park profiles as the #5 ballpark in the league for LHB home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Sutter Health Park has the 4th-lowest fence height (on average) in MLB.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 102°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 17.5-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for batters.. Hitting from the opposite that Mitch Keller throws from, Lawrence Butler will have an advantage today.
Total RBIs
Lawrence Butler logo
Lawrence Butler o0.5 Total RBIs (+202)
Projection 0.69
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Sutter Health Park projects as the #2 venue in the game for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Sutter Health Park has the 4th-lowest fence height (on average) in MLB.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 102°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 17.5-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for batters.. Hitting from the opposite that Mitch Keller throws from, Lawrence Butler will have an advantage today.
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Tampa Bay Rays logo TB @ Los Angeles Dodgers logo LAD Tue, Jun 16 • 10:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Junior Caminero logo
Junior Caminero o0.5 Total RBIs (+140)
Projection 0.84
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his home run skill, Junior Caminero ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Junior Caminero is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. Dodger Stadium ranks as the #2 venue in the game for right-handed home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The 7th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in Major League Baseball are found in Dodger Stadium.. Dodger Stadium has the shortest average fence height among all parks.
Total Hits
Ryan Ward logo
Ryan Ward u0.5 Total Hits (+120)
Projection 0.61
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Ryan Ward's BABIP talent is projected in the 7th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Ryan Ward is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in today's game.. 41% of the time that Ryan Ward has started against a right-handed pitcher this year, he has been replaced by a pinch-hitter.. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 2nd-best pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.. Ryan Ward pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.7% — 75th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the game's 8th-deepest RF fences today.
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Atlanta Braves logo ATL @ Chicago White Sox logo CHW Thu, Aug 20 • 2:10 PM ET
5 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Atlanta Braves logo Chicago White Sox logo o8.5 (-105)
Pick made: 4 days ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

Atlanta and Chicago send two of the best lineups in baseball to the dish, and they respectively rank eighth and third in wOBA against lefties for the campaign. The two clubs have also trended to the Over, and I'm particularly expecting White Sox southpaw Anthony Kay to struggle considering he's saddled with the fifth-highest xERA in baseball among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings this year.

Moneyline
Atlanta Braves logo ATL (-112)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 days ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

I'm fading Chicago White Sox lefty Anthony Kay on Thursday. He's sporting the fifth-highest xERA among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings, after all. Plus, the Atlanta Braves enter ranked eighth in wOBA against southpaws for the season and sixth in overall xwOBA across the past 14 days.

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Boston Red Sox logo BOS @ New York Yankees logo NYY Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET
2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Boston Red Sox logo New York Yankees logo o8.5 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 days ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.

Moneyline
New York Yankees logo NYY (-135)
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 days ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.

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