Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on June 18, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.
TOR
@
BOS
Thu, Jun 18 • 1:35 PM ET
Jesus Sanchez o0.5 Total Home Runs (+525)
Valenzuela owns a .299 xBA against Gray's two most-thrown pitch types. Another Jays batter who profiles well against the Red Sox starter is Jesus Sanchez, who owns a .333 average and a 44.1% hard-hit rate against Gray’s most utilized pitches to left-handed batters this season. I’ll also take advantage of a low strikeout total for Trey Yesavage and add Over 4.5 K’s. This total feels like an overreaction to his last two starts because he still owns a .191 xBA this season with a near 30% whiff rate, while averaging 5.2 strikeouts per game.
CLE
@
MIL
Thu, Jun 18 • 2:10 PM ET
u7.5 (-116)
CLE (+129)
MIN
@
TEX
Thu, Jun 18 • 2:35 PM ET
MIN (-123)
Let's call it what it is: this is a bet on Joe Ryan, one of the better starting pitchers in the American League. He's also looking to make a strong impression over the next couple of weeks, as several teams are expected to target him ahead of the trade deadline. Ryan features a four-seam fastball that he relies on heavily. While the pitch won't blow hitters away with velocity—it sits around 94 mph—it's his release point and the flat, rising trajectory that make it so difficult for batters to track and square up. This pitch profiles very well against the middle of the Rangers' lineup, particularly their right-handed bats in Wyatt Langford, Josh Jung, and Jake Burger. If those hitters struggle to find success, where is the offense coming from for Texas? I make the Twins closer to a -135 favorite in this spot.
BAL
@
SEA
Thu, Jun 18 • 4:10 PM ET
NYM
@
PHI
Thu, Jun 18 • 6:40 PM ET
NYM (+105)
Sean Manaea has turned things around in a big way, allowing two earned runs or fewer in eight straight starts, and now draws a Phillies lineup that ranks 25th in OPS against left-handed pitching over the last month. Meanwhile, Aaron Nola looks washed, posting a 5.86 ERA this season. The Mets enter with the hotter bats and could catch a break against a Phillies bullpen that was heavily taxed yesterday with the team using eight pitchers.
CHW
@
NYY
Thu, Jun 18 • 7:05 PM ET
o9.5 (-110)
No team has hit more homers against left-handed pitchers than the Chicago White Sox, and no team has hit more homers – period – than the New York Yankees.
With warm weather and the wind blowing out, power should be on full display in New York.
Play the Over to -115.
SF
@
ATL
Thu, Jun 18 • 7:15 PM ET
STL
@
KC
Thu, Jun 18 • 7:40 PM ET
KC (-113)
The Kansas City Royals are trading as a -113 favorite over the St. Louis Cardinals on Thursday, and I'm willing to back that number, as I make the Royals closer to a -130 favorite in this spot. Matthew Liberatore relies on locating his fastball and using effective pitch sequencing to record outs. For Bobby Witt Jr., this sets up as an excellent matchup. Against a left-handed pitcher whose slider and curveball break into his bat path, Witt Jr.'s short, compact, lightning-fast swing should play very well. Witt Jr. is an elite fastball hunter and should be able to capitalize on any mistakes Liberatore makes, especially given his below-average velocity. If Witt Jr. is getting on base and collecting extra bases, it opens the door for the rest of the Royals' offense, particularly because of the pressure he puts on both the defense and the pitcher with his speed on the basepaths.
LAA
@
ATH
Thu, Jun 18 • 9:40 PM ET
ATL
@
CHW
Thu, Aug 20 • 2:10 PM ET
o8.5 (-105)
Atlanta and Chicago send two of the best lineups in baseball to the dish, and they respectively rank eighth and third in wOBA against lefties for the campaign. The two clubs have also trended to the Over, and I'm particularly expecting White Sox southpaw Anthony Kay to struggle considering he's saddled with the fifth-highest xERA in baseball among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings this year.
ATL (-112)
I'm fading Chicago White Sox lefty Anthony Kay on Thursday. He's sporting the fifth-highest xERA among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings, after all. Plus, the Atlanta Braves enter ranked eighth in wOBA against southpaws for the season and sixth in overall xwOBA across the past 14 days.
BOS
@
NYY
Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET
o8.5 (-110)
The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.
NYY (-135)
Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.
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