Toronto @ Seattle Picks & Props

TOR vs SEA Picks

MLB Picks
Total Bases
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. logo Vladimir Guerrero Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+100)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Mike DiStefano image
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst

A big reason for the Toronto Blue Jays turnaround is that their superstar slugger Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is hitting and leading the charge. Guerrero Jr. has homered in back-to-back games and is 6-for-9 with four extra base hits over his last two outings, cashing the over on his bases prop in both games. I expect his bat to remain red hot today and go Over his 1.5 posted base total again, especially in a favorable pitching matchup. 

Hit a Home Run
Daulton Varsho logo Daulton Varsho Hit a Home Run (Yes: +425)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

Daulton Varsho hasn’t homered in six straight games, but he’s knocking on the door. He has already hit three balls 350+ feet in this series — including a 362-footer against Miller — and hammered one off the wall in Game 3.

Total Bases
Julio Rodriguez logo Julio Rodriguez o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Chris Hatfield image
Chris Hatfield
Betting Analyst
Total Hits
Eugenio Suarez logo Eugenio Suarez u0.5 Total Hits (-105)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Chris Hatfield image
Chris Hatfield
Betting Analyst
Strikeouts Thrown
Bryce Miller logo Bryce Miller u2.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+100)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Chris Hatfield image
Chris Hatfield
Betting Analyst
Total Runs Scored
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. logo Vladimir Guerrero Jr. o0.5 Total Runs Scored (+120)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has scored nine runs in the playoffs and rounded the bases at least once in six of eight. He's piling up the hits and is a real threat to get on via walk, giving him a great chance to get on and score.

Hit a Home Run
Cal Raleigh logo Cal Raleigh Hit a Home Run (Yes: +260)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Quinn Allen image
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

Raleigh went deep in Game 3, and I’m eyeing him to do so in a crucial Game 5. Raleigh is 8-for-17 lifetime against Kevin Gausman with four home runs. He hit 38 of his regular-season bombs off right-handed pitchers, and he also put 28 in the bleachers at T-Mobile Park

Hit a Home Run
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. logo Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Hit a Home Run (Yes: +400)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Quinn Allen image
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

While Vladimir Guerrero Jr. didn’t do a whole lot in Games 1 and 2 of the ALCS, he’s been brilliant overall in the playoffs. The slugger is batting .455 in the postseason with five home runs. He’s left the ballpark in back-to-back games, and Guerrero Jr. has banged out six hits during that span. 

Outs Recorded
Bryce Miller logo
Bryce Miller o9.5 Outs Recorded (+107)
Projection 11.52 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Cal Raleigh (the Mariners's expected catcher in today's game) grades out as an elite pitch framer.. The #1 venue in MLB for suppressing batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is T-Mobile Park.. Built just 17 feet above sea level, T-Mobile Park has one of the lowest altitudes in MLB, which tends to lead to less offense.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for mound aces.. The Seattle Mariners infield defense grades out as the weakest among all the teams on the slate today.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Dominic Canzone logo
Dominic Canzone o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-110)
Projection 1.34 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dominic Canzone in the 77th percentile when estimating his home run skill.. T-Mobile Park has the shallowest fences among all parks — generally good for long-balls.. As far as temperature and humidity go, the most favorable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup.. Batting from the opposite that Kevin Gausman throws from, Dominic Canzone will have an edge in today's matchup.. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Dominic Canzone will hold that advantage in today's game.
Total Bases
Cal Raleigh logo
Cal Raleigh u1.5 Total Bases (-160)
Projection 0.71 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The #1 stadium in MLB for suppressing offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is T-Mobile Park.. Built just 17 feet above sea level, T-Mobile Park has one of the lowest altitudes in MLB, which tends to lead to less offense.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for mound aces.. The Toronto Blue Jays infield defense grades out as the best among every team today.. Cal Raleigh has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to his home runs this year; his 51.1 HR per 600 plate appearances rate is considerably higher than his 42.4 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Eugenio Suarez logo
Eugenio Suarez o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-154)
Projection 1.52 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Eugenio Suarez projects as the 13th-best home run batter in MLB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. As far as temperature and humidity go, the most favorable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup.. Eugenio Suarez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (39.4% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Eugenio Suarez will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.. This season, Eugenio Suarez has experienced a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 95 mph compared to last year's 92.6 mph mark.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Randy Arozarena logo
Randy Arozarena o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-166)
Projection 1.54 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Randy Arozarena ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Randy Arozarena is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup.. T-Mobile Park has the shallowest fences among all parks — generally good for long-balls.. As far as temperature and humidity go, the most favorable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup.. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Randy Arozarena will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Josh Naylor logo
Josh Naylor u1.5 Total Bases (-185)
Projection 0.79 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The #1 stadium in MLB for suppressing offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is T-Mobile Park.. Built just 17 feet above sea level, T-Mobile Park has one of the lowest altitudes in MLB, which tends to lead to less offense.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for mound aces.. The Toronto Blue Jays infield defense grades out as the best among every team today.. Josh Naylor's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this year; his 93.7-mph EV last season has dropped to 90.3-mph.
Total Bases
Nathan Lukes logo
Nathan Lukes u1.5 Total Bases (-199)
Projection 0.8 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Nathan Lukes has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 23% of the time when starting against a right-handed pitcher this year.. The #1 stadium in MLB for suppressing offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is T-Mobile Park.. Built just 17 feet above sea level, T-Mobile Park has one of the lowest altitudes in MLB, which tends to lead to less offense.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for mound aces.. The Seattle Mariners infield defense grades out as the weakest among all the teams on the slate today.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Addison Barger logo
Addison Barger o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-176)
Projection 1.47 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Addison Barger in the 79th percentile when assessing his home run ability.. As far as temperature and humidity go, the most favorable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup.. Addison Barger will hold the platoon advantage against Bryce Miller in today's matchup.. Addison Barger pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.2% — 84th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. Addison Barger has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 91.7-mph average to last season's 88.1-mph mark.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
J.P. Crawford logo
J.P. Crawford o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-155)
Projection 1.27 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
T-Mobile Park has the shallowest fences among all parks — generally good for long-balls.. As far as temperature and humidity go, the most favorable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup.. J.P. Crawford will hold the platoon advantage over Kevin Gausman today.. J.P. Crawford will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.. As it relates to his batting average, J.P. Crawford has had some very poor luck this year. His .265 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .292.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Isiah Kiner-Falefa logo
Isiah Kiner-Falefa o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-165)
Projection 1.29 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
As far as temperature and humidity go, the most favorable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup.. Isiah Kiner-Falefa has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.1%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.
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TOR vs SEA Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Total

70% picking Toronto vs Seattle to go Over

70%
30%

Total PicksTOR 401, SEA 169

Total
Over
Under

TOR vs SEA Props

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Dominic Canzone Total Hits Props • Seattle

Dominic Canzone
D. Canzone
right outfield RF • Seattle
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.65
Best Odds

T-Mobile Park has the shallowest fences among all parks — generally good for long-balls. As far as temperature and humidity go, the most favorable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Batting from the opposite that Kevin Gausman throws from, Dominic Canzone will have an edge in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Dominic Canzone will hold that advantage in today's game. Dominic Canzone has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 92.5-mph average to last year's 89.9-mph EV.

Dominic Canzone logo

Dominic Canzone

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.65
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.65

T-Mobile Park has the shallowest fences among all parks — generally good for long-balls. As far as temperature and humidity go, the most favorable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Batting from the opposite that Kevin Gausman throws from, Dominic Canzone will have an edge in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Dominic Canzone will hold that advantage in today's game. Dominic Canzone has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 92.5-mph average to last year's 89.9-mph EV.

Leo Rivas Total Hits Props • Seattle

Leo Rivas
L. Rivas
second base 2B • Seattle
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.56
Best Odds

As far as temperature and humidity go, the most favorable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Leo Rivas pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.4% — 79th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Leo Rivas will hold that advantage in today's game. Sporting a 1.59 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Leo Rivas has demonstrated good plate discipline, checking in at the 91st percentile.

Leo Rivas logo

Leo Rivas

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.56
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.56

As far as temperature and humidity go, the most favorable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Leo Rivas pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.4% — 79th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Leo Rivas will hold that advantage in today's game. Sporting a 1.59 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Leo Rivas has demonstrated good plate discipline, checking in at the 91st percentile.

Isiah Kiner-Falefa Total Hits Props • Toronto

Isiah Kiner-Falefa
I. Kiner-Falefa
shortstop SS • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.79
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isiah Kiner-Falefa in the 83rd percentile when estimating his batting average talent. As far as temperature and humidity go, the most favorable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Isiah Kiner-Falefa has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.1%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

Isiah Kiner-Falefa logo

Isiah Kiner-Falefa

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.79
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.79

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isiah Kiner-Falefa in the 83rd percentile when estimating his batting average talent. As far as temperature and humidity go, the most favorable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Isiah Kiner-Falefa has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.1%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

Randy Arozarena Total Hits Props • Seattle

Randy Arozarena
R. Arozarena
left outfield LF • Seattle
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.71
Best Odds

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Randy Arozarena ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Randy Arozarena is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup. T-Mobile Park has the shallowest fences among all parks — generally good for long-balls. As far as temperature and humidity go, the most favorable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Randy Arozarena will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Randy Arozarena logo

Randy Arozarena

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.71
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.71

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Randy Arozarena ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Randy Arozarena is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup. T-Mobile Park has the shallowest fences among all parks — generally good for long-balls. As far as temperature and humidity go, the most favorable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Randy Arozarena will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Julio Rodriguez Total Hits Props • Seattle

Julio Rodriguez
J. Rodriguez
center outfield CF • Seattle
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.96
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Julio Rodriguez as the 4th-best hitter in baseball as it relates to his BABIP talent. Julio Rodriguez is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this game. As far as temperature and humidity go, the most favorable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Julio Rodriguez has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.2%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Julio Rodriguez will hold that advantage in today's game.

Julio Rodriguez logo

Julio Rodriguez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.96
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.96

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Julio Rodriguez as the 4th-best hitter in baseball as it relates to his BABIP talent. Julio Rodriguez is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this game. As far as temperature and humidity go, the most favorable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Julio Rodriguez has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.2%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Julio Rodriguez will hold that advantage in today's game.

J.P. Crawford Total Hits Props • Seattle

J.P. Crawford
J. Crawford
shortstop SS • Seattle
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.P. Crawford in the 79th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. T-Mobile Park has the shallowest fences among all parks — generally good for long-balls. As far as temperature and humidity go, the most favorable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. J.P. Crawford will hold the platoon advantage over Kevin Gausman today. J.P. Crawford will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.

J.P. Crawford logo

J.P. Crawford

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.P. Crawford in the 79th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. T-Mobile Park has the shallowest fences among all parks — generally good for long-balls. As far as temperature and humidity go, the most favorable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. J.P. Crawford will hold the platoon advantage over Kevin Gausman today. J.P. Crawford will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Total Hits Props • Toronto

Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
V. Guerrero Jr.
first base 1B • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.99
Best Odds

As it relates to his batting average skill, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected as the best batter in the league by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. As far as temperature and humidity go, the most favorable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.3%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.403) implies that Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has experienced some negative variance this year with his .366 actual wOBA.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. logo

Vladimir Guerrero Jr.

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.99
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.99

As it relates to his batting average skill, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected as the best batter in the league by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. As far as temperature and humidity go, the most favorable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.3%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.403) implies that Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has experienced some negative variance this year with his .366 actual wOBA.

Andres Gimenez Total Hits Props • Toronto

Andres Gimenez
A. Gimenez
second base 2B • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.74
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andres Gimenez in the 75th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. T-Mobile Park has the shallowest fences among all parks — generally good for long-balls. As far as temperature and humidity go, the most favorable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Hitting from the opposite that Bryce Miller throws from, Andres Gimenez will have an advantage today. Andres Gimenez's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this season (13.6°) is significantly better than his 9.2° angle last year.

Andres Gimenez logo

Andres Gimenez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.74
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.74

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andres Gimenez in the 75th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. T-Mobile Park has the shallowest fences among all parks — generally good for long-balls. As far as temperature and humidity go, the most favorable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Hitting from the opposite that Bryce Miller throws from, Andres Gimenez will have an advantage today. Andres Gimenez's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this season (13.6°) is significantly better than his 9.2° angle last year.

Addison Barger Total Hits Props • Toronto

Addison Barger
A. Barger
third base 3B • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.71
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Addison Barger in the 77th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. As far as temperature and humidity go, the most favorable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Addison Barger will hold the platoon advantage against Bryce Miller in today's matchup. Addison Barger pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.2% — 84th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Addison Barger has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 91.7-mph average to last season's 88.1-mph mark.

Addison Barger logo

Addison Barger

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.71
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.71

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Addison Barger in the 77th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. As far as temperature and humidity go, the most favorable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Addison Barger will hold the platoon advantage against Bryce Miller in today's matchup. Addison Barger pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.2% — 84th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Addison Barger has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 91.7-mph average to last season's 88.1-mph mark.

Alejandro Kirk Total Hits Props • Toronto

Alejandro Kirk
A. Kirk
catcher C • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alejandro Kirk in the 97th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Alejandro Kirk is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today. As far as temperature and humidity go, the most favorable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Alejandro Kirk has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.5%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the game's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Alejandro Kirk has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 91.5-mph average to last year's 89.3-mph EV.

Alejandro Kirk logo

Alejandro Kirk

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alejandro Kirk in the 97th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Alejandro Kirk is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today. As far as temperature and humidity go, the most favorable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Alejandro Kirk has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.5%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the game's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Alejandro Kirk has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 91.5-mph average to last year's 89.3-mph EV.

Ernie Clement Total Hits Props • Toronto

Ernie Clement
E. Clement
third base 3B • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.86
Best Odds

Ernie Clement's batting average ability is projected to be in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). As far as temperature and humidity go, the most favorable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Ernie Clement pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.3% — 79th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 8th-shallowest LF fences today. Ernie Clement has recorded a .281 batting average this year, grading out in the 88th percentile.

Ernie Clement logo

Ernie Clement

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.86
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.86

Ernie Clement's batting average ability is projected to be in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). As far as temperature and humidity go, the most favorable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Ernie Clement pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.3% — 79th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 8th-shallowest LF fences today. Ernie Clement has recorded a .281 batting average this year, grading out in the 88th percentile.

George Springer Total Hits Props • Toronto

George Springer
G. Springer
right outfield RF • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.91
Best Odds

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), George Springer ranks as the 15th-best hitter in Major League Baseball. George Springer is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. T-Mobile Park has the shallowest fences among all parks — generally good for long-balls. As far as temperature and humidity go, the most favorable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. George Springer has made notable strides with his Barrel%, upping his 9.3% rate last year to 16.7% this year.

George Springer logo

George Springer

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.91
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.91

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), George Springer ranks as the 15th-best hitter in Major League Baseball. George Springer is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. T-Mobile Park has the shallowest fences among all parks — generally good for long-balls. As far as temperature and humidity go, the most favorable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. George Springer has made notable strides with his Barrel%, upping his 9.3% rate last year to 16.7% this year.

Daulton Varsho Total Hits Props • Toronto

Daulton Varsho
D. Varsho
center outfield CF • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.72
Best Odds

Daulton Varsho is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game. As far as temperature and humidity go, the most favorable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Daulton Varsho will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bryce Miller in today's game. Daulton Varsho pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.3% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Daulton Varsho is an extreme flyball hitter and matches up with the strong outfield defense of Seattle (#3-best on the slate today).

Daulton Varsho logo

Daulton Varsho

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.72
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.72

Daulton Varsho is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game. As far as temperature and humidity go, the most favorable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Daulton Varsho will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bryce Miller in today's game. Daulton Varsho pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.3% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Daulton Varsho is an extreme flyball hitter and matches up with the strong outfield defense of Seattle (#3-best on the slate today).

Eugenio Suarez Total Hits Props • Seattle

Eugenio Suarez
E. Suarez
third base 3B • Seattle
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.64
Best Odds

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Eugenio Suarez ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). As far as temperature and humidity go, the most favorable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Eugenio Suarez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (39.4% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Eugenio Suarez will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats. This season, Eugenio Suarez has experienced a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 95 mph compared to last year's 92.6 mph mark.

Eugenio Suarez logo

Eugenio Suarez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.64
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.64

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Eugenio Suarez ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). As far as temperature and humidity go, the most favorable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Eugenio Suarez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (39.4% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Eugenio Suarez will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats. This season, Eugenio Suarez has experienced a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 95 mph compared to last year's 92.6 mph mark.

Josh Naylor Total Hits Props • Seattle

Josh Naylor
J. Naylor
first base 1B • Seattle
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.79
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Naylor in the 88th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Josh Naylor is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. As far as temperature and humidity go, the most favorable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Josh Naylor will hold the platoon advantage against Kevin Gausman today. Josh Naylor pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.6% — 86th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

Josh Naylor logo

Josh Naylor

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.79
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.79

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Naylor in the 88th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Josh Naylor is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. As far as temperature and humidity go, the most favorable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Josh Naylor will hold the platoon advantage against Kevin Gausman today. Josh Naylor pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.6% — 86th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

Jorge Polanco Total Hits Props • Seattle

Jorge Polanco
J. Polanco
second base 2B • Seattle
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.71
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jorge Polanco in the 86th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Jorge Polanco is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. As far as temperature and humidity go, the most favorable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. The switch-hitting Jorge Polanco will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side (0) today against Kevin Gausman. Jorge Polanco pulls a lot of his flyballs (40.2% — 98th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

Jorge Polanco logo

Jorge Polanco

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.71
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.71

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jorge Polanco in the 86th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Jorge Polanco is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. As far as temperature and humidity go, the most favorable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. The switch-hitting Jorge Polanco will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side (0) today against Kevin Gausman. Jorge Polanco pulls a lot of his flyballs (40.2% — 98th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

Cal Raleigh Total Hits Props • Seattle

Cal Raleigh
C. Raleigh
catcher C • Seattle
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.71
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cal Raleigh in the 97th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Cal Raleigh is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game. As far as temperature and humidity go, the most favorable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. The switch-hitting Cal Raleigh will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side (0) today against Kevin Gausman. Cal Raleigh pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (44.3% — 100th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

Cal Raleigh logo

Cal Raleigh

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.71
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.71

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cal Raleigh in the 97th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Cal Raleigh is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game. As far as temperature and humidity go, the most favorable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. The switch-hitting Cal Raleigh will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side (0) today against Kevin Gausman. Cal Raleigh pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (44.3% — 100th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

Nathan Lukes Total Hits Props • Toronto

Nathan Lukes
N. Lukes
right outfield RF • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathan Lukes in the 88th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Nathan Lukes has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (56% of the time), but he is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today. As far as temperature and humidity go, the most favorable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Hitting from the opposite that Bryce Miller throws from, Nathan Lukes will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Nathan Lukes has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.4%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 8th-shallowest LF fences today.

Nathan Lukes logo

Nathan Lukes

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathan Lukes in the 88th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Nathan Lukes has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (56% of the time), but he is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today. As far as temperature and humidity go, the most favorable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Hitting from the opposite that Bryce Miller throws from, Nathan Lukes will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Nathan Lukes has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.4%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 8th-shallowest LF fences today.

Victor Robles Total Hits Props • Seattle

Victor Robles
V. Robles
right outfield RF • Seattle
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.69
(Season avg.)
Best Odds

Victor Robles has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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Toronto Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 hackorama 6-4-0 +19495
2 accxmass 5-4-1 +17505
3 Midway28 5-4-1 +15885
4 CastlemontDB91 6-3-1 +15740
5 Rossi35 7-3-0 +15250
6 CitoGMoney 3-6-1 +14955
7 Kowalabear1994 7-3-0 +14035
8 rapa76 7-3-0 +13985
9 captty55 4-6-0 +12990
10 sailorman1965 8-2-0 +12945
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Seattle Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 PaPe454 6-4-0 +19444
2 dotlife162 9-1-0 +19315
3 Roundrobinking 6-4-0 +17515
4 mikeg1827 5-5-0 +15505
5 KingScorpio 3-7-0 +15095
6 regger22 6-4-0 +13250
7 jr5601 4-5-1 +12525
8 adon131 5-5-0 +12520
9 CJONES1068 7-3-0 +11975
10 fragma8023 6-4-0 +11743
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