All Picks
NFL
NCAAF
MLB
NBA
NCAAB
NHL
CFL
WNBA
Golf
World Cup
What Is An MLB Computer Pick?
MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.
MLB Picks
Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Sept. 5, 2026.
New
Computer Picks powered by
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.98 |
+155 
|
o7.5 -120 
|
+1.5 -139
|
|
5.15 |
-157 
|
u8.0 -112 
|
-1.5 +135
|
San Francisco
- Over is 3-0-2 in Giants last 5 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 2-0-2 in Giants last 4 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 2-0-2 in Giants last 4 games following a loss.
- Over is 4-0 in Giants last 4 games vs. a left-handed starter.
NY Mets
- Mets are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-0 in Thorntons last 4 starts as a home underdog.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Mets last 4 during game 2 of a series.
- Mets are 4-0 in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Top Projection
Bryce Eldridge o0.5 Total RBIs (+201)
o0.5+201
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.73 |
-121
|
o8.0 -120
|
-1.5 +135
|
|
4.25 |
+115 
|
u8.5 -115 
|
+1.5 -150 
|
Chi. Cubs
- Cubs are 5-0 in Assads last 5 starts as an underdog.
- Cubs are 5-0 in Assads last 5 starts during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 4-0-2 in Assads last 6 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Cubs are 6-0 in Assads last 6 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Miami
- Marlins are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a home favorite.
- Marlins are 4-0 in their last 4 overall.
- Over is 5-0 in Marlins last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Marlins are 4-0 in their last 4 games on grass.
Top Projection
Otto Lopez o0.5 Total RBIs (+255)
o0.5+255
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.52 |
+143
|
o8.0 -115
|
+1.5 -155
|
|
5.28 |
-153
|
u8.5 -119
|
-1.5 +142
|
Atlanta
- Under is 4-0-1 in Braves last 5 games as a road underdog.
- Under is 5-0 in Perezs last 5 starts during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Braves last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Braves are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
Philadelphia
- Over is 5-0-1 in Phillies last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Under is 3-0-2 in Phillies last 5 games following a loss.
- Under is 3-0-2 in Wheelers last 5 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Phillies last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Top Projection
Bryce Harper o0.5 Total RBIs (+181)
o0.5+181
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.81 |
+143
|
o6.5 -130 
|
+1.5 -160
|
|
3.76 |
-153
|
u7.0 -115
|
-1.5 +150
|
Detroit
- Under is 7-0 in Tigers last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 5-0 in Valdezs last 5 road starts.
- Over is 4-0 in Valdezs last 4 starts as a road favorite.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Valdezs last 4 starts as a favorite.
Cleveland
- Under is 4-0 in Messicks last 4 starts as an underdog.
- Guardians are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 4-1 in Guardians last 5 vs. American League Central.
- Guardians are 7-1 in Messicks last 8 starts as an underdog.
Top Projection
Kevin McGonigle o0.5 Total RBIs (+260)
o0.5+260
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.41 |
-152
|
o9.0 -114
|
-1.5 +106
|
|
4.78 |
+143
|
u9.5 -130
|
+1.5 -120
|
Milwaukee
- Brewers are 4-0 in their last 4 during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 7-1-1 in Brewers last 9 games as a road underdog.
- Over is 6-1 in Brewers last 7 road games.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Brewers last 8 games as an underdog.
Cincinnati
- Over is 6-0 in Reds last 6 vs. National League Central.
- Reds are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a home favorite.
- Reds are 4-0 in their last 4 home games.
- Reds are 4-0 in Abbotts last 4 starts as a home favorite.
Top Projection
Elly De La Cruz o0.5 Total RBIs (+220)
o0.5+220
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.05 |
+162
|
o7.5 -112
|
+1.5 -137
|
|
4.75 |
-177
|
u8.0 -119
|
-1.5 +125
|
LA Angels
- Under is 7-0 in Angels last 7 vs. National League Central.
- Under is 8-0-1 in Angels last 9 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 5-0 in Kikuchis last 5 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Angels last 4 road games.
Pittsburgh
- Under is 5-0-1 in Pirates last 6 games as an underdog.
- Under is 4-0-2 in Pirates last 6 during game 2 of a series.
- Pirates are 5-0 in their last 5 interleague games as a favorite.
- Over is 6-0 in Ashcrafts last 6 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Top Projection
Mike Trout o0.5 Total RBIs (+255)
o0.5+255
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.27 |
-125
|
o8.0 -114
|
-1.5 +135
|
|
4.34 |
+125
|
u8.5 -125
|
+1.5 -140
|
Boston
- Red Sox are 9-0 in Grays last 9 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Red Sox are 6-0 in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Red Sox are 7-0 in Grays last 7 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 4-0 in Grays last 4 starts as a road favorite.
Baltimore
- Over is 8-0 in Bassitts last 8 starts as an underdog.
- Over is 5-0 in Bassitts last 5 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Under is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 9-1 in Bassitts last 10 starts on grass.
Top Projection
Adley Rutschman o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
o0.5+200
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.73 |
-105
|
o6.5 -120 
|
+1.5 -245
|
|
3.94 |
-105
|
u7.0 -115
|
-1.5 +195
|
Tampa Bay
- Rays are 6-0 in Rasmussens last 6 starts as a favorite.
- Rays are 6-0 in Rasmussens last 6 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Rays are 6-0 in Rasmussens last 6 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Rays are 7-0 in their last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
Texas
- Over is 5-0-1 in Rangers last 6 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Rangers last 5 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 7-0 in Rangers last 7 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Rangers last 4 during game 3 of a series.
Top Projection
Wyatt Langford o0.5 Total RBIs (+251)
o0.5+251
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.46 |
-105
|
o9.5 -110
|
-1.5 +145
|
|
5.56 |
-104
|
u10.0 -139
|
+1.5 -166
|
Toronto
- Over is 4-0-1 in Scherzers last 5 starts vs. American League Central.
- Over is 5-0 in Scherzers last 5 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
- Over is 5-1 in Blue Jays last 6 overall.
- Blue Jays are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a favorite.
Kansas City
- Over is 6-0-2 in Royals last 8 games a home underdog.
- Over is 5-0 in Lugos last 5 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 3-0-2 in Lugos last 5 starts overall.
- Over is 4-0 in Lugos last 4 starts as a favorite.
Top Projection
Bobby Witt Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+112)
o1.5+112
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.66 |
+107
|
o8.0 -115
|
+1.5 -192
|
|
4.50 |
-115
|
u8.5 -120
|
-1.5 +170
|
Minnesota
- Twins are 4-0 in Bradleys last 4 starts vs. American League Central.
- Over is 2-0-2 in Twins last 4 games as a road underdog.
- Under is 6-1 in Twins last 7 vs. American League Central.
- Over is 2-0-2 in Twins last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Chi. White Sox
- Under is 4-0 in White Sox last 4 overall.
- Under is 4-0 in White Sox last 4 on grass.
- Over is 4-0 in Kays last 4 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Under is 4-0 in White Sox last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Top Projection
Luke Keaschall o1.5 Total Bases (+175)
o1.5+175
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.21 |
+115
|
o7.5 -115
|
+2.5 -500
|
|
4.47 |
-115
|
u7.5 +100
|
-2.5 +285
|
NY Yankees
- Over is 4-0 in Yankees last 4 games as an underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Rodons last 4 starts as a road favorite.
- Yankees are 5-1 in their last 6 during game 2 of a series.
- Yankees are 7-1 in Rodons last 8 starts as a road favorite.
San Diego
- Padres are 6-0 in their last 6 interleague games as a favorite.
- Padres are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a home underdog.
- Padres are 6-0 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Padres are 6-0 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Top Projection
Manny Machado o0.5 Total RBIs (+178)
o0.5+178
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.73 |
-105
|
o8.5 -120
|
-1.5 +151
|
|
4.51 |
-105
|
u9.0 -120
|
+1.5 -176
|
Arizona
- Over is 6-0 in Diamondbacks last 6 during game 2 of a series.
- Diamondbacks are 5-0 in Pfaadts last 5 starts as a road underdog.
- Diamondbacks are 5-0 in Pfaadts last 5 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 6-0 in Diamondbacks last 6 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Houston
- Under is 6-0-1 in Astros last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Astros last 5 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 5-0 in Astros last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 4-0 in Astros last 4 overall.
Top Projection
Yordan Alvarez o0.5 Total RBIs (+145)
o0.5+145
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6.34 |
-120
|
o10.5 -120
|
-1.5 +125
|
|
5.68 |
+110
|
u11.0 -115
|
+1.5 -145
|
St. Louis
- Over is 5-0-1 in Cardinals last 6 during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 5-0 in Liberatores last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Over is 7-0 in Cardinals last 7 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 5-0 in Cardinals last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Colorado
- Under is 6-0 in Rockies last 6 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 7-0 in Rockies last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
- Under is 6-0 in Rockies last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 6-0 in Rockies last 6 games vs. a left-handed starter.
Top Projection
Hunter Goodman o0.5 Total RBIs (+122)
o0.5+122
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.90 |
+195
|
o7.0 -115
|
+2.0 -175
|
|
4.42 |
-213
|
u7.5 -124
|
-2.0 +143
|
Washington
- Under is 5-0-1 in Cavallis last 6 starts as a road underdog.
- Nationals are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a road favorite.
- Nationals are 5-0 in Cavallis last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Nationals are 5-0 in Cavallis last 5 starts on grass.
LA Dodgers
- Over is 5-1 in Dodgers last 6 games as an underdog.
- Dodgers are 8-1 in Glasnows last 9 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 5-1-1 in Dodgers last 7 during game 2 of a series.
- Dodgers are 7-1 in Glasnows last 8 starts as a home favorite.
Top Projection
CJ Abrams o0.5 Total RBIs (+255)
o0.5+255
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.53 |
+218
|
o7.5 -108
|
+1.5 +100
|
|
4.63 |
-240
|
u7.5 -105
|
-1.5 -110
|
Athletics
- Over is 6-0 in last 6 road games.
- Over is 6-0 in last 6 overall.
- Over is 6-0 in last 6 vs. American League West.
- Over is 6-0 in last 6 games as a road underdog.
Seattle
- Over is 5-0 in Mariners last 5 overall.
- Over is 5-0 in Kirbys last 5 starts vs. American League West.
- Mariners are 0-4 in their last 4 home games.
- Mariners are 0-6 in their last 6 games on grass.
Top Projection
Zack Gelof o0.5 Total RBIs (+230)
o0.5+246
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
5.58 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.26 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Milwaukee
- Over is 7-1-1 in Brewers last 9 games as a road underdog.
- Over is 6-1 in Brewers last 7 road games.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Brewers last 8 games as an underdog.
- Over is 5-1-1 in Brewers last 7 overall.
Cincinnati
- Over is 6-0 in Reds last 6 vs. National League Central.
- Reds are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a home favorite.
- Under is 6-2 in Reds last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
- Over is 6-2 in Reds last 8 overall.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.90 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.93 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Atlanta
- Under is 4-0-1 in Braves last 5 games as a road underdog.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Braves last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Braves are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 7-1-1 in Braves last 9 vs. a team with a winning record.
Philadelphia
- Over is 5-0-1 in Phillies last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Phillies last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Phillies are 7-1 in their last 8 home games.
- Over is 10-1-1 in Phillies last 12 home games.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.58 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
3.85 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Boston
- Over is 6-1 in Red Sox last 7 overall.
- Over is 6-1 in Red Sox last 7 on grass.
- Red Sox are 6-1 in their last 7 during game 4 of a series.
- Over is 5-1 in Red Sox last 6 games as a favorite.
Baltimore
- Over is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 during game 4 of a series.
- Under is 5-1 in Orioles last 6 games as a favorite.
- Under is 4-1 in Orioles last 5 overall.
- Under is 4-1 in Orioles last 5 games as a home favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
3.51 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.57 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
LA Angels
- Under is 7-0 in Angels last 7 vs. National League Central.
- Under is 8-0-1 in Angels last 9 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Angels last 4 road games.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Angels last 4 games as a road underdog.
Pittsburgh
- Under is 5-0-1 in Pirates last 6 games as an underdog.
- Pirates are 5-0 in their last 5 interleague games as a favorite.
- Pirates are 5-1 in their last 6 home games.
- Pirates are 5-1 in their last 6 overall.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
3.70 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.30 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Detroit
- Under is 7-0 in Tigers last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 5-1 in Tigers last 6 road games.
- Over is 5-1 in Tigers last 6 vs. American League Central.
- Over is 4-1 in Tigers last 5 overall.
Cleveland
- Guardians are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 4-1 in Guardians last 5 games as an underdog.
- Over is 4-1 in Guardians last 5 during game 4 of a series.
- Guardians are 13-3 in their last 16 games as a favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.86 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
3.82 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Chi. Cubs
- Over is 4-1 in Cubs last 5 games as a favorite.
- Under is 4-1 in Cubs last 5 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 6-2 in Cubs last 8 overall.
- Over is 5-1 in Cubs last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
Miami
- Marlins are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Marlins last 4 games as a favorite.
- Under is 5-1-1 in Marlins last 7 home games.
- Under is 4-1 in Marlins last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.41 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.47 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
San Francisco
- Over is 5-1-2 in Giants last 8 overall.
- Over is 5-1-2 in Giants last 8 games as an underdog.
- Over is 5-1-1 in Giants last 7 games as a favorite.
- Over is 5-1-2 in Giants last 8 on grass.
NY Mets
- Mets are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Mets are 4-0 in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Mets are 6-1 in their last 7 games as a home favorite.
- Mets are 6-1 in their last 7 games as a favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
5.57 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
5.49 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Toronto
- Blue Jays are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a favorite.
- Blue Jays are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Blue Jays are 6-1 in their last 7 overall.
- Over is 5-1 in Blue Jays last 6 road games.
Kansas City
- Over is 6-0-2 in Royals last 8 games a home underdog.
- Over is 5-0 in Royals last 5 during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 5-1 in Royals last 6 overall.
- Over is 5-1 in Royals last 6 on grass.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.60 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.31 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Arizona
- Diamondbacks are 5-0 in their last 5 during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Diamondbacks last 4 during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 4-1 in Diamondbacks last 5 games as a road underdog.
- Over is 4-1 in Diamondbacks last 5 interleague games as an underdog.
Houston
- Under is 4-0 in Astros last 4 overall.
- Under is 4-0 in Astros last 4 home games.
- Under is 2-0-2 in Astros last 4 games as an underdog.
- Under is 1-0-3 in Astros last 4 interleague games as an underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
3.98 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.13 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Tampa Bay
- Under is 4-0 in Rays last 4 games as a road favorite.
- Rays are 9-1 in their last 10 vs. American League West.
- Under is 6-1 in Rays last 7 road games.
- Rays are 7-1 in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Texas
- Over is 5-0-1 in Rangers last 6 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Rangers last 5 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 5-1-1 in Rangers last 7 overall.
- Rangers are 4-1 in their last 5 overall.
SF
@
NYM
Sat, Sep 5 • 4:10 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Juan Soto o0.5 Total Home Runs (+271)
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
Juan Soto has a strong home run case with two bombs over the last week, plus a 57.1% hard-hit rate and 24.4% barrel rate. His 64.3% fly-ball rate gives him plenty of lift, while Anthony Molina and the Giants bullpen offer multiple paths.
Total Home Runs
Juan Soto o0.5 Total Home Runs (+271)
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
Juan Soto has a strong power profile with two homers, a 57.1% hard-hit rate, and a 24.4% barrel rate over the last week. Molina’s air-contact issues and the Giants bullpen aren't untouchable, either.
CHC
@
MIA
Sat, Sep 5 • 4:10 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Pete Crow-Armstrong o0.5 Total Home Runs (+286)
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
Pete Crow-Armstrong is the hottest power bat on this card, launching six homers over his last six games with a .667 ISO. His 55% fly-ball rate and 30% barrel rate create a loud profile, while Ryan Gusto and Miami’s bullpen add matchup appeal.
Total Bases
Alex Bregman o1.5 Total Bases (+147)
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
Alex Bregman is scorching with a .692 ISO, .423 average, and eight extra-base hits over his last six games. He has cleared this total in four of his last five, and Ryan Gusto’s recent vulnerability gives Bregman another strong matchup to attack.
ATL
@
PHI
Sat, Sep 5 • 6:05 PM ET
Earned Runs Allowed
Martin Perez u2.5 Earned Runs Allowed (-122)
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
Martin Perez has been steady lately, allowing one earned run or fewer in five of his last six appearances. The veteran has limited barrels, owns a 1.86 ERA over his last two starts, and already tossed six scoreless against Philadelphia earlier this season.
Total Home Runs
Trea Turner o0.5 Total Home Runs (+500)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Trea Turner has a nice history against Martin Perez, hitting .294 with an ISO just under .300.
He is also in excellent form facing Perez’ pitch mix. Turner’s average exit velocity is up nearly four miles per hour over the last 25 plate appearances, and his hard hit rate has soared to nearly 70% along the way.
DET
@
CLE
Sat, Sep 5 • 6:10 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Jo Adell o0.5 Total Home Runs (+500)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Jo Adell crushes left-handed pitching. He has managed a .278 ISO and .949 OPS on the year, and his numbers are trending even further upwards.
He has hit .342 with a .368 ISO and 19.2% barrel rate against southpaws over his last 25 games.
Adell also has a great track record against Framber Valdez, going 7-25 (.280 BA) with five extra base hits.
Total
u7.5 (-138)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Parker Messick has faced eight Bottom-10 teams in OPS vs. lefties. The results are remarkably good, with Messick allowing two runs or less in all eight.
Framber Valdez is an elite ground ball generator and his barrel rate has improved to 5.1% over the past 30 days.
He shouldn’t give up much power, making the Under attractive to 60%.
MIL
@
CIN
Sat, Sep 5 • 6:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Elly De La Cruz o1.5 Total Bases (+138)
Projection 1.78
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his BABIP skill, Elly De La Cruz is projected as the 5th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Elly De La Cruz is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game.. Great American Ball Park grades out as the #4 park in MLB for left-handed home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. This matchup is projected to have the 13th-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. The switch-hitting Elly De La Cruz will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side (0) today against Dustin May.
Total Bases
Tyler Stephenson o1.5 Total Bases (+180)
Projection 1.45
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 86th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.. Tyler Stephenson is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 4th-best park in the majors for right-handed home runs.. This matchup is projected to have the 13th-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Tyler Stephenson has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.3%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.
LAA
@
PIT
Sat, Sep 5 • 6:40 PM ET
Total Hits
Jared Triolo u0.5 Total Hits (+202)
Projection 0.84
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Jared Triolo is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in this matchup.. Home runs are generally less common at parks with deep fences, and PNC Park has the 7th-deepest among all stadiums.. Jared Triolo has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 86.6-mph dropping to 79.6-mph in the past 14 days.. Jared Triolo's launch angle this year (5.7°) is a significant dropoff from his 14.2° figure last season.. With a .280 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Jared Triolo finds himself in the 9th percentile.
Total Bases
Oswald Peraza o1.5 Total Bases (+330)
Projection 1.18
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The #3 venue in the game for boosting BABIP to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.. The Pittsburgh Pirates outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-weakest out of every team in action today.. Compared to his seasonal average of 10.3°, Oswald Peraza has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 37.5° angle in the last week.
BOS
@
BAL
Sat, Sep 5 • 7:05 PM ET
Total Bases
Adley Rutschman o1.5 Total Bases (+150)
Projection 1.72
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adley Rutschman in the 88th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.. Adley Rutschman is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. Among all major league parks, Oriole Park at Camden Yards's RF dimensions are the shallowest.. Adley Rutschman's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last year to this one, increasing from 17.4% to 21.6%.. Despite posting a .313 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Adley Rutschman has had bad variance on his side given the .016 gap between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .329.
Total Bases
Colton Cowser o1.5 Total Bases (+300)
Projection 1.13
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colton Cowser in the 87th percentile when it comes to his home run skill.. Colton Cowser will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Sonny Gray in today's matchup.. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Colton Cowser will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. Over the past two weeks, Colton Cowser's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94.9-mph over the course of the season to 97.2-mph in recent games.. Colton Cowser's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved of late, going from 44.6% on the season to 69.6% over the last two weeks.
TB
@
TEX
Sat, Sep 5 • 7:05 PM ET
Earned Runs Allowed
Jacob deGrom u1.5 Earned Runs Allowed (+111)
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
Moneyline
TEX (-103)
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst
Texas is swinging the bats at an elite level, ranking second in MLB with a 124 wRC+ over the last fortnight. Jacob deGrom at home as a plus-money underdog against a flat Tampa Bay offense (84 wRC+) is the clearest form-versus-price discrepancy on the entire Saturday slate.
TOR
@
KC
Sat, Sep 5 • 7:10 PM ET
Total Home Runs
George Springer o0.5 Total Home Runs (+405)
Dustin Saracini
Senior Analyst
George Springer has been making some loud contact lately, and should be able to get the barrel on Lugo, who won't overpower anyone. Springer has been extremely hot post-All-Star break, rocking a .856 OPS - let's see him connect with one tonight.
Moneyline
TOR (-110)
Dustin Saracini
Senior Analyst
The Toronto Blue Jays are winners of five of their last six, with the offense continuing to roll, scoring 26 runs across their last three games. There's not much in the way of stopping them from continuing that trend today, as Kansas City Royals starter Seth Lugo has struggled mightily this season, owning the highest xBA (.280) and xERA (5.16) of his career.
MIN
@
CHW
Sat, Sep 5 • 7:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Josh Bell o1.5 Total Bases (+160)
Projection 1.62
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Josh Bell ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Josh Bell is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Guaranteed Rate Field as the 6th-best venue in baseball for boosting offensive stats to righties.. Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest fences in Major League Baseball — generally good for home runs.. This game is predicted to have the most humidity on the slate today (80%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid.
Total Bases
Andrew Benintendi u1.5 Total Bases (-220)
Projection 0.76
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
31% of the time that Andrew Benintendi has started against a righty on the mound this year, he has been pinch hit for.. Andrew Benintendi's launch angle this season (16.9°) is quite a bit lower than his 20.6° angle last season.. Andrew Benintendi has recorded a .220 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, grading out in the 14th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
NYY
@
SD
Sat, Sep 5 • 7:15 PM ET
Total
u7.5 (-103)
Chris Hatfield
Betting Analyst
The under is built around matchup-specific starting pitching. Carlos Rodón has held the current San Diego Padres roster to a .278 wOBA, .207 xBA and .320 xSLG across 78 career plate appearances. Robbie Ray’s overall profile is less convincing, with a 4.58 xERA in the 38th percentile, but the current New York Yankees roster has managed only a .217 wOBA, .182 xBA and .289 xSLG against him over 83 plate appearances. That is a much better matchup for Ray than his season-long numbers suggest.
Rodón’s limited workload is the biggest threat to the under, as he has averaged only 4.1 innings over his last five starts. However, New York’s available bullpen has a 3.06 ERA, giving the Yankees a strong bridge if he exits early. San Diego’s available bullpen sits at 3.61 ERA, not an obvious path to a crooked inning. With both lineups facing pitchers who have suppressed this specific group of hitters, I’d play Under 7.5 runs to 53%.
Moneyline
NYY (+109)
Chris Hatfield
Betting Analyst
The New York Yankees are my side against the San Diego Padres at Petco Park. New York’s strength is pitching depth, while San Diego’s weakness is its starting staff: Yankees starters own a 3.33 ERA, compared with 4.34 for Padres starters, and available bullpens favor New York, 3.06 ERA to 3.61.
Carlos Rodón has averaged only 4.1 innings over his last five starts, but the Yankees can cover that risk with the better bullpen. Robbie Ray’s 3.14 ERA is less convincing underneath: his 4.58 xERA ranks in the 38th percentile among qualified MLB pitchers. I’d play the Yankees to 52% for two units.
AZ
@
HOU
Sat, Sep 5 • 7:15 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Nolan Arenado o0.5 Total Home Runs (+575)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Sinkers and fastballs account for nearly 65% of Ethan Pecko’s pitches against right-handed batters. That sets up favorably for Nolan Arenado, who possesses ISOs above .230 when facing each of those pitches.
We’re still dealing with small samples with Pecko but he ranks in the fifth percentile or worse in xwOBA, xSLG, and ISO.
Moneyline
AZ (-105)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
The Houston Astros rank dead last in wOBA vs. righties the past month, and their xwOBA is actually lower than the results they’ve garnered.
I have more faith in the Arizona Diamondbacks offense. They sit 16th in wOBA over the same span and are facing the inexperienced Ethan Pecko, who has not been able to keep runners off the bases (1.54 WHIP).
Back Arizona to 53%.
STL
@
COL
Sat, Sep 5 • 8:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Cole Carrigg o1.5 Total Bases (+120)
Projection 1.79
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Cole Carrigg is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Coors Field as the best venue in baseball for run-scoring.. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude in the league, which often leads to better offense.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects for the 2nd-most suitable hitting conditions on the slate today.. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Cole Carrigg will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Nolan Gorman o1.5 Total Bases (+137)
Projection 1.64
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Coors Field as the best venue in baseball for run-scoring.. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude in the league, which often leads to better offense.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects for the 2nd-most suitable hitting conditions on the slate today.. Batting from the opposite that Mason Adams throws from, Nolan Gorman will have the upper hand today.. Nolan Gorman has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.3-mph to 93.6-mph in the last week.
WAS
@
LAD
Sat, Sep 5 • 9:10 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Freddie Freeman o0.5 Total Home Runs (+500)
Chris Faria
Betting Analyst
Freddie Freeman has been particularly dangerous against the four-seamer from righties, batting a ridiculous .355 with a .554 SLG.
Six of his homers have come against that pitch type – the second most on LA – and it’s also Cade Cavalli’s most common offering (32.9%).
Total
u7.5 (-134)
Chris Faria
Betting Analyst
We're in for a pitcher's duel between Tyler Glasnow and Cade Cavalli, who has been great for Washington down the stretch. Cavalli owns a 1.75 ERA over his last six appearances.
The Nationals have hit the team total Under in 10 of their last 14 away games, while the Dodgers have done so in 24 of their last 35 home games.
ATH
@
SEA
Sat, Sep 5 • 9:40 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Cal Raleigh o0.5 Total Home Runs (+286)
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
Cal Raleigh is waking up again with six homers over his last 11 appearances and a .513 ISO. He gets a favorable matchup against Jeffrey Springs, who has allowed major home run damage lately, and Raleigh’s air-contact profile gives him real upside.
Total Bases
Zack Gelof o1.5 Total Bases (+185)
Projection 1.42
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Zack Gelof in the 83rd percentile when assessing his home run ability.. Zack Gelof is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 60% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.. T-Mobile Park has the 10th-lowest average fence height among all major league stadiums.. T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest fences among all stadiums — generally good for long-balls.. The Seattle Mariners infield defense profiles as the worst among every team playing today.
Our experts and prediction models are hard at work analyzing the data. Check back shortly for today's picks, or explore our Computer Picks for inspiration.
Latest headlines Checkout latest headlinesRead more
-
Visit all available MLB odds View now MLB odds
-
MLB Scores + Matchups View now MLB Scores + Matchups
Latest headlines Checkout latest headlinesRead more
How To Use MLB Computer Picks
You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.
This page also tees up access to deeper betting trends. For example, if a club's run line is favored, you can check their ATS trends, potentially opening up some quality underdog bets.
If you're ready to get started with MLB betting, visit our dedicated page highlighting the best MLB betting sites.
Moneyline
This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.
It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.
Run line
The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.
The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.
Totals (Over/Under)
Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.
Free Computer Picks by Odds Shark
More MLB Picks & Betting Tools
NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks
A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.
First Five Innings MLB Picks
The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.
MLB Picks And Parlays
If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.
But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.
If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.
MLB Player Props
Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?
You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.
MLB Futures Picks
Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.
MLB Free Picks FAQs
When do we release our MLB picks?
Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.
What kinds of MLB picks do we make?
Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.
