All Picks
NFL
NCAAF
MLB
NBA
NCAAB
NHL
CFL
WNBA
Golf
World Cup
What Is An MLB Computer Pick?
MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.
MLB Picks
Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Aug. 23, 2026.
New
Computer Picks powered by
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.30 |
+200 
|
o7.5 -120 
|
+1.5 -114
|
|
4.85 |
-205 
|
u8.0 -103
|
-1.5 +105
|
St. Louis
- Under is 7-0 in Leahys last 7 starts as a favorite.
- Under is 6-0-2 in Leahys last 8 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Cardinals are 7-0 in their last 7 during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Leahys last 5 starts vs. National League East.
Philadelphia
- Phillies are 8-0 in their last 8 overall.
- Phillies are 6-0 in their last 6 home games.
- Phillies are 8-0 in their last 8 games on grass.
- Phillies are 6-0 in their last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
Top Projection
Bryce Harper u1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-115)
u1.5+105
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.83 |
+147 
|
o8.0 -115
|
+1.5 -150
|
|
4.13 |
-152
|
u8.5 -115
|
-1.5 +140
|
Washington
- Under is 6-0 in Nationals last 6 road games.
- Under is 6-0 in Nationals last 6 overall.
- Under is 6-0 in Nationals last 6 games as an underdog.
- Nationals are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a road favorite.
Miami
- Under is 7-1 in Marlins last 8 games as a home underdog.
- Over is 5-0 in Junks last 5 starts a home underdog.
- Marlins are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a home favorite.
- Under is 5-1 in Marlins last 6 home games.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.57 |
+165
|
o8.5 -120
|
+1.5 -130 
|
|
4.43 |
-174
|
u9.0 -118
|
-1.5 +120 
|
Athletics
- Under is 4-0 in last 4 vs. American League West.
- Under is 7-1 in last 8 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 5-1 in last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 8-2 in last 10 vs. a team with a losing record.
Houston
- Under is 5-0 in Astros last 5 games following a loss.
- Under is 5-1 in Astros last 6 overall.
- Under is 5-1 in Astros last 6 home games.
- Under is 5-1 in Astros last 6 vs. American League West.
Top Projection
Cristian Javier o4.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+105)
o4.5+105
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.63 |
-102
|
o8.0 -115
|
-1.5 +160
|
|
4.10 |
-102
|
u11.0 -400
|
+1.5 -170
|
NY Mets
- Over is 6-0 in Mets last 6 vs. American League Central.
- Mets are 6-0 in McLeans last 6 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 5-0 in Mets last 5 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 5-0 in Mets last 5 interleague road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Chi. White Sox
- White Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 games as an underdog.
- White Sox are 7-2 in their last 9 games as a home underdog.
- White Sox are 8-0 in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
- Under is 5-0 in White Sox last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
Top Projection
Brett Baty o1.5 Total Bases (+255)
o1.5+255
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.46 |
-108 
|
o8.5 -106
|
-1.5 +155
|
|
4.47 |
+101
|
u8.5 +100
|
+1.5 -165
|
Detroit
- Under is 5-0 in Tigers last 5 during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Valdezs last 6 starts on grass.
- Over is 6-1 in Tigers last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Valdezs last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Kansas City
- Royals are 7-0 in their last 7 overall.
- Over is 5-0-2 in Royals last 7 games a home underdog.
- Royals are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a favorite.
- Royals are 7-0 in their last 7 games on grass.
Top Projection
Corey Julks u0.5 Total Hits (+113)
u0.5+132
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.05 |
+145
|
o7.5 -120
|
+1.5 -150
|
|
4.02 |
-154
|
u8.0 -115 
|
-1.5 +140
|
LA Angels
- Under is 7-0 in Angels last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 6-1-1 in Angels last 8 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 4-0 in Kikuchis last 4 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Under is 8-1 in Angels last 9 vs. American League West.
Texas
- Under is 5-0 in Rangers last 5 home games.
- Under is 5-0 in Rangers last 5 games as a home favorite.
- Under is 5-0 in Rangers last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 5-0 in Rangers last 5 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Top Projection
Jose Siri o1.5 Total Bases (+240)
o1.5+240
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6.15 |
-156
|
o7.5 -500
|
-1.5 -105
|
|
5.22 |
+150
|
u11.0 +100
|
+1.5 -105
|
Cleveland
- Guardians are 7-0 in their last 7 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 5-0 in Guardians last 5 games following a win.
- Under is 4-0 in Guardians last 4 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 5-1 in Guardians last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
Colorado
- Under is 5-1 in Rockies last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 5-1 in Rockies last 6 interleague home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 4-0 in Suganos last 4 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Over is 4-1 in Rockies last 5 overall.
Top Projection
Mickey Moniak o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-105)
o1.5-105
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.04 |
+195
|
o8.5 -105
|
+1.5 -115
|
|
4.93 |
-200
|
u8.5 -105
|
-1.5 +105
|
San Francisco
- Over is 5-0 in Giants last 5 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 3-0-2 in Giants last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Giants last 4 interleague games as a favorite.
- Under is 5-1-1 in Giants last 7 games as an underdog.
Boston
- Red Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 interleague games as an underdog.
- Over is 6-0 in Red Sox last 6 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 6-0 in Red Sox last 6 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
Top Projection
Rafael Devers o0.5 Total RBIs (+251)
o0.5+251
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.49 |
+260
|
o8.5 -110
|
+2.0 -120
|
|
5.29 |
-275
|
u8.5 +100
|
-2.0 -108
|
Pittsburgh
- Over is 4-1 in Pirates last 5 overall.
- Over is 4-1 in Pirates last 5 on grass.
- Under is 7-2 in Pirates last 9 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 6-2 in Pirates last 8 vs. National League West.
LA Dodgers
- Dodgers are 5-0 in their last 5 overall.
- Dodgers are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a favorite.
- Dodgers are 5-0 in their last 5 games on grass.
- Under is 4-0 in Dodgers last 4 during game 3 of a series.
Top Projection
Oneil Cruz o0.5 Total RBIs (+255)
o0.5+269
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.23 |
-113
|
o7.5 -105
|
-1.5 +155
|
|
3.96 |
+105
|
u7.5 -105
|
+1.5 -165
|
Chi. Cubs
- Over is 3-0-1 in Cubs last 4 interleague games as a favorite.
- Under is 7-1 in Cubs last 8 interleague road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Cubs last 5 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Cubs last 5 interleague road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Seattle
- Over is 5-0 in Mariners last 5 overall.
- Over is 5-0 in Mariners last 5 vs. National League Central.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Millers last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Over is 5-0 in Mariners last 5 on grass.
Top Projection
Michael Busch o0.5 Total RBIs (+207)
o0.5+207
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.60 |
+138
|
o8.5 -115
|
+1.5 -155
|
|
4.95 |
-135
|
u9.0 -120
|
-1.5 +145
|
Minnesota
- Over is 4-0 in Twins last 4 interleague road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 6-1 in Twins last 7 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Twins are 4-0 in Obers last 4 starts as an underdog.
- Over is 4-1-1 in Twins last 6 interleague games as an underdog.
San Diego
- Padres are 5-0 in their last 5 interleague games as a favorite.
- Padres are 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Padres are 7-0 in Buehlers last 7 interleague starts.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Padres last 5 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Top Projection
Byron Buxton o1.5 Total Bases (+115)
o1.5+115
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.94 |
+121
|
o8.5 -120
|
+1.5 -170
|
|
4.66 |
-129
|
u9.0 -110
|
-1.5 +160
|
Cincinnati
- Over is 4-0 in Reds last 4 overall.
- Over is 4-0 in Reds last 4 vs. National League West.
- Reds are 4-0 in Abbotts last 4 starts as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Reds last 4 on grass.
Arizona
- Over is 5-0 in Diamondbacks last 5 overall.
- Over is 5-0 in Diamondbacks last 5 on grass.
- Over is 4-0 in Diamondbacks last 4 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 4-0 in Diamondbacks last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.44 |
+112
|
o7.5 -105
|
+1.5 -200
|
|
4.01 |
-112
|
u7.5 -105
|
-1.5 +168
|
Atlanta
- Under is 5-0 in Braves last 5 vs. National League Central.
- Under is 4-0 in Braves last 4 games as a favorite.
- Under is 4-0 in Braves last 4 games as a road underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Braves last 4 games as an underdog.
Milwaukee
- Under is 6-1-1 in Brewers last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
- Under is 4-0 in Brewers last 4 vs. National League East.
- Brewers are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Brewers are 4-1 in their last 5 games as an underdog.
Top Projection
Christian Yelich o0.5 Total RBIs (+280)
o0.5+280
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.57 |
-138
|
o7.5 -105
|
-1.5 +125
|
|
|
3.65 |
+118
|
u7.5 -114
|
+1.5 -150
|
Boston
- Red Sox are 8-0 in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Red Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 interleague games as an underdog.
- Red Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
- Over is 5-0 in Red Sox last 5 interleague road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Miami
- Marlins are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a home favorite.
- Marlins are 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Under is 4-0 in Marlins last 4 vs. American League East.
- Marlins are 8-1 in their last 9 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.75 |
-130
|
o7.5 -115
|
-1.5 +136
|
|
|
4.09 |
+110
|
u7.5 -104
|
+1.5 -160
|
Tampa Bay
- Over is 4-0 in Rays last 4 during game 1 of a series.
- Rays are 6-1 in their last 7 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 4-1 in Rays last 5 road games.
- Under is 4-1 in Rays last 5 vs. American League Central.
Detroit
- Under is 4-0 in Tigers last 4 overall.
- Under is 4-0 in Tigers last 4 games as an underdog.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Tigers last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Under is 4-0 in Tigers last 4 on grass.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.08 |
+155
|
o9.0 -110
|
+1.5 -135
|
|
|
4.44 |
-190
|
u9.0 -110
|
-1.5 +110
|
Colorado
- Over is 5-1 in Rockies last 6 during game 1 of a series.
- Under is 5-1 in Rockies last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 4-1 in Rockies last 5 overall.
- Rockies are 4-1 in their last 5 games as a road favorite.
Washington
- Under is 6-0 in Nationals last 6 overall.
- Under is 6-0 in Nationals last 6 games as an underdog.
- Under is 6-0 in Nationals last 6 on grass.
- Under is 9-1 in Nationals last 10 during game 1 of a series.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.67 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.76 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Texas
- Under is 6-1 in Rangers last 7 road games.
- Under is 6-1 in Rangers last 7 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 14-2 in Rangers last 16 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Rangers last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Chi. White Sox
- White Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 games as an underdog.
- Over is 5-1 in White Sox last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
- White Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 overall.
- Over is 5-1 in White Sox last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.51 |
-162
|
o8.0 -112
|
-1.5 +105
|
|
|
3.73 |
+136
|
u8.0 -108
|
+1.5 -128
|
Cleveland
- Under is 5-0 in Messicks last 5 starts as a road underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Guardians last 4 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 4-0 in Messicks last 4 starts as an underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Guardians last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
LA Angels
- Under is 7-0 in Angels last 7 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Under is 7-1-1 in Angels last 9 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 6-1-1 in Angels last 8 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 6-1 in Angels last 7 games as a favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.34 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.06 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Pittsburgh
- Over is 4-0 in Pirates last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 6-2 in Pirates last 8 vs. National League West.
- Over is 4-1 in Pirates last 5 overall.
- Pirates are 6-2 in their last 8 games as a favorite.
San Diego
- Padres are 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Padres are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a home favorite.
- Padres are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a home underdog.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Padres last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
5.31 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.45 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Chi. Cubs
- Cubs are 7-0 in their last 7 vs. National League West.
- Over is 4-0 in Cubs last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Cubs last 8 road games.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Cubs last 8 games as a road favorite.
Arizona
- Over is 5-0 in Diamondbacks last 5 overall.
- Over is 5-0 in Diamondbacks last 5 on grass.
- Under is 4-0 in Diamondbacks last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 7-1 in Diamondbacks last 8 games as a home favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.41 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
3.97 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Philadelphia
- Phillies are 8-0 in their last 8 overall.
- Phillies are 8-0 in their last 8 games on grass.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Phillies last 6 interleague games as a favorite.
- Over is 8-1 in Phillies last 9 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
Seattle
- Over is 5-0 in Mariners last 5 overall.
- Over is 5-0 in Mariners last 5 on grass.
- Over is 5-0 in Mariners last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 5-0 in Mariners last 5 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
6.45 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
5.47 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Minnesota
- Over is 3-0-1 in Twins last 4 vs. American League West.
- Over is 6-0-1 in Twins last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Over is 10-1 in Twins last 11 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Twins last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400.
Athletics
- Under is 4-0 in last 4 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.
- Over is 6-1-1 in last 8 vs. American League Central.
- Over is 5-1-1 in last 7 during game 1 of a series.
- Over is 7-2 in last 9 home games.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.63 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
3.69 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Cincinnati
- Reds are 5-0 in Burns' last 5 starts with 4 days of rest.
- Over is 4-0 in Reds last 4 overall.
- Over is 4-0 in Reds last 4 vs. National League West.
- Over is 4-0 in Burns' last 4 starts as a road favorite.
San Francisco
- Under is 5-1-1 in Giants last 7 games as an underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Giants last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 11-4 in Giants last 15 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Giants are 4-1 in their last 5 games as a favorite.
ATH
@
HOU
Sun, Aug 23 • 2:10 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Yordan Alvarez o0.5 Total Home Runs (+344)
Colby Marchio
Contributor
Yordan Alvarez enters today’s matchup with one of the highest-rated matchups on the slate over at Batters-Box, covering every pitch in Athletics right-hander Jack Perkins’ pitch mix. Alvarez has recorded four balls hit over 100 MPH since August 18 and owns a .467 SLG, .200 ISO, and 52% hard-hit rate over his last 10 games. Perkins has struggled against left-handed hitters, allowing a 57% hard-hit rate, 19% barrel rate, and 3.18 HR/9 over his last 30 faced. Alvarez has also homered in over 33% of his 24 elite home ratings this season. Near +350, the price is too good to pass up.
Total Bases
Yordan Alvarez o1.5 Total Bases (+107)
Projection 2.03
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Yordan Alvarez projects as the 2nd-best batter in baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Yordan Alvarez is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game.. Minute Maid Park has the 2nd-smallest outfield in MLB — generally good for home runs.. Yordan Alvarez will have the handedness advantage over Brady Basso today.. Among all the teams playing today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the the Athletics.
NYM
@
CHW
Sun, Aug 23 • 2:10 PM ET
Total Hits
Munetaka Murakami o0.5 Total Hits (-150)
Colby Marchio
Contributor
White Sox slugger Munetaka Murakami remains one of the most lethal bats in baseball, yet his hit prop continues to be priced surprisingly low. He gets an elite matchup this afternoon against Mets right-hander Nolan McLean, marking his 28th elite rating at home this season. In his previous 27, Murakami recorded a hit 70.37% of the time. Overall, he has recorded a hit in nearly 71% of 55 elite ratings this season, while hitting a home run at a near 35% clip. He also sports a .278 ISO over his last 10 games, with a 52.4% hard-hit rate and nearly 20% barrel rate. McLean has struggled against lefties, allowing 2.13 HR/9 and a 47.6% hard-hit rate over his last 60 faced. Murakami covers almost 87% of McLean's arsenal, making the hit prop worth the juice, while his double and home run offer plus-money upside.
Total
u8.5 (-116)
Ethan Diamandas
Betting Analyst
DET
@
KC
Sun, Aug 23 • 2:10 PM ET
Total Hits
Eduardo Valencia u0.5 Total Hits (+140)
Projection 0.76
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
This year, Eduardo Valencia has been pinch hit for in 37% of his appearances when starting against lefty on the mound.. The deepest left field dimensions in Major League Baseball are found in Kauffman Stadium.. The Kansas City Royals infield defense grades out as the best among all the teams in action today.. Eduardo Valencia will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's game.. Eduardo Valencia has negatively regressed with his Barrel% of late; his 23.8% seasonal rate has decreased to 14.3% over the past two weeks.
Total Bases
Kevin McGonigle o1.5 Total Bases (+138)
Projection 1.62
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Kevin McGonigle ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Kevin McGonigle is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Kauffman Stadium as the 7th-best venue in the majors for run-scoring.. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which tends to lead to more offense.. Kevin McGonigle may have an advantage against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Kansas City Royals only has 1 same-handed RP.
LAA
@
TEX
Sun, Aug 23 • 2:35 PM ET
Total Bases
Zach Neto o1.5 Total Bases (+139)
Projection 1.67
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
As it relates to his home run ability, Zach Neto ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Zach Neto is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.. Globe Life Field has the 7th-lowest fences among all parks.. Zach Neto has a ton of pop (90th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's always far from assured (27.1% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Cal Quantrill doesn't generate many whiffs (23rd percentile K%) — great news for Neto.. There has been a significant improvement in Zach Neto's launch angle from last year's 17.7° to 22.8° this year.
Total Hits
Wyatt Langford u0.5 Total Hits (+170)
Projection 0.88
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Globe Life Field grades out as the #30 park in Major League Baseball for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The 7th-deepest CF fences in MLB are found in Globe Life Field.. The Globe Life Field roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game -10° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Wyatt Langford has negatively regressed with his Barrel% in recent games; his 7.7% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% in the past 7 days.. Wyatt Langford's launch angle recently (-0.8° in the last 7 days) is considerably lower than his 18.3° seasonal angle.
CLE
@
COL
Sun, Aug 23 • 3:10 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Jo Adell o0.5 Total Home Runs (+307)
Colby Marchio
Contributor
Jo Adell continues to stand out as my favorite home run look for Cleveland this afternoon, despite not carrying an elite or strong Batters-Box rating. Over his last ten games, Adell owns a .400 ISO, 40% HR/FB rate, over 60% hard-hit rate and over 20% barrel rate. Colorado starter Tomoyuki Sugano has also struggled against right-handed bats, posting a 6.42 xERA while allowing a 56.5% hard-hit rate and 43.5% line-drive rate over his last 30 right-handed hitters faced. With Adell producing almost 42% hard contact this season, I’m backing the Guardians slugger to go back-to-back with another nuke.
Earned Runs Allowed
Tomoyuki Sugano o3.5 Earned Runs Allowed (-120)
Colby Marchio
Contributor
The Cleveland Guardians draw one of the highest-rated lineups on Sunday, featuring six elite-rated bats and two more with strong ratings, according to Batters-Box. That is bad news for Colorado Rockies right-hander Sugano, who has struggled mightily against left-handed hitters. At home this season, he owns a 6.00 xERA while allowing a 13.37% barrel rate and 45% hard-hit rate. Lefties have been especially productive against him, posting a .411 xwOBA. With Cleveland carrying only one true right-handed hitter, the matchup sets up well for the Guardians to attack Sugano's biggest weakness. The over 3.5 earned runs is worth a look.
SF
@
BOS
Sun, Aug 23 • 3:15 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Wilyer Abreu o0.5 Total Home Runs (+425)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Wilyer Abreu is my favorite home run candidate in this game. He continues to make powerful contact, leading the Red Sox with a 55% hard hit rate this month.
He is hammering the baseball and it’s leading to results. He’s hit .319 with a .362 ISO and 1.111 OPS, all of which are tops on the team among everyday players.
Bet to +405.
Total
u8.5 (-120)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
The San Francisco Giants are loaded with players who own painful results against lefties. Bryce Eldridge is the only projected starter with an xwOBA over .300, which is almost shocking.
San Francisco is going with a bullpen approach, and their relievers have combined to allow 0.48 home runs per nine innings in August.
Their ability to keep the ball in the park will help limit damage, making the Under a buy to -130.
PIT
@
LAD
Sun, Aug 23 • 4:10 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Freddie Freeman o0.5 Total Home Runs (+442)
JD Yonke
Betting Analyst
There are pristine weather conditions for the offense: temps in the mid-90s and winds of 6-10 mph blowing out to right-center. Carmen Mlodzinki's second-percentile xBA and second-percentile hard-hit rate are an issue as L.A. has a league-best .264 xBA against RHP.
CHC
@
SEA
Sun, Aug 23 • 4:10 PM ET
Total
o7.5 (-103)
Colby Marchio
Contributor
The Over is in play with both Shota Imanaga and Bryce Miller showing some concerning underlying metrics. Imanaga has pitched well across his last five starts, but opposing hitters have generated nearly a 17% barrel rate against him over his last three outings. Miller has also allowed over an 11.5% barrel rate to opposing hitters. While the Mariners’ bats have been ice cold, their ability to draw walks could help put runners on and create scoring opportunities. The Cubs should do most of the damage, but Seattle has a chance to contribute against Imanaga’s recent underlying flaws.
Moneyline
CHC (-116)
Colby Marchio
Contributor
The Chicago Cubs look like a steal at $1.16 this afternoon against Bryce Miller and the Seattle Mariners. Miller has struggled over his last three outings, posting an 8.04 ERA, 1.60 WHIP, and allowing an 11.5% barrel rate. Seattle's bats have also been ice cold, owning a 25% strikeout rate, .676 OPS, 4.3% barrel rate, and 98 wRC+ over their last six games. Meanwhile, Shota Imanaga has been shoving, posting a 3.18 ERA and 0.99 WHIP over his last five starts. The Cubs' offense has also been rolling, with a 119 wRC+, .348 wOBA, and .799 OPS over their last six games.
MIN
@
SD
Sun, Aug 23 • 4:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Byron Buxton o1.5 Total Bases (+115)
Projection 2.11
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Byron Buxton as Major League Baseball's 4th-best home run batter.. Byron Buxton is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. Petco Park has the shallowest CF dimensions among all stadiums.. In Major League Baseball, Petco Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
Total Bases
Gavin Sheets o1.5 Total Bases (+195)
Projection 1.43
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
In Major League Baseball, Petco Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Batting from the opposite that Bailey Ober throws from, Gavin Sheets will have an edge in today's matchup.. Among every team playing today, the 3rd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Minnesota Twins.. Gavin Sheets will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats.
CIN
@
AZ
Sun, Aug 23 • 4:15 PM ET
Total Bases
Eugenio Suarez u1.5 Total Bases (-175)
Projection 0.89
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The 3rd-deepest centerfield fences in Major League Baseball are found in Chase Field.. In MLB, the 10th-tallest fence height (on average) are at Chase Field.. Low humidity has a small but significant link with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weather report predicts the 2nd-driest conditions on the slate today at 27%.. Extreme groundball batters like Eugenio Suarez usually hit worse against extreme groundball pitchers like Mitch Bratt.. The Arizona Diamondbacks outfield defense grades out as the 4th-strongest among every team on the slate today.
Total Bases
Dane Myers o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.58
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dane Myers in the 78th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.. Dane Myers is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 54% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Chase Field as the 4th-best park in the majors for run-scoring.. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation among all major league parks, which tends to lead to more offense.. Dane Myers will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Mitch Bratt today.
ATL
@
MIL
Sun, Aug 23 • 7:10 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Ronald Acuna Jr. o0.5 Total Home Runs (+425)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Shane Drohan is more susceptible to giving up homers when facing righties, and Ronald Acuna Jr. profiles well against his mix.
Isolating Drohan’s three most-used pitches vs. right-handed bats, Acuna Jr. owns a .360 ISO, .378 wOBA, and 23.1% barrel rate the past 25 games.
Bet to +410.
Total
o7.5 (-105)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
The Atlanta Braves sit ninth in ISO against lefties, and rank in the 96th percentile with a .430 xSLG over their last 30 games.
Tyler Mahle owns a 6.55 ERA away from Oracle, and has given up at least two runs in nine of 11 road starts.
The Milwaukee Brewers should also score here, making the 7.5 total a buy up to -125.
BOS
@
NYY
Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET
Total
o8.5 (-110)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.
Moneyline
NYY (-135)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.
SF
@
ATL
Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET
Total
o7.5 (-116)
Pick made: 2 months ago
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
Moneyline
SF (+124)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.
Our experts and prediction models are hard at work analyzing the data. Check back shortly for today's picks, or explore our Computer Picks for inspiration.
Latest headlines Checkout latest headlinesRead more
-
Visit all available MLB odds View now MLB odds
-
MLB Scores + Matchups View now MLB Scores + Matchups
Latest headlines Checkout latest headlinesRead more
How To Use MLB Computer Picks
You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.
This page also tees up access to deeper betting trends. For example, if a club's run line is favored, you can check their ATS trends, potentially opening up some quality underdog bets.
If you're ready to get started with MLB betting, visit our dedicated page highlighting the best MLB betting sites.
Moneyline
This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.
It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.
Run line
The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.
The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.
Totals (Over/Under)
Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.
Free Computer Picks by Odds Shark
More MLB Picks & Betting Tools
NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks
A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.
First Five Innings MLB Picks
The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.
MLB Picks And Parlays
If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.
But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.
If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.
MLB Player Props
Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?
You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.
MLB Futures Picks
Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.
MLB Free Picks FAQs
When do we release our MLB picks?
Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.
What kinds of MLB picks do we make?
Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.
