MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on July 20, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

MIN @

CLE Mon, Jul 20 • 6:40 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Chase DeLauter o1.5 Total Bases (+115)

Projection 1.77

Best Odds

o1.5 +124

Pick made: 37 seconds ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +124

o1.5 +110

o1.5 +100

o1.5 +120

o1.5 +116

o1.5 +115

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Chase DeLauter in the 84th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.. Chase DeLauter is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today's game.. Chase DeLauter will hold the platoon advantage against Joe Ryan in today's matchup... and even better, Ryan has a large platoon split.. Chase DeLauter has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.4%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Out of all the teams today, the 4th-worst infield defense is that of the the Minnesota Twins.

+124 at DraftKings

Total Bases

Kody Clemens o1.5 Total Bases (+115)

Projection 1.86

Best Odds

o1.5 +115

Pick made: 37 seconds ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +115

o1.5 +110

o1.5 -115

o1.5 +115

o1.5 +108

o1.5 +115

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kody Clemens in the 94th percentile when estimating his home run talent.. Kody Clemens is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game.. Kody Clemens will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tanner Bibee today.. This year, Kody Clemens's 12.7% Barrel%, an advanced stat for measuring power, places him in the 83rd percentile among his peers.. Kody Clemens's 92.5-mph average exit velocity is among the best in MLB this year: 94th percentile.

+115 at DraftKings

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PIT @

NYY Mon, Jul 20 • 7:05 PM ET

1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks

Moneyline

PIT (+110)

Best Odds

+100

Pick made: 11 hours ago

-101

-104

+100

The Yankees aren't scoring runs with enough consistency for me to be confident in them, even at home, against the Pirates. Braxton Ashcraft has emerged as a solid No. 2 behind Paul Skenes and gives Pittsburgh the SP edge over Ryan Weathers.

Total Bases

Bryan Reynolds o1.5 Total Bases (+142)

Projection 1.68

Best Odds

o1.5 +142

Pick made: 37 seconds ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +142

o1.5 +125

o1.5 +105

o1.5 +140

o1.5 +133

o1.5 +135

When assessing his BABIP skill, Bryan Reynolds is projected as the 20th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Bryan Reynolds is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today.. Bryan Reynolds has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.2%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the game's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. This year, the hardest ball Bryan Reynolds has connected with reached a maximum exit velocity of 113.7 mph (an advanced standard to evaluate power), grading out in the 87th percentile.. Grading out in the 91st percentile, Bryan Reynolds sports a .345 BABIP this year.

+142 at DraftKings

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TB @

TOR Mon, Jul 20 • 7:07 PM ET

1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks

Total

u7.5 (-104)

Best Odds

u7.5 -115

Pick made: 11 hours ago

u7.5 -115

u7.5 -122

u7.5 -115

Dylan Cease has been the most competent Blue Jays hurler this season, and Toronto's offense has been beyond putrid. I can't favor the Jays on the moneyline at the current number, especially with Nick Martinez starting for the Rays. Martinez may very well be fool's gold, but he hasn't turned into a pumpkin yet, and this is not the offense to expose him.

Total Bases

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+113)

Projection 1.85

Best Odds

o1.5 +113

Pick made: 37 seconds ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +113

o1.5 +110

o1.5 -105

o1.5 +110

o1.5 +109

o1.5 +110

When estimating his batting average talent, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected as the 3rd-best hitter in the majors by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 91st percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.. Among every team playing today, the worst infield defense belongs to the Tampa Bay Rays.. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.

+113 at DraftKings

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LAD @

PHI Mon, Jul 20 • 7:10 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Bryce Harper o1.5 Total Bases (+127)

Projection 1.88

Best Odds

o1.5 +127

Pick made: 37 seconds ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +127

o1.5 +125

o1.5 +100

o1.5 +105

o1.5 +117

o1.5 +125

Bryce Harper projects as the 11th-best batter in the majors, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Bryce Harper is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today.. Hitting from the opposite that Emmet Sheehan throws from, Bryce Harper will have an advantage today.. Bryce Harper has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.7%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences today.. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Bryce Harper will hold that advantage in today's game.

+127 at DraftKings

Total Bases

Shohei Ohtani o1.5 Total Bases (+135)

Projection 1.69

Best Odds

o1.5 +135

Pick made: 37 seconds ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +135

o1.5 +110

o1.5 +120

o1.5 +121

o1.5 +135

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Shohei Ohtani ranks as the 4th-best hitter in the majors.. Shohei Ohtani is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this matchup.. Sporting a .292 batting average this year, Shohei Ohtani finds himself in the 94th percentile.

+135 at DraftKings

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BAL @

BOS Mon, Jul 20 • 7:10 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Hits

Coby Mayo u0.5 Total Hits (+115)

Projection 0.6

Best Odds

u0.5 +115

Pick made: 27 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

u0.5 +113

u0.5 +100

u0.5 -115

u0.5 +113

u0.5 +115

Coby Mayo is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in this matchup.. The weather report expects the 5th-most favorable pitching weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Extreme flyball batters like Coby Mayo generally hit worse against extreme flyball pitchers like Tolle.. Out of every team today, the strongest infield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox.. Coby Mayo will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's game.

+115 at Fanatics Sportsbook

Total Bases

Jackson Holliday o1.5 Total Bases (+240)

Projection 1.38

Best Odds

o1.5 +240

Pick made: 27 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +215

o1.5 +220

o1.5 +200

o1.5 +180

o1.5 +240

Jackson Holliday's BABIP talent is projected in the 88th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jackson Holliday has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Extreme flyball hitters like Jackson Holliday are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Tolle.

+240 at Fanatics Sportsbook

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SD @

ATL Mon, Jul 20 • 7:15 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Manny Machado o1.5 Total Bases (+135)

Projection 2.05

Best Odds

o1.5 +140

Pick made: 37 seconds ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +140

o1.5 +130

o1.5 +120

o1.5 +127

o1.5 +135

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manny Machado in the 91st percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.. Manny Machado is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate at 89°.

+140 at DraftKings

Total Bases

Ozzie Albies o1.5 Total Bases (+112)

Projection 2.11

Best Odds

o1.5 +112

Pick made: 37 seconds ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +112

o1.5 -105

o1.5 -120

o1.5 +102

o1.5 +110

Ozzie Albies is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate at 89°.. As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the plate, Ozzie Albies will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side against a pitcher with a large platoon split (JP Sears) in today's game.. Ozzie Albies will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

+112 at DraftKings

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NYM @

MIL Mon, Jul 20 • 7:40 PM ET

1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks

Spread

MIL -1.5 (+112)

Best Odds

-1.5 +105

Pick made: 11 hours ago

-1.5 -103

-1.5 -110

-1.5 +105

-1.5 -102

-1.5 -110

-1.5 -105

Unless Freddy Peralta suddenly taps into how he pitched for Milwaukee, he's going to get lit up by Milwaukee. With Jacob Misiorowski starting for the Brewers, this is a great spot to target the run line over the moneyline.

Total Bases

Jackson Chourio o1.5 Total Bases (+115)

Projection 2.12

Best Odds

o1.5 +119

Pick made: 37 seconds ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +119

o1.5 +100

o1.5 +105

o1.5 +116

o1.5 +115

Jackson Chourio's batting average talent is projected to be in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jackson Chourio is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. The weather report expects the 5th-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Jackson Chourio hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.4% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.. Jackson Chourio will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats.

+119 at DraftKings

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SF @

KC Mon, Jul 20 • 7:40 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Willy Adames o1.5 Total Bases (+124)

Projection 1.89

Best Odds

o1.5 +124

Pick made: 37 seconds ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +124

o1.5 +120

o1.5 +100

o1.5 +105

o1.5 +115

o1.5 +120

As it relates to his home run talent, Willy Adames ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 95°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Willy Adames's 94.1-mph exit velocity on flyballs (a reliable standard to assess power) ranks in the 75th percentile this year.

+124 at DraftKings

Total Bases

Rafael Devers o1.5 Total Bases (+101)

Projection 2.11

Best Odds

o1.5 +101

Pick made: 37 seconds ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +101

o1.5 +100

o1.5 -125

o1.5 -115

o1.5 -105

o1.5 +100

As it relates to his home run ability, Rafael Devers ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Rafael Devers is penciled in 4th in the lineup today.. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 95°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Hitting from the opposite that Michael Wacha throws from, Rafael Devers will have an advantage in today's game.. Rafael Devers's 11.6% Barrel% (a reliable metric to evaluate power) is in the 78th percentile this year.

+101 at DraftKings

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DET @

CHC Mon, Jul 20 • 8:05 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Seiya Suzuki o1.5 Total Bases (+113)

Projection 2.36

Best Odds

o1.5 +113

Pick made: 37 seconds ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +113

o1.5 +105

o1.5 +100

o1.5 -105

o1.5 +105

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Seiya Suzuki in the 95th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.. Seiya Suzuki is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today.. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this game to reach the 4th-highest level of all games today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 14.2-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for bats.. Seiya Suzuki will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

+113 at DraftKings

Total Bases

Riley Greene o1.5 Total Bases (-116)

Projection 2.63

Best Odds

o1.5 -116

Pick made: 37 seconds ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 -116

o1.5 -130

o1.5 -150

o1.5 -120

o1.5 -122

o1.5 -120

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Riley Greene in the 96th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.. Riley Greene is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today.. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this game to reach the 4th-highest level of all games today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 14.2-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for bats.. Riley Greene will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jameson Taillon in today's matchup.

-116 at DraftKings

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CHW @ $Texas Rangers logo$ TEX Mon, Jul 20 • 8:05 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total RBIs

Braden Montgomery o0.5 Total RBIs (+324)

Projection 0.61

Best Odds

o0.5 +324

Pick made: 2 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +324

o0.5 +240

o0.5 +290

o0.5 +240

o0.5 +265

o0.5 +275

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Colson Montgomery as the game's 15th-best home run hitter.. Colson Montgomery is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup.. Colson Montgomery will hold the platoon advantage against Jacob deGrom in today's matchup.. This year, Colson Montgomery's 13.5% Barrel%, an advanced standard for measuring power, places him in the 87th percentile among his peers.

+324 at DraftKings

Total Home Runs

Braden Montgomery o0.5 Total Home Runs (+1000)

Projection 0.23

Best Odds

o0.5 +1000

Pick made: 15 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +820

o0.5 +625

o0.5 +800

o0.5 +700

o0.5 +750

o0.5 +1000

+1000 at Fanatics Sportsbook

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MIA @

HOU Mon, Jul 20 • 8:10 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total RBIs

Otto Lopez o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)

Projection 0.55

Best Odds

o0.5 +210

Pick made: 2 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +210

o0.5 +180

o0.5 +196

o0.5 +175

When estimating his batting average ability, Otto Lopez is projected as the 8th-best hitter in the majors by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Otto Lopez is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. Placing in the 80th percentile, the hardest ball Otto Lopez has connected with this year reached a maximum exit velocity of 112.8 mph -- a reliable indication of underlying power ability.. Ranking in the 100th percentile, Otto Lopez has posted a .330 batting average this year.

+210 at DraftKings

Total Bases

Isaac Paredes u1.5 Total Bases (-182)

Projection 0.82

Best Odds

u1.5 -181

Pick made: 10 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

u1.5 -181

u1.5 -200

u1.5 -182

u1.5 -190

Isaac Paredes's BABIP talent is projected in the 2nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The Minute Maid Park roof figures to be closed today, making conditions in this contest -12° colder than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for pitching.. Batting from the same side that Janson Junk throws from, Isaac Paredes encounters a tough challenge in today's game.. This year, the hardest ball Isaac Paredes has made contact with reached a maximum exit velocity of 106 mph (a reliable metric to assess power), ranking in the 4th percentile.

-181 at DraftKings

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WAS @

COL Mon, Jul 20 • 8:40 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

James Wood o1.5 Total Bases (-150)

Projection 2.88

Best Odds

o1.5 -138

Pick made: 37 seconds ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 -138

o1.5 -150

o1.5 -170

o1.5 -143

o1.5 -145

As it relates to his BABIP talent, James Wood is projected as the 2nd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. James Wood is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in today's game.. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the schedule today at 95°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. James Wood may have an advantage against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the Colorado Rockies only has 1 same-handed RP.. The Colorado Rockies outfield defense profiles as the 4th-weakest out of every team playing today.

-138 at DraftKings

Total Bases

Daylen Lile o1.5 Total Bases (+106)

Projection 2.13

Best Odds

o1.5 +106

Pick made: 37 seconds ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +106

o1.5 -115

o1.5 -135

o1.5 -104

o1.5 +100

Daylen Lile's batting average ability is projected to be in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the schedule today at 95°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The Colorado Rockies have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Daylen Lile stands a good chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game.. The Colorado Rockies outfield defense profiles as the 4th-weakest out of every team playing today.

+106 at DraftKings

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ATH @

AZ Mon, Jul 20 • 9:40 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total RBIs

Tommy White o0.5 Total RBIs (+280)

Projection 0.37

Best Odds

o0.5 +280

Pick made: 35 seconds ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +250

o0.5 +280

o0.5 +230

o0.5 +240

o0.5 +230

Hitting from the opposite that Mitch Bratt throws from, Thomas White will have an advantage today.. Extreme groundball hitters like Thomas White generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Mitch Bratt.

+280 at bet365

Total RBIs

Ryan Waldschmidt o0.5 Total RBIs (+204)

Projection 0.48

Best Odds

o0.5 +204

Pick made: 2 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +204

o0.5 +202

o0.5 +200

o0.5 +195

o0.5 +190

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Waldschmidt in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.. Ryan Waldschmidt has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (82% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game.. Batting from the opposite that Jeffrey Springs throws from, Ryan Waldschmidt will have an edge today.. Ryan Waldschmidt will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

+204 at DraftKings

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CIN @

SEA Mon, Jul 20 • 9:40 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total RBIs

Cal Raleigh o0.5 Total RBIs (+160)

Projection 0.8

Best Odds

o0.5 +183

Pick made: 2 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +183

o0.5 +155

o0.5 +160

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Cal Raleigh as baseball's 9th-best home run hitter.. Cal Raleigh is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. Cal Raleigh pulls a lot of his flyballs (43.1% — 100th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences today.. Among every team on the slate today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Cincinnati Reds.. Cal Raleigh is an extreme flyball batter and squares off against the weak outfield defense of Cincinnati (#2-worst of all teams on the slate).

+183 at DraftKings

Total RBIs

Eugenio Suarez o0.5 Total RBIs (+242)

Projection 0.53

Best Odds

o0.5 +242

Pick made: 2 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +242

o0.5 +240

o0.5 +220

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 97th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.. Eugenio Suarez is penciled in 5th in the batting order today.. Eugenio Suarez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (39% — 96th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. The Seattle Mariners infield defense profiles as the 5th-worst out of every team today.

+242 at DraftKings

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STL @

LAA Mon, Jul 20 • 10:10 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Mike Trout o1.5 Total Bases (+114)

Projection 1.83

Best Odds

o1.5 +114

Pick made: 37 seconds ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +114

o1.5 +110

o1.5 -110

o1.5 +107

o1.5 +110

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Mike Trout ranks as the 6th-best batter in the league.. Mike Trout is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game.. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Mike Trout will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. Mike Trout's 19.8% Barrel% (a reliable stat to study power) ranks in the 99th percentile this year.. Mike Trout's 96.8-mph exit velocity on flyballs (a reliable standard to study power) ranks in the 95th percentile this year.

+114 at DraftKings

Total RBIs

Ivan Herrera o0.5 Total RBIs (+240)

Projection 0.46

Best Odds

o0.5 +240

Pick made: 2 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +240

o0.5 +210

o0.5 +220

o0.5 +210

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Ivan Herrera ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Ivan Herrera is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today.. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the the Los Angeles Angels.

+240 at DraftKings

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AZ @

STL Thu, Jul 23 • 5:15 PM ET

6 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks

Game Prop

o2.5 Team Total (-115)

Best Odds

o2.5 +114

Pick made: 24 days ago

o2.5 +114

The Cardinals are in a premium offensive spot against Zac Gallen, who enters the day with the second-worst pitcher rating in Batters-Box's current season model. Gallen has struggled to limit power and hard contact, carrying poorly rated matchup marks in ISO, hard contact rate, and ground ball rate. St. Louis counters with seven elite-rated hitters and an offense averaging more than 2.5 first five innings runs per game at home. The Cardinals have also been red hot lately, posting a 122 wRC+ over their last 12 games. With so many favorable individual matchups, backing the offense as a whole makes plenty of sense.

Earned Runs Allowed

Zac Gallen o2.5 Earned Runs Allowed (-141)

Best Odds

o2.5 -137

Pick made: 24 days ago

o2.5 -137

o2.5 -150

o2.5 -141

o2.5 -155

Zac Gallen has been one of the most vulnerable pitchers on the board, especially away from Arizona, where he owns a 7.68 ERA and 6.00 xERA while surrendering plenty of hard contact and barrels. Things do not get any easier against a Cardinals lineup loaded with seven elite-rated hitters according to Batters-Box. St. Louis has been one of the hotter offenses in baseball recently, producing a 122 wRC+, .782 OPS, and .345 wOBA over its last 12 games. With Gallen's struggles and the Cardinals continuing to swing hot bats, this sets up as an excellent spot to back St. Louis early and often.

Read Full Analysis

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TOR @

CHC Thu, Aug 6 • 2:20 PM ET

4 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks

Total Home Runs

Kazuma Okamoto o0.5 Total Home Runs (+365)

Best Odds

o0.5 +425

Pick made: 28 days ago

o0.5 +370

o0.5 +425

Okamoto's hitting profile perfectly matches up well against Imanaga’s stuff. The Cubs starter throws a heavy dose of the fastball and gets barreled up at a 10.4% rate. The Jays third baseman barrels the ball better than anyone in the Blue Jays lineup with a 13.5% barrel rate, while owning a 63.2% hard hit rate against the four-seamer.

3 LEG PARLAY

Dansby Swanson u0.5 Total Hits

Total Hits

Dylan Cease o6.5 Strikeouts Thrown

Strikeouts Thrown

George Springer o1.5 Total Bases

Total Bases

Bet now

+280

Pick made: 28 days ago

Swanson is just 1-for-6 against Cease in his career. Cease has electric stuff, leading the American League with 110 Ks, while ranking in the 97th percentile in K-rate. Springer is turning a corner with a 1.089 OPS over his last nine games.

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ATL @

CHW Thu, Aug 20 • 2:10 PM ET

5 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks

Total

o8.5 (-105)

Pick made: one month ago

Atlanta and Chicago send two of the best lineups in baseball to the dish, and they respectively rank eighth and third in wOBA against lefties for the campaign. The two clubs have also trended to the Over, and I'm particularly expecting White Sox southpaw Anthony Kay to struggle considering he's saddled with the fifth-highest xERA in baseball among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings this year.

Read Full Analysis

Moneyline

ATL (-112)

Best Odds

-115

Pick made: one month ago

-120

-115

I'm fading Chicago White Sox lefty Anthony Kay on Thursday. He's sporting the fifth-highest xERA among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings, after all. Plus, the Atlanta Braves enter ranked eighth in wOBA against southpaws for the season and sixth in overall xwOBA across the past 14 days.

Read Full Analysis

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BOS @

NYY Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET

2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks

Total

o8.5 (-110)

Best Odds

o8.0 -125

Pick made: one month ago

o8.5 -102

o8.0 -125

o8.5 -102

o8.5 +100

The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.

Read Full Analysis

Moneyline

NYY (-135)

Best Odds

-110

Pick made: one month ago

-118

-110

-112

-110

-115

Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.

Read Full Analysis

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SF @

ATL Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET

2 Expert Picks

Total

o7.5 (-116)

Pick made: one month ago

The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and are fourth in xwOBA while averaging 5.5 runs per game across the past 30 days, and the Braves ranks ninth in wOBA against right-handed pitchers and third in overall xwOBA, so I think this total is too low.

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Moneyline

SF (+124)

Best Odds

+110

Pick made: one month ago

+110

The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.

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