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What Is An MLB Computer Pick?
MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.
MLB Picks
Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Aug. 2, 2026.
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Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.60 |
+134 
|
o8.0 -110 
|
+1.5 -160
|
|
4.77 |
-144
|
u8.5 -115
|
-1.5 +146 
|
San Francisco
- Under is 6-0-1 in Mahles last 7 starts as an underdog.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Giants last 5 road games.
- Under is 5-0 in Giants last 5 vs. National League West.
- Under is 4-0-2 in Mahles last 6 starts on grass.
San Diego
- Padres are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a favorite.
- Padres are 5-0 in Buehlers last 5 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Padres are 6-0 in their last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 4-1 in Padres last 5 home games.
Top Projection
Rafael Devers o0.5 Total RBIs (+169)
o0.5 +169
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.65 |
+162
|
o7.0 -115 
|
+1.5 -135
|
|
5.04 |
-174
|
u7.5 -122
|
-1.5 +129
|
Boston
- Red Sox are 7-0 in their last 7 games as an underdog.
- Under is 5-0 in Red Sox last 5 games as a favorite.
- Under is 5-0 in Red Sox last 5 games as a road favorite.
- Red Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a road underdog.
LA Dodgers
- Dodgers are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 5-1 in Dodgers last 6 home games.
- Over is 4-1 in Dodgers last 5 interleague home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-1 in Dodgers last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Top Projection
Wilyer Abreu o0.5 Total RBIs (+216)
o0.5 +216
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6.07 |
-142
|
o8.5 -126
|
-1.5 +109
|
|
4.89 |
+136
|
u9.0 -112 
|
+1.5 -120
|
Milwaukee
- Over is 4-0-1 in Brewers last 5 games as a road underdog.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Gassers last 5 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Brewers last 4 games as an underdog.
- Brewers are 4-0 in Gassers last 4 starts as a favorite.
LA Angels
- Under is 6-0-1 in Angels last 7 interleague home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 6-0-1 in Angels last 7 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 4-0 in Angels last 4 vs. National League Central.
- Angels are 4-0 in Sorianos last 4 starts as a home underdog.
Top Projection
Jake Bauers u1.5 Total Bases (-245)
u1.5 -245
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6.50 |
-168
|
o10.5 +101
|
-1.5 -114
|
|
4.48 |
+162
|
u10.5 -110
|
+1.5 +105
|
Detroit
- Over is 4-0-1 in Tigers last 5 overall.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Tigers last 5 games as a favorite.
- Under is 5-0 in Tigers last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Tigers last 5 on grass.
Athletics
- Over is 3-0-2 in Perkins' last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Over is 2-0-2 in Perkins' last 4 starts as a home favorite.
- Over is 2-0-2 in Perkins' last 4 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Perkins' last 4 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Top Projection
Tyler Soderstrom o0.5 Total RBIs (+185)
o0.5 +185
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.07 |
+110
|
o8.5 -115
|
+1.5 -190 
|
|
5.22 |
-120
|
u9.0 -120
|
-1.5 +160
|
Washington
- Nationals are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 7-0 in Nationals last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 6-0 in Nationals last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Cavallis last 4 starts as a road underdog.
Atlanta
- Braves are 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Braves last 5 during game 4 of a series.
- Under is 4-0 in Braves last 4 overall.
- Braves are 4-0 in their last 4 home games.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.01 |
-128
|
o7.5 -121
|
-1.5 +130
|
|
4.44 |
+120
|
u8.0 -115
|
+1.5 -142
|
Philadelphia
- Phillies are 6-0 in Wheelers last 6 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Phillies are 6-0 in Wheelers last 6 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Over is 8-2-2 in Phillies last 12 interleague games as a favorite.
- Over is 7-1 in Wheelers last 8 starts as an underdog.
Baltimore
- Over is 5-1 in Orioles last 6 games as an underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 overall.
- Orioles are 4-0 in Bradishs last 4 starts as an underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 on grass.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.21 |
+100
|
o9.0 -105
|
+1.5 -190
|
|
4.80 |
-110
|
u9.5 -131
|
-1.5 +155
|
St. Louis
- Under is 7-0-1 in McGreevys last 8 starts as an underdog.
- Under is 7-0 in Cardinals last 7 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-0-1 in McGreevys last 5 starts as a road underdog.
- Under is 5-0 in McGreevys last 5 starts during game 3 of a series.
Toronto
- Blue Jays are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a favorite.
- Over is 5-0 in Scherzers last 5 starts a home underdog.
- Over is 5-1-1 in Blue Jays last 7 interleague games as an underdog.
- Over is 5-1-1 in Blue Jays last 7 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.75 |
-112
|
o8.5 -120
|
-1.5 +146
|
|
4.96 |
+106
|
u9.0 -108
|
+1.5 -165
|
Miami
- Under is 5-0 in Alcantaras last 5 starts on grass.
- Under is 4-0 in Marlins last 4 road games.
- Under is 5-0 in Alcantaras last 5 starts overall.
- Over is 4-1 in Marlins last 5 vs. National League East.
NY Mets
- Mets are 6-0 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-0 in Mets last 4 home games.
- Over is 5-1 in Mets last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Under is 4-0 in Mets last 4 vs. National League East.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.80 |
+134
|
o8.0 -125 
|
+1.5 -161
|
|
5.67 |
-142
|
u8.5 -115
|
-1.5 +146
|
Pittsburgh
- Pirates are 4-0 in Kellers last 4 starts as a favorite.
- Pirates are 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 5-1 in Pirates last 6 games as an underdog.
- Pirates are 6-1 in Kellers last 7 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Cincinnati
- Over is 5-0 in Burns' last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Reds are 8-0 in Burns' last 8 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Reds are 7-1 in their last 8 games as an underdog.
- Reds are 7-1 in Burns' last 8 starts on grass.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.13 |
+129
|
o7.5 -112
|
+1.5 -168
|
|
4.29 |
-138
|
u8.0 -125
|
-1.5 +150
|
Chi. White Sox
- White Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 4-0 in Kays last 4 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Over is 4-1 in White Sox last 5 games as a road underdog.
- Under is 4-1 in White Sox last 5 during game 3 of a series.
Tampa Bay
- Under is 6-0 in Rays last 6 home games.
- Under is 6-0 in Rays last 6 games as a favorite.
- Under is 6-0 in Rays last 6 games as a home favorite.
- Rays are 5-0 in Jaxs last 5 starts with 4 days of rest.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.10 |
+128
|
o8.0 -110
|
+1.5 -175
|
|
4.69 |
-137
|
u8.5 -121
|
-1.5 +152
|
Arizona
- Under is 7-0 in Kellys last 7 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Under is 5-0 in Kellys last 5 starts as a road underdog.
- Under is 7-0 in Kellys last 7 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Kellys last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Cleveland
- Under is 5-0 in Guardians last 5 vs. National League West.
- Under is 4-0 in Guardians last 4 games as a favorite.
- Guardians are 4-1 in their last 5 games as an underdog.
- Guardians are 4-0 in their last 4 interleague games as an underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.93 |
+112
|
o8.5 -116
|
+1.5 -183
|
|
4.71 |
-121
|
u9.0 -120
|
-1.5 +165
|
Texas
- Over is 9-0 in Rangers last 9 games as a favorite.
- Over is 5-0 in Rockers last 5 starts on grass.
- Rangers are 5-0 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0 in Rangers last 4 road games.
Houston
- Astros are 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Astros are 4-0 in their last 4 home games.
- Astros are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Astros are 4-0 in their last 4 overall.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.51 |
-125
|
o6.5 -112
|
-1.5 +146
|
|
3.90 |
+116
|
u6.5 +101
|
+1.5 -168
|
NY Yankees
- Under is 6-0 in Coles last 6 starts on grass.
- Under is 5-0 in Coles last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Under is 7-0 in Coles last 7 starts overall.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Yankees last 5 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Chi. Cubs
- Over is 3-0-2 in Reas last 5 starts vs. American League East.
- Cubs are 6-0 in Reas last 6 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Cubs are 7-1 in their last 8 during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 7-1 in Cubs last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6.79 |
+100
|
o12.0 -125
|
-1.5 +143
|
|
6.90 |
-107
|
u12.5 -110
|
+1.5 -155
|
Kansas City
- Under is 6-0-2 in Royals last 8 games as an underdog.
- Under is 6-0-1 in Royals last 7 games as a road underdog.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Lugos last 6 starts with 4 days of rest.
- Over is 5-0 in Royals last 5 games as a road favorite.
Colorado
- Rockies are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 4-1 in Rockies last 5 overall.
- Under is 4-0 in Rockies last 4 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 4-1 in Rockies last 5 on grass.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-215
|
o7.5 -112
|
-1.5 -130
|
|
|
-- |
+206
|
u8.0 -119
|
+1.5 +114
|
Milwaukee
- Over is 4-0-1 in Brewers last 5 games as a road underdog.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Brewers last 4 games as an underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Misiorowskis last 4 starts as a road favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Misiorowskis last 4 starts during game 3 of a series.
LA Angels
- Under is 6-0-1 in Angels last 7 interleague home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 6-0-1 in Angels last 7 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 4-0 in Angels last 4 vs. National League Central.
- Under is 4-0 in Angels last 4 interleague home games.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-106
|
o11.0 -110
|
-1.5 +140
|
|
|
-- |
+101
|
u11.5 -122
|
+1.5 -160
|
Detroit
- Under is 6-0 in Monteros last 6 starts vs. American League West.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Tigers last 5 overall.
- Under is 6-0 in Monteros last 6 starts as a road underdog.
- Under is 5-0 in Tigers last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Athletics
- Under is 6-0 in last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Under is 5-1 in last 6 home games.
- Under is 5-1 in last 6 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 6-2 in last 8 during game 3 of a series.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
-- |
+128
|
o7.0 -124
|
+1.5 -178
|
|
-- |
-131
|
u7.5 -110
|
-1.5 +158
|
Minnesota
- Over is 8-0 in Twins last 8 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 5-0 in Bradleys last 5 starts on grass.
- Twins are 5-0 in Bradleys last 5 starts with 4 days of rest.
- Under is 5-0 in Bradleys last 5 starts overall.
Seattle
- Over is 5-0-2 in Kirbys last 7 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Kirbys last 4 starts vs. American League Central.
- Over is 4-0 in Kirbys last 4 starts as a home favorite.
- Mariners are 4-1 in their last 5 games as a home underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+129
|
o8.0 -110
|
+1.5 -160
|
|
|
-- |
-138
|
u8.5 -120
|
-1.5 +146
|
San Francisco
- Under is 4-0-1 in Giants last 5 road games.
- Under is 5-0 in Giants last 5 vs. National League West.
- Over is 3-0-3 in Giants last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Over is 4-0-2 in Roupps last 6 starts on grass.
San Diego
- Under is 5-0 in Kings last 5 starts as an underdog.
- Padres are 6-0 in their last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Padres are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a favorite.
- Padres are 4-0 in Kings last 4 starts as a home favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+142
|
o9.0 +100
|
+1.5 -150
|
|
|
-- |
-154
|
u9.5 -137
|
-1.5 +130
|
Boston
- Red Sox are 7-0 in their last 7 games as an underdog.
- Under is 5-0 in Red Sox last 5 games as a favorite.
- Under is 5-0 in Red Sox last 5 games as a road favorite.
- Red Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a road underdog.
LA Dodgers
- Dodgers are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a home underdog.
- Over is 4-1 in Dodgers last 5 interleague home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-1 in Dodgers last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Dodgers last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+134
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-168
|
-- |
-- |
Washington
- Nationals are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 7-0 in Nationals last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 9-1 in Nationals last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Under is 7-1 in Nationals last 8 games as an underdog.
Philadelphia
- Under is 4-0-1 in Phillies last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 6-1 in Phillies last 7 games as a favorite.
- Under is 5-1 in Phillies last 6 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 5-1 in Phillies last 6 vs. National League East.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+129
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-175
|
-- |
-- |
St. Louis
- Under is 4-0 in Cardinals last 4 road games.
- Under is 7-1 in Cardinals last 8 games as a favorite.
- Under is 4-0 in Cardinals last 4 interleague games.
- Under is 4-0 in Cardinals last 4 interleague road games.
NY Yankees
- Yankees are 4-0 in their last 4 during game 1 of a series.
- Under is 6-1 in Yankees last 7 interleague games as a favorite.
- Yankees are 5-1 in their last 6 interleague games as a favorite.
- Under is 8-2 in Yankees last 10 vs. National League Central.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+124
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-168
|
-- |
-- |
Pittsburgh
- Over is 5-1 in Pirates last 6 games as an underdog.
- Pirates are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a favorite.
- Pirates are 0-4 in their last 4 overall.
- Over is 4-1 in Pirates last 5 road games.
Milwaukee
- Over is 3-0-1 in Brewers last 4 games as an underdog.
- Brewers are 7-2 in their last 9 home games.
- Brewers are 7-2 in their last 9 games as a home favorite.
- Brewers are 4-1 in their last 5 games as a home underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-116
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-112
|
-- |
-- |
San Francisco
- Over is 5-0 in Giants last 5 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Giants last 5 road games.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Giants last 4 interleague games as a favorite.
- Over is 3-0-3 in Giants last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Texas
- Over is 9-0 in Rangers last 9 games as a favorite.
- Over is 9-1 in Rangers last 10 during game 1 of a series.
- Over is 11-1 in Rangers last 12 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Rangers last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-126
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-103
|
-- |
-- |
LA Dodgers
- Dodgers are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a road underdog.
- Dodgers are 5-1 in their last 6 games as an underdog.
- Over is 8-2 in Dodgers last 10 during game 1 of a series.
- Dodgers are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. National League Central.
Chi. Cubs
- Cubs are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. National League West.
- Over is 5-1 in Cubs last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
- Under is 5-1 in Cubs last 6 overall.
- Over is 5-1 in Cubs last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+105
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-142
|
-- |
-- |
Toronto
- Blue Jays are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a favorite.
- Blue Jays are 6-0 in their last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 6-1 in Blue Jays last 7 games as a favorite.
- Under is 4-1-2 in Blue Jays last 7 during game 1 of a series.
Houston
- Astros are 4-0 in their last 4 home games.
- Astros are 4-0 in their last 4 overall.
- Under is 4-0 in Astros last 4 vs. American League East.
- Astros are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a favorite.
SF
@
SD
Sat, Aug 1 • 8:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Christian Koss o1.5 Total Bases (+250)
Projection 1.18
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the 3rd-hottest temperature of the day at 89°.. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.303) may lead us to conclude that Christian Koss has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season with his .282 actual wOBA.. Christian Koss has put up a .265 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, ranking in the 80th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
Total Bases
Rafael Devers o1.5 Total Bases (+132)
Projection 1.84
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his home run skill, Rafael Devers ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Rafael Devers is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game.. The 2nd-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks are found in Petco Park.. Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the 3rd-hottest temperature of the day at 89°.
BOS
@
LAD
Sat, Aug 1 • 9:10 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Shohei Ohtani o0.5 Total Home Runs (+250)
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
Shohei Ohtani is showing elite power indicators again, carrying a .476 ISO with two homers over his last five games. His 62.5% hard-hit rate and 18.8% barrel rate give him a clear path against Payton Tolle, who has allowed 2.45 HR/9 across his previous two appearances.
Boston has cashed the Under in six of Payton Tolle's last nine starts. The bullpen behind him has a 1.61 ERA since the Break, helping lead to a 2-8 O/U mark in its last 10. On the flip side, Yoshinobu Yamamoto has allowed no more than two earned runs in nine of his last 11 starts and can limit Boston (81 wRC+ against RHP in the last 14 days).
MIL
@
LAA
Sat, Aug 1 • 9:38 PM ET
Total Bases
Jackson Chourio o1.5 Total Bases (-102)
Projection 2.49
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Chourio in the 97th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.. Jackson Chourio is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in today's game.. In the league, Angel Stadium has the 2nd-lowest average fence height.. Among every team in action today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense is that of the Los Angeles Angels.. Jackson Chourio has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 91.8-mph average to last year's 89.3-mph mark.
Total Bases
Zach Neto o1.5 Total Bases (+124)
Projection 1.88
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Zach Neto in the 89th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.. Zach Neto is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup.. In the league, Angel Stadium has the 2nd-lowest average fence height.. Zach Neto will have the handedness advantage over Robert Gasser in today's game... and even better, Gasser has a large platoon split.. Zach Neto will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.
DET
@
ATH
Sat, Aug 1 • 9:40 PM ET
Total
o10.5 (-110)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
The park factors and weather are projected to give a 34% boost to homers. Jack Perkins is sporting a 7.34 ERA and allowing 2.28 HR/9 over six starts with a HR boost of 30% or more.
Framber Valdez owns 6.28 ERA and has allowed 1.63 HR/9 over eight starts vs. Top-10 in opponents in OPS against lefties.
Bet the Over to -125.
Moneyline
DET (-145)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Framber Valdez' 52.7 GB% trails only Cristopher Sanchez among today’s starting pitchers.
That will help him sap power out of the Athletics offense, as will the absence of Shea Langeliers.
Jack Perkins ranks in the 11th percentile in GB%, which could be disastrous on a scorching hot day with the wind blowing out.
Bet Detroit to -155.
MIA
@
NYM
Sun, Aug 2 • 1:40 PM ET
Moneyline
MIA (+114)
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst
Although Miami’s relief corps has been shaky, former Cy Young winner Sandy Alcantara serves as the ultimate equalizer. Alcantara consistently pitches deep into games, protecting his bullpen from heavy exposure. Getting a proven ace against an unannounced Mets starting option makes the Marlins an irresistible value play.
DET
@
ATH
Sun, Aug 2 • 4:05 PM ET
Moneyline
DET (-108)
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst
Both bullpens have surrendered plenty of traffic over the last two weeks, shifting the edge directly to the starting rotation and offensive consistency. Detroit holds a firm advantage in contact metrics and run-creation stats, giving Tigers starter Keider Montero enough early padding to edge out the A's on the road.
TOR
@
CHC
Thu, Aug 6 • 2:20 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Kazuma Okamoto o0.5 Total Home Runs (+365)
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst
Okamoto's hitting profile perfectly matches up well against Imanaga’s stuff. The Cubs starter throws a heavy dose of the fastball and gets barreled up at a 10.4% rate. The Jays third baseman barrels the ball better than anyone in the Blue Jays lineup with a 13.5% barrel rate, while owning a 63.2% hard hit rate against the four-seamer.
Total Hits
Dansby Swanson u0.5 Total Hits (-130)
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst
ATL
@
CHW
Thu, Aug 20 • 2:10 PM ET
Total
o8.5 (-105)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
Atlanta and Chicago send two of the best lineups in baseball to the dish, and they respectively rank eighth and third in wOBA against lefties for the campaign. The two clubs have also trended to the Over, and I'm particularly expecting White Sox southpaw Anthony Kay to struggle considering he's saddled with the fifth-highest xERA in baseball among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings this year.
Moneyline
ATL (-112)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
I'm fading Chicago White Sox lefty Anthony Kay on Thursday. He's sporting the fifth-highest xERA among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings, after all. Plus, the Atlanta Braves enter ranked eighth in wOBA against southpaws for the season and sixth in overall xwOBA across the past 14 days.
BOS
@
NYY
Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET
Total
o8.5 (-110)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.
Moneyline
NYY (-135)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.
SF
@
ATL
Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET
Total
o7.5 (-116)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and are fourth in xwOBA while averaging 5.5 runs per game across the past 30 days, and the Braves ranks ninth in wOBA against right-handed pitchers and third in overall xwOBA, so I think this total is too low.
Moneyline
SF (+124)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.
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How To Use MLB Computer Picks
You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.
This page also tees up access to deeper betting trends. For example, if a club's run line is favored, you can check their ATS trends, potentially opening up some quality underdog bets.
If you're ready to get started with MLB betting, visit our dedicated page highlighting the best MLB betting sites.
Moneyline
This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.
It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.
Run line
The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.
The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.
Totals (Over/Under)
Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.
Free Computer Picks by Odds Shark
More MLB Picks & Betting Tools
NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks
A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.
First Five Innings MLB Picks
The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.
MLB Picks And Parlays
If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.
But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.
If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.
MLB Player Props
Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?
You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.
MLB Futures Picks
Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.
MLB Free Picks FAQs
When do we release our MLB picks?
Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.
What kinds of MLB picks do we make?
Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.
