Pittsburgh @ Cincinnati Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt McLain in the 90th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the 9th-best field in MLB for RHB batting average. Matt McLain has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.9%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the league's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Matt McLain will hold that advantage in today's game. Matt McLain has made significant gains with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 7.8% seasonal rate to 33.3% over the past 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rafael Flores in the 88th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the 9th-best field in MLB for RHB batting average. Among all parks, Great American Ball Park's LF fences are the 7th-shallowest. Batting from the opposite that Nick Lodolo throws from, Rafael Flores will have an edge in today's game. Among every team on the slate today, the 10th-worst infield defense is that of the the Cincinnati Reds.

Joey Bart's BABIP skill is projected in the 90th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the 9th-best field in MLB for RHB batting average. Hitting from the opposite that Nick Lodolo throws from, Joey Bart will have the upper hand today. Joey Bart pulls many of his flyballs (33.5% — 79th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 7th-shallowest LF fences today. Among every team on the slate today, the 10th-worst infield defense is that of the the Cincinnati Reds.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Andrew McCutchen ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Andrew McCutchen is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the 9th-best field in MLB for RHB batting average. Batting from the opposite that Nick Lodolo throws from, Andrew McCutchen will have an advantage in today's matchup. Andrew McCutchen pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34% — 82nd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the 9th-best field in MLB for RHB batting average. Ke'Bryan Hayes has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.6%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Ke'Bryan Hayes will hold that advantage today. Ke'Bryan Hayes's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, increasing from 7.5% to 12.1%. Despite posting a .266 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Ke'Bryan Hayes has been unlucky given the .025 discrepancy between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .291.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan Reynolds in the 96th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Bryan Reynolds is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the 9th-best field in MLB for RHB batting average. Among all parks, Great American Ball Park's LF fences are the 7th-shallowest. Among every team on the slate today, the 10th-worst infield defense is that of the the Cincinnati Reds.

When it comes to his BABIP talent, Elly De La Cruz is projected as the 2nd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Elly De La Cruz is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Great American Ball Park ranks as the #9 stadium in the game for LHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the plate, Elly De La Cruz will get to bat from his strong side against Braxton Ashcraft today. Elly De La Cruz has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.6%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the 9th-best field in MLB for RHB batting average. Among all parks, Great American Ball Park's LF fences are the 7th-shallowest. Cam Devanney will hold the platoon advantage over Nick Lodolo in today's matchup. Among every team on the slate today, the 10th-worst infield defense is that of the the Cincinnati Reds.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tommy Pham in the 77th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Tommy Pham is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the 9th-best field in MLB for RHB batting average. Batting from the opposite that Nick Lodolo throws from, Tommy Pham will have the upper hand in today's game. Tommy Pham has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.2%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

Nick Yorke's BABIP ability is projected in the 92nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the 9th-best field in MLB for RHB batting average. Among all parks, Great American Ball Park's LF fences are the 7th-shallowest. Batting from the opposite that Nick Lodolo throws from, Nick Yorke will have an advantage today. Among every team on the slate today, the 10th-worst infield defense is that of the the Cincinnati Reds.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jared Triolo in the 78th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Jared Triolo has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (71% of the time), but he is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the 9th-best field in MLB for RHB batting average. Jared Triolo will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Nick Lodolo in today's matchup. Jared Triolo has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.1%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the 9th-best field in MLB for RHB batting average. Among all parks, Great American Ball Park's LF fences are the 7th-shallowest. Batting from the opposite that Nick Lodolo throws from, Alexander Canario will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Among every team on the slate today, the 10th-worst infield defense is that of the the Cincinnati Reds. Alexander Canario has been unlucky in regards to his wOBA this year; his .278 rate is deflated compared to his .312 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Spencer Steer is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 59% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the 9th-best field in MLB for RHB batting average. Spencer Steer pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.7% — 93rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Spencer Steer will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Over the last 7 days, Spencer Steer's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 8% up to 27.3%.

Noelvi Marte has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (53% of the time), but he is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the 9th-best field in MLB for RHB batting average. Among all parks, Great American Ball Park's LF fences are the 7th-shallowest. Noelvi Marte will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Noelvi Marte's exit velocity on flyballs has declined recently; his 91.5-mph seasonal EV has dropped to 87.3-mph over the last week.

TJ Friedl is projected to bat 1st in the batting order today. Great American Ball Park ranks as the #9 stadium in the game for LHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). TJ Friedl will hold the platoon advantage against Braxton Ashcraft today. TJ Friedl is apt to have the upper hand against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Pittsburgh Pirates has just 1 same-handed RP. TJ Friedl pulls many of his flyballs (37.3% — 95th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 8th-shallowest RF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miguel Andujar in the 92nd percentile when assessing his batting average skill. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the 9th-best field in MLB for RHB batting average. Among all parks, Great American Ball Park's LF fences are the 7th-shallowest. Miguel Andujar will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Miguel Andujar has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 89.2-mph average to last year's 84.1-mph mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 90th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the 9th-best field in MLB for RHB batting average. Tyler Stephenson has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB's 8th-shallowest RF fences today. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Tyler Stephenson will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Tyler Stephenson has made substantial gains with his Barrel% lately, upping his 14.9% seasonal rate to 35.3% in the past two weeks' worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gavin Lux in the 88th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Gavin Lux is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today. Great American Ball Park ranks as the #9 stadium in the game for LHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). In the league, Great American Ball Park's RF fences are the 8th-shallowest. Hitting from the opposite that Braxton Ashcraft throws from, Gavin Lux will have an advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the 9th-best field in MLB for RHB batting average. Jose Trevino pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.8% — 86th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 7th-shallowest LF fences today. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Jose Trevino will hold that advantage in today's game. Compared to last year, Jose Trevino has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for base hits, increasing his percentage of balls hit between -4° and 26° from 35.3% to 40.5% this season. Jose Trevino has been unlucky in regards to his wOBA this year; his .275 figure is significantly deflated relative to his .293 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Great American Ball Park ranks as the #9 stadium in the game for LHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). In the league, Great American Ball Park's RF fences are the 8th-shallowest. Hitting from the opposite that Braxton Ashcraft throws from, Will Benson will have the upper hand in today's game. The Pittsburgh Pirates have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Will Benson stands a good chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Will Benson will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.