Milwaukee @ Cleveland props

Progressive Field

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Steven Kwan Total Hits Props • Cleveland

Steven Kwan
S. Kwan
left outfield LF • Cleveland
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

Over the past week, Steven Kwan's exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal EV of 87.7 mph to 83.3 mph. Despite posting a .370 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Steven Kwan has experienced some positive variance given the .060 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .310.

Steven Kwan

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Over the past week, Steven Kwan's exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal EV of 87.7 mph to 83.3 mph. Despite posting a .370 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Steven Kwan has experienced some positive variance given the .060 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .310.

Austin Hedges Total Hits Props • Cleveland

Austin Hedges
A. Hedges
catcher C • Cleveland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds

Progressive Field grades out as the #3 stadium in the majors for RHB BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. The weather forecast calls for the 4th-best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for hitters. Austin Hedges pulls many of his flyballs (35.7% — 91st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Austin Hedges

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

Progressive Field grades out as the #3 stadium in the majors for RHB BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. The weather forecast calls for the 4th-best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for hitters. Austin Hedges pulls many of his flyballs (35.7% — 91st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Jackson Chourio Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

Jackson Chourio
J. Chourio
left outfield LF • Milwaukee
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

Batting from the same side that Gavin Williams throws from, Jackson Chourio will have a disadvantage today. Jackson Chourio hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 94th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards baseball's 8th-deepest CF fences in today's game. Playing on the road generally lowers hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jackson Chourio in today's game. In the last two weeks, Jackson Chourio's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9.7% down to 4.7%. Jackson Chourio's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased from last year to this one, falling from 16% to 10.3%.

Jackson Chourio

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Batting from the same side that Gavin Williams throws from, Jackson Chourio will have a disadvantage today. Jackson Chourio hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 94th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards baseball's 8th-deepest CF fences in today's game. Playing on the road generally lowers hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jackson Chourio in today's game. In the last two weeks, Jackson Chourio's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9.7% down to 4.7%. Jackson Chourio's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased from last year to this one, falling from 16% to 10.3%.

Jose Ramirez Total Hits Props • Cleveland

Jose Ramirez
J. Ramirez
third base 3B • Cleveland
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

Extreme groundball batters like Jose Ramirez are generally less successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Logan Henderson.

Jose Ramirez

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Extreme groundball batters like Jose Ramirez are generally less successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Logan Henderson.

Andruw Monasterio Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

Andruw Monasterio
A. Monasterio
third base 3B • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Progressive Field grades out as the #3 stadium in the majors for RHB BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. The weather forecast calls for the 4th-best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for hitters. The Cleveland Guardians infield defense projects as the 3rd-strongest among every team on the slate today.

Andruw Monasterio

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Progressive Field grades out as the #3 stadium in the majors for RHB BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. The weather forecast calls for the 4th-best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for hitters. The Cleveland Guardians infield defense projects as the 3rd-strongest among every team on the slate today.

Caleb Durbin Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

Caleb Durbin
C. Durbin
second base 2B • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Progressive Field grades out as the #3 stadium in the majors for RHB BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. The weather forecast calls for the 4th-best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for hitters. The Cleveland Guardians infield defense projects as the 3rd-strongest among every team on the slate today.

Caleb Durbin

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Progressive Field grades out as the #3 stadium in the majors for RHB BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. The weather forecast calls for the 4th-best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for hitters. The Cleveland Guardians infield defense projects as the 3rd-strongest among every team on the slate today.

William Contreras Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

William Contreras
W. Contreras
catcher C • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, William Contreras ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). William Contreras is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Progressive Field grades out as the #3 stadium in the majors for RHB BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. The weather forecast calls for the 4th-best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.

William Contreras

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, William Contreras ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). William Contreras is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Progressive Field grades out as the #3 stadium in the majors for RHB BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. The weather forecast calls for the 4th-best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.

Sal Frelick Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

Sal Frelick
S. Frelick
right outfield RF • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Frelick in the 79th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Sal Frelick is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card today. Progressive Field projects as the #3 park in the league for left-handed BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. The weather forecast calls for the 4th-best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.

Sal Frelick

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Frelick in the 79th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Sal Frelick is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card today. Progressive Field projects as the #3 park in the league for left-handed BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. The weather forecast calls for the 4th-best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.

Christian Yelich Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

Christian Yelich
C. Yelich
left outfield LF • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Yelich in the 96th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Christian Yelich is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game. Progressive Field projects as the #3 park in the league for left-handed BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. The weather forecast calls for the 4th-best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.

Christian Yelich

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Yelich in the 96th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Christian Yelich is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game. Progressive Field projects as the #3 park in the league for left-handed BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. The weather forecast calls for the 4th-best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.

Gabriel Arias Total Hits Props • Cleveland

Gabriel Arias
G. Arias
second base 2B • Cleveland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Arias in the 85th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Gabriel Arias is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game. Progressive Field grades out as the #3 stadium in the majors for RHB BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. The weather forecast calls for the 4th-best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.

Gabriel Arias

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Arias in the 85th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Gabriel Arias is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game. Progressive Field grades out as the #3 stadium in the majors for RHB BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. The weather forecast calls for the 4th-best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.

Brice Turang Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

Brice Turang
B. Turang
second base 2B • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brice Turang in the 80th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Brice Turang is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Progressive Field projects as the #3 park in the league for left-handed BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. The weather forecast calls for the 4th-best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.

Brice Turang

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brice Turang in the 80th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Brice Turang is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Progressive Field projects as the #3 park in the league for left-handed BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. The weather forecast calls for the 4th-best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.

Carlos Santana Total Hits Props • Cleveland

Carlos Santana
C. Santana
first base 1B • Cleveland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Carlos Santana is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Progressive Field projects as the #3 park in the league for left-handed BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. The weather forecast calls for the 4th-best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for hitters.

Carlos Santana

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Carlos Santana is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Progressive Field projects as the #3 park in the league for left-handed BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. The weather forecast calls for the 4th-best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for hitters.

Rhys Hoskins Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

Rhys Hoskins
R. Hoskins
first base 1B • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

Progressive Field grades out as the #3 stadium in the majors for RHB BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. The weather forecast calls for the 4th-best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for hitters. Rhys Hoskins pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.9% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Rhys Hoskins

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Progressive Field grades out as the #3 stadium in the majors for RHB BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. The weather forecast calls for the 4th-best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for hitters. Rhys Hoskins pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.9% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Kyle Manzardo Total Hits Props • Cleveland

Kyle Manzardo
K. Manzardo
first base 1B • Cleveland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Kyle Manzardo is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game. Progressive Field projects as the #3 park in the league for left-handed BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. The weather forecast calls for the 4th-best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for hitters.

Kyle Manzardo

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Kyle Manzardo is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game. Progressive Field projects as the #3 park in the league for left-handed BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. The weather forecast calls for the 4th-best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for hitters.

Angel Martinez Total Hits Props • Cleveland

Angel Martinez
A. Martinez
center outfield CF • Cleveland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Progressive Field projects as the #3 park in the league for left-handed BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. The weather forecast calls for the 4th-best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for hitters. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Angel Martinez will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Angel Martinez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Progressive Field projects as the #3 park in the league for left-handed BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. The weather forecast calls for the 4th-best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for hitters. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Angel Martinez will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Jhonkensy Noel Total Hits Props • Cleveland

Jhonkensy Noel
J. Noel
right outfield RF • Cleveland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

Progressive Field grades out as the #3 stadium in the majors for RHB BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. The weather forecast calls for the 4th-best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for hitters. Jhonkensy Noel pulls many of his flyballs (37.6% — 95th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Jhonkensy Noel

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Progressive Field grades out as the #3 stadium in the majors for RHB BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. The weather forecast calls for the 4th-best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for hitters. Jhonkensy Noel pulls many of his flyballs (37.6% — 95th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Daniel Schneemann Total Hits Props • Cleveland

Daniel Schneemann
D. Schneemann
second base 2B • Cleveland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Daniel Schneemann is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 73% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. Progressive Field projects as the #3 park in the league for left-handed BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Progressive Field has the 6th-shallowest right field dimensions in MLB. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. The weather forecast calls for the 4th-best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.

Daniel Schneemann

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Daniel Schneemann is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 73% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. Progressive Field projects as the #3 park in the league for left-handed BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Progressive Field has the 6th-shallowest right field dimensions in MLB. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. The weather forecast calls for the 4th-best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.

Nolan Jones Total Hits Props • Cleveland

Nolan Jones
N. Jones
right outfield RF • Cleveland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Jones in the 85th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Progressive Field projects as the #3 park in the league for left-handed BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. The weather forecast calls for the 4th-best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for hitters.

Nolan Jones

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Jones in the 85th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Progressive Field projects as the #3 park in the league for left-handed BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. The weather forecast calls for the 4th-best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for hitters.

Jake Bauers Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

Jake Bauers
J. Bauers
first base 1B • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.5
Best Odds

Progressive Field projects as the #3 park in the league for left-handed BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. The weather forecast calls for the 4th-best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for hitters. Hitting from the opposite that Gavin Williams throws from, Jake Bauers will have an edge in today's game.

Jake Bauers

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.5
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.5

Progressive Field projects as the #3 park in the league for left-handed BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. The weather forecast calls for the 4th-best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for hitters. Hitting from the opposite that Gavin Williams throws from, Jake Bauers will have an edge in today's game.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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