Milwaukee @ Cleveland picks
Progressive Field
MIL vs CLE Picks
MLB Picks
MoneyLine

Tony Sartori
Betting Analyst
Right-hander Gavin Williams ranks in the 37th percentile or lower in xERA, xBA, average exit velocity, walk rate, and barrel rate. Further regression is likely to take place against the Brewers, a team that shelled Williams in their last meeting. In that outing, Williams surrendered five runs on six hits in just four innings of work. Milwaukee won that game 5-3. A bullpen that ranks in the bottom half of the league in ERA follows if Williams can't last long today.
Total RBIs

Kyle Manzardo o0.5 Total RBIs (+135)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Manzardo in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his home run skill.. Kyle Manzardo is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game.. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output.. The weather forecast calls for the 4th-best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for hitters.
Total RBIs

Christian Yelich o0.5 Total RBIs (+155)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Yelich in the 96th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.. Christian Yelich is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game.. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output.. The weather forecast calls for the 4th-best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for hitters.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Austin Hedges o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-105)
Projection 1.2 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output.. The weather forecast calls for the 4th-best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Austin Hedges pulls many of his flyballs (35.7% — 91st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Austin Hedges will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.
Total Bases

Kyle Manzardo o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 1.8 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Manzardo in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his home run skill.. Kyle Manzardo is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game.. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output.. The weather forecast calls for the 4th-best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for hitters.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Jake Bauers o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-155)
Projection 1.3 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Bauers in the 95th percentile when assessing his home run ability.. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output.. The weather forecast calls for the 4th-best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Hitting from the opposite that Gavin Williams throws from, Jake Bauers will have an edge in today's game.
Total Bases

Jose Ramirez o1.5 Total Bases (+100)
Projection 2 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Ramirez in the 96th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.. Jose Ramirez is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output.. The weather forecast calls for the 4th-best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for hitters.