Milwaukee @ Cleveland Picks & Props

Over the past week, Steven Kwan's exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal EV of 87.7 mph to 83.3 mph. Despite posting a .370 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Steven Kwan has experienced some positive variance given the .060 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .310.

Progressive Field grades out as the #3 stadium in the majors for RHB BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. The weather forecast calls for the 4th-best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for hitters. Austin Hedges pulls many of his flyballs (35.7% — 91st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Batting from the same side that Gavin Williams throws from, Jackson Chourio will have a disadvantage today. Jackson Chourio hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 94th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards baseball's 8th-deepest CF fences in today's game. Playing on the road generally lowers hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jackson Chourio in today's game. In the last two weeks, Jackson Chourio's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9.7% down to 4.7%. Jackson Chourio's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased from last year to this one, falling from 16% to 10.3%.

Extreme groundball batters like Jose Ramirez are generally less successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Logan Henderson.

Progressive Field grades out as the #3 stadium in the majors for RHB BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. The weather forecast calls for the 4th-best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for hitters. The Cleveland Guardians infield defense projects as the 3rd-strongest among every team on the slate today.

Progressive Field grades out as the #3 stadium in the majors for RHB BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. The weather forecast calls for the 4th-best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for hitters. The Cleveland Guardians infield defense projects as the 3rd-strongest among every team on the slate today.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, William Contreras ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). William Contreras is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Progressive Field grades out as the #3 stadium in the majors for RHB BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. The weather forecast calls for the 4th-best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Frelick in the 79th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Sal Frelick is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card today. Progressive Field projects as the #3 park in the league for left-handed BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. The weather forecast calls for the 4th-best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Yelich in the 96th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Christian Yelich is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game. Progressive Field projects as the #3 park in the league for left-handed BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. The weather forecast calls for the 4th-best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Arias in the 85th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Gabriel Arias is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game. Progressive Field grades out as the #3 stadium in the majors for RHB BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. The weather forecast calls for the 4th-best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brice Turang in the 80th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Brice Turang is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Progressive Field projects as the #3 park in the league for left-handed BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. The weather forecast calls for the 4th-best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.

Carlos Santana is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Progressive Field projects as the #3 park in the league for left-handed BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. The weather forecast calls for the 4th-best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for hitters.

Progressive Field grades out as the #3 stadium in the majors for RHB BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. The weather forecast calls for the 4th-best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for hitters. Rhys Hoskins pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.9% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Kyle Manzardo is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game. Progressive Field projects as the #3 park in the league for left-handed BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. The weather forecast calls for the 4th-best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for hitters.

Progressive Field projects as the #3 park in the league for left-handed BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. The weather forecast calls for the 4th-best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for hitters. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Angel Martinez will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Progressive Field grades out as the #3 stadium in the majors for RHB BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. The weather forecast calls for the 4th-best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for hitters. Jhonkensy Noel pulls many of his flyballs (37.6% — 95th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Daniel Schneemann is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 73% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. Progressive Field projects as the #3 park in the league for left-handed BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Progressive Field has the 6th-shallowest right field dimensions in MLB. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. The weather forecast calls for the 4th-best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Jones in the 85th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Progressive Field projects as the #3 park in the league for left-handed BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. The weather forecast calls for the 4th-best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for hitters.

Progressive Field projects as the #3 park in the league for left-handed BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. The weather forecast calls for the 4th-best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for hitters. Hitting from the opposite that Gavin Williams throws from, Jake Bauers will have an edge in today's game.