Yankee Stadium
Jorbit Vivas will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Nick Pivetta in today's game. Jorbit Vivas will hold the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manny Machado in the 94th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Manny Machado is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game. Manny Machado will hold the platoon advantage against Carlos Rodon in today's game. The New York Yankees outfield defense profiles as the 15th-weakest among every team on the slate today. Manny Machado has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 92.9-mph to 98.7-mph over the past 7 days.
The New York Yankees outfield defense profiles as the 15th-weakest among every team on the slate today. Jackson Merrill has made significant gains with his Barrel%, bettering his 11.4% rate last year to 22.6% this season. Jackson Merrill has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 93.1-mph average to last year's 90.4-mph EV. Jackson Merrill's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last year to this one, rising from 45.7% to 54.8%. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.315) implies that Jackson Merrill has had some very poor luck since the start of last season with his .298 actual batting average.
Extreme flyball bats like Tyler Wade generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Carlos Rodon. The New York Yankees outfield defense profiles as the 15th-weakest among every team on the slate today. Tyler Wade's launch angle of late (39° over the past week) is considerably better than his 10.4° seasonal mark. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Tyler Wade has been unlucky since the start of last season. His .270 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .294. Tyler Wade has posted a .316 BABIP since the start of last season, placing in the 79th percentile.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Xander Bogaerts is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game. Hitting from the opposite that Carlos Rodon throws from, Xander Bogaerts will have the upper hand in today's game. The New York Yankees outfield defense profiles as the 15th-weakest among every team on the slate today. Xander Bogaerts's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last year to this one, going from 42% to 50%.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Iglesias in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Jose Iglesias will hold the platoon advantage against Carlos Rodon today. Jose Iglesias has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.9%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Extreme groundball batters like Jose Iglesias tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Carlos Rodon. The New York Yankees outfield defense profiles as the 15th-weakest among every team on the slate today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Arraez as the best batter in Major League Baseball as it relates to his batting average talent. Luis Arraez is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. The New York Yankees outfield defense profiles as the 15th-weakest among every team on the slate today. Based on Statcast data, Luis Arraez grades out in the 99th percentile via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .316. Luis Arraez has shown good plate discipline since the start of last season, ranking in the 99th percentile with a 0.96 K/BB rate.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Fernando Tatis Jr. ranks as the 7th-best hitter in the majors. Fernando Tatis Jr. is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. Hitting from the opposite that Carlos Rodon throws from, Fernando Tatis Jr. will have the upper hand in today's matchup. The New York Yankees outfield defense profiles as the 15th-weakest among every team on the slate today. In the past 14 days, Fernando Tatis Jr.'s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 98.4-mph over the course of the season to 101.3-mph lately.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Oscar Gonzalez in the 84th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Hitting from the opposite that Carlos Rodon throws from, Oscar Gonzalez will have an advantage today. Batters such as Oscar Gonzalez with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Carlos Rodon who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum. The New York Yankees outfield defense profiles as the 15th-weakest among every team on the slate today. In the last two weeks, Oscar Gonzalez's swing has been well optimized for home runs, notching a 29.4% of balls hit with a launch angle in the optimal range of 23° to 34°.
Trent Grisham has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (60% of the time), but he is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today's game. Trent Grisham will hold the platoon advantage over Nick Pivetta in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Trent Grisham will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Over the last 14 days, Trent Grisham's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 98.3-mph over the course of the season to 102-mph recently. Last year, Trent Grisham had an average launch angle of 20.4° on his hardest-hit balls, while this year it has significantly increased to 24.6°.
Anthony Volpe will hold the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. Anthony Volpe has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 92-mph average to last year's 87.6-mph EV. Anthony Volpe has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.8-mph to 95.7-mph in the past week. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.257) may lead us to conclude that Anthony Volpe has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season with his .242 actual batting average.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ben Rice in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Ben Rice is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. Ben Rice will have the handedness advantage against Nick Pivetta today. Ben Rice pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.3% — 76th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Ben Rice will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats.
Batting from the opposite that Carlos Rodon throws from, Elias Diaz will have an advantage in today's game. The New York Yankees outfield defense profiles as the 15th-weakest among every team on the slate today. Elias Diaz's launch angle this year (16°) is considerably better than his 7.3° mark last season.
As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Paul Goldschmidt ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Paul Goldschmidt is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Paul Goldschmidt will hold that advantage in today's game. Over the past 7 days, Paul Goldschmidt's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 9.7% up to 20%. In the last two weeks, Paul Goldschmidt's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94-mph over the course of the season to 98.8-mph lately.
Cody Bellinger is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game. Hitting from the opposite that Nick Pivetta throws from, Cody Bellinger will have the upper hand in today's game. Cody Bellinger pulls many of his flyballs (33.5% — 77th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Cody Bellinger will hold that advantage in today's game. In comparison to his 87.8-mph average last year, Cody Bellinger's exit velocity has noticeably risen this season, now sitting at 90 mph.
Batting from the opposite that Carlos Rodon throws from, Brandon Lockridge will have an edge today. Brandon Lockridge has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.7%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards baseball's 7th-shallowest RF fences today. Extreme flyball bats like Brandon Lockridge generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Carlos Rodon. The New York Yankees outfield defense profiles as the 15th-weakest among every team on the slate today. Brandon Lockridge is remarkably fast, placing in the 98th percentile in Sprint Speed at 29.69 ft/sec this year.
Luis Campusano is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today. Luis Campusano will hold the platoon advantage over Carlos Rodon in today's game. The New York Yankees outfield defense profiles as the 15th-weakest among every team on the slate today. Posting a 1.77 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Luis Campusano has shown impressive plate discipline, grading out in the 86th percentile.
The switch-hitting Oswaldo Cabrera will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side (0) today against Nick Pivetta. Oswaldo Cabrera will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Oswaldo Cabrera's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 84.9-mph over the course of the season to 86.9-mph lately.
Hitting from the opposite that Nick Pivetta throws from, Austin Wells will have the upper hand today. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Austin Wells will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Austin Wells has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% recently, upping his 12.5% seasonal rate to 20% in the last 7 days. Austin Wells's launch angle this year (21.7°) is considerably higher than his 16.9° mark last season. Austin Wells's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls of late (19.3° over the last 14 days) is significantly better than his 14.5° seasonal figure.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Aaron Judge ranks as the best hitter in the league. Aaron Judge is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today. Aaron Judge will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats. Aaron Judge has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 104.2-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal mark of 98.5-mph. Compared to his seasonal average of 15.2°, Aaron Judge has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 23° mark over the past week.
Oswald Peraza will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Over the last 7 days, Oswald Peraza's swing has been well optimized for home runs, notching a 33.3% of balls hit with a launch angle in the optimal range of 23° to 34°. The standard deviation of Oswald Peraza's launch angle has been very consistent recently (31.8° in the last week's worth of games), which is a measure of reliable bat control and seeing the ball well.
Jason Heyward has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.
Gavin Sheets has gone over 0.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.
