Marlins vs Dodgers Prediction, Picks & Odds for Today’s MLB Game

With no real pitching plan for the Dodgers tonight, JD Yonke believes the Marlins can muck it up and keep things close with Sandy Alcantara on the bump.

JD Yonke - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
JD Yonke • Betting Analyst
Apr 29, 2025 • 17:32 ET • 4 min read

MLB

Apr 29 • 10:10 PM ET
LAD
77 %
MIA
23 %
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Miami Marlins pitcher Sandy Alcantara (22) pitches in the first inning.
Photo By - Imagn Images. Miami Marlins pitcher Sandy Alcantara (22) pitches in the first inning.

Baseball fans hope for another thrilling game as the Los Angeles Dodgers (19-10) host the Miami Marlins (12-16) for Game 2 of a three-game series on Tuesday night. 

Monday’s opener was one to remember as LA secured a 7-6 victory thanks to Tommy Edman’s 10th-inning walk-off.

For my Marlins vs. Dodgers predictions and MLB picks for Tuesday, April 29, I’m bearish on LA’s chances in a bullpen game necessitated by starting pitching injuries. 

Marlins vs Dodgers prediction

My Marlins vs Dodgers best bet: Marlins +0.5 — first five innings (-104 at FanDuel)

The Los Angeles Dodgers have nearly unrivaled starting pitching depth, but it’s not unlimited.

The arms are running thin after Blake Snell and Tyler Glasnow hit the IL with shoulder injuries. Shohei Ohtani isn’t expected to make his return to the mound until after the All-Star Break, Gavin Stone and Clayton Kershaw have long-term injuries, and Roki Sasaki and Yoshinobu Yamamoto are getting more than five days' rest after every start

Tony Gonsolin makes his return on Wednesday, leaving Tuesday as a bullpen game. 

That’s unfortunate timing, as the bullpen has been utilized heavily lately. Glasnow lasted a single inning on Sunday, and the arm barn was needed for 4 ⅔ innings yesterday in a 10-inning game. 

Seven different relievers have thrown 20+ pitches in the last three days. This creates a difficult situation for Dave Roberts to manage in the short term. 

The Miami Marlins are in better shape on the mound as former NL Cy Young Award winner Sandy Alcantara gets the nod. 

His return from Tommy John has been a bumpy road (6.56 ERA), but there’s still a lot to like about his game, and he should improve going forward. 

The 29-year-old hurler has induced a groundball a whopping 59.2% of the time, putting him in the 93rd percentile. 

He still has the goods, posting a Stuff+ of 109 that ranks him 13th out of 133 starting pitchers who have thrown at least 20 innings. 

Miami has its ace on the mound while LA is forced into a bullpen game with a taxed group of relievers. 

I don’t trust Miami’s bullpen (4.41 ERA, 5.07 FIP), but the First 5 Innings market is appealing.

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Marlins vs Dodgers same-game parlay (SGP)

Marlins +0.5 — first five innings

Sandy Alcantara Under 2.5 earned runs

Jesus Sanchez 2+ total bases

Believing in the Marlins required some faith in Alcantara to revert to positively impacting his ball club. It’d be unfair to expect an immediate return to dominance after Tommy John, but there are enough positive signs that I’m buying his ability to limit the Dodgers’ run-scoring on Tuesday. 

Where will the offense come from? Outfielder Jesus Sanchez has strong underlying numbers this season, so I’m betting on him recording 2+ total bases. 

The 6-foot-4 Sanchez has a .389 xwOBA and .529 xSLG through 49 plate appearances. He’s barreling the ball (13.8%) and has good bat speed. 

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

Marlins vs Dodgers odds

Marlins vs Dodgers live odds

Marlins vs Dodgers opening odds

  • Moneyline: Miami +1.5 (-125) | Los Angeles -1.5 (+105)
  • Run line: Miami +174 | Los Angeles -191
  • Over/Under: Over 8.5 | Under 8.5

Marlins vs Dodgers trend

Miami has covered the run line in seven of its last nine games. Find more MLB betting trends for Marlins vs. Dodgers.

How to watch Marlins vs Dodgers and game info

Location Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles, CA
Date Tuesday, 4-29-2025
First pitch 10:10 p.m. ET
TV FanDuel Sports Network - Florida, SportsNet LA
Marlins starting pitcher Sandy Alcantara
(2-2, 6.56 ERA)
Dodgers starting pitcher TBD
(X-X, X.XX ERA)

Marlins vs Dodgers latest injuries

Marlins vs Dodgers weather

Not intended for use in MA.
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JD Yonke
Betting Analyst

JD is a diehard college football fan with five years of experience writing betting and fantasy content for publications such as SportsGrid, Fantasy Points, Fantrax, and Devy Watch. An avid reader, he uses his inclination to look at things with an exhausting and in-depth, analytic viewpoint combined with a love for statistics and metrics to form a well-rounded handicapping approach.

e's an integral member of the niche (but growing!) college fantasy football community, twice traveling to Canton, OH for the Fantasy Football Expo as a member of the CFF King's Classic drafting squad. His specialization in college football DFS and prop betting taught him that there are exploitable markets to be found and that narrowing your focus is integral to being a profitable bettor.

A lifelong Californian who grew up playing baseball, basketball, football, and lacrosse, he's glad to share a passionate love for sports with this wonderful community.

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