Cleveland @ Toronto props

The #4 venue in Major League Baseball for suppressing base hits to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre. Hitting from the same side that Tanner Bibee throws from, Bo Bichette will have a disadvantage in today's matchup. Bo Bichette's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined recently, falling from 52.6% on the season to 46.2% over the last two weeks.

The #4 park in the majors for suppressing BABIP to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre. Playing on the road generally reduces batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Steven Kwan in today's game. Steven Kwan has been lucky this year, notching a .367 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .306 — a .061 disparity.

Gabriel Arias's BABIP skill is projected in the 82nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The Rogers Centre roof figures to be closed today, making conditions in this game 8° hotter than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for offense. Gabriel Arias hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 79th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 10th-shallowest CF fences today. Bats such as Gabriel Arias with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Bowden Francis who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum. In the last week's worth of games, Gabriel Arias's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 96.9-mph over the course of the season to 99.6-mph lately.

Andres Gimenez's batting average skill is projected to be in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). In the league, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 8th-shallowest. The Rogers Centre roof figures to be closed today, making conditions in this game 8° hotter than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for offense. Andres Gimenez will hold the platoon advantage against Tanner Bibee in today's matchup. Extreme flyball bats like Andres Gimenez usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Tanner Bibee.

When it comes to his batting average skill, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected as the 2nd-best hitter in the majors by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game. The Rogers Centre roof figures to be closed today, making conditions in this game 8° hotter than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for offense. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39% — 89th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 10th-shallowest CF fences today. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alan Roden in the 76th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. In the league, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 8th-shallowest. The Rogers Centre roof figures to be closed today, making conditions in this game 8° hotter than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for offense. Alan Roden will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tanner Bibee today. Extreme groundball hitters like Alan Roden tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Tanner Bibee.

Kyle Manzardo is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today. In the league, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 8th-shallowest. The Rogers Centre roof figures to be closed today, making conditions in this game 8° hotter than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for offense. Hitting from the opposite that Bowden Francis throws from, Kyle Manzardo will have an edge in today's matchup. The Barrel% of Kyle Manzardo has significantly improved, with an increase from 9.5% last year to 16.2% this year.

In the league, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 8th-shallowest. The Rogers Centre roof figures to be closed today, making conditions in this game 8° hotter than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for offense. Brayan Rocchio has made big improvements with his Barrel% lately, improving his 3.2% seasonal rate to 12.5% in the last week's worth of games. Brayan Rocchio's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last year to this one, rising from 37.7% to 46.8%. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.294) may lead us to conclude that Brayan Rocchio has been unlucky this year with his .225 actual wOBA.

The Rogers Centre roof figures to be closed today, making conditions in this game 8° hotter than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for offense. Hitting from the opposite that Bowden Francis throws from, Daniel Schneemann will have an edge today. Daniel Schneemann hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 85th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. The Barrel% of Daniel Schneemann has significantly improved, with an increase from 4.8% last year to 17.6% this season. Daniel Schneemann's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved lately, going from 47.1% on the season to 66.7% in the last 7 days.

Daulton Varsho is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in today's game. In the league, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 8th-shallowest. The Rogers Centre roof figures to be closed today, making conditions in this game 8° hotter than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for offense. Batting from the opposite that Tanner Bibee throws from, Daulton Varsho will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Daulton Varsho will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, George Springer ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). George Springer is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup. In the league, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 8th-shallowest. The Rogers Centre roof figures to be closed today, making conditions in this game 8° hotter than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for offense. George Springer will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.

The Rogers Centre roof figures to be closed today, making conditions in this game 8° hotter than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for offense. Bo Naylor will have the handedness advantage over Bowden Francis in today's matchup. Bo Naylor hits many of his flyballs to center field (39% — 89th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 10th-shallowest CF fences today. Bo Naylor has made notable gains with his Barrel% lately, improving his 11.5% seasonal rate to 16.7% over the last two weeks. Last year, Bo Naylor had an average launch angle of 17.5° on his hardest-hit balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 25.8°.

Anthony Santander is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. In the league, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 8th-shallowest. The Rogers Centre roof figures to be closed today, making conditions in this game 8° hotter than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for offense. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Anthony Santander will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Despite posting a .263 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Anthony Santander has suffered from bad luck given the .066 gap between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .329.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Jose Ramirez ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jose Ramirez is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today. In the league, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 8th-shallowest. The Rogers Centre roof figures to be closed today, making conditions in this game 8° hotter than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for offense. In the past 14 days, Jose Ramirez's 52.6% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 43%.

Nolan Jones's BABIP skill is projected in the 86th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Nolan Jones is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. In the league, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 8th-shallowest. The Rogers Centre roof figures to be closed today, making conditions in this game 8° hotter than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for offense. Nolan Jones will have the handedness advantage against Bowden Francis in today's matchup.

The Rogers Centre roof figures to be closed today, making conditions in this game 8° hotter than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for offense. Angel Martinez hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 92nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Angel Martinez's launch angle of late (27.3° in the last 7 days) is significantly better than his 11.4° seasonal figure. Angel Martinez has recorded a .254 batting average since the start of last season, ranking in the 75th percentile.

Carlos Santana is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today's game. In the league, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 8th-shallowest. The Rogers Centre roof figures to be closed today, making conditions in this game 8° hotter than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for offense. Carlos Santana has exhibited impressive plate discipline since the start of last season, checking in at the 92nd percentile with a 1.54 K/BB rate.

Nathan Lukes's batting average skill is projected to be in the 85th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). In the league, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 8th-shallowest. The Rogers Centre roof figures to be closed today, making conditions in this game 8° hotter than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for offense. Nathan Lukes will have the handedness advantage over Tanner Bibee today. Extreme flyball batters like Nathan Lukes usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Tanner Bibee.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alejandro Kirk in the 89th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Alejandro Kirk is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game. In the league, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 8th-shallowest. The Rogers Centre roof figures to be closed today, making conditions in this game 8° hotter than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for offense. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Alejandro Kirk will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ernie Clement in the 88th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. In the league, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 8th-shallowest. The Rogers Centre roof figures to be closed today, making conditions in this game 8° hotter than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for offense. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Ernie Clement will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Ernie Clement's launch angle this season (22.9°) is a significant increase over his 16.2° figure last season.

In the league, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 8th-shallowest. The Rogers Centre roof figures to be closed today, making conditions in this game 8° hotter than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for offense. Addison Barger will hold the platoon advantage against Tanner Bibee today. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Addison Barger will hold that advantage in today's game. Addison Barger has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 93.5-mph average to last year's 88.1-mph figure.