Washington @ Cincinnati props

Gavin Lux's BABIP ability is projected in the 89th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). In the league, Great American Ball Park's RF dimensions are the 8th-shallowest. Gavin Lux will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats. Gavin Lux has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 95-mph average over the last week to his seasonal figure of 91.5-mph. Gavin Lux's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, going from 12.7% to 16.7%.

When estimating his BABIP talent, James Wood is projected as the 3rd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). James Wood is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game. James Wood will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Nick Martinez in today's game. James Wood has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.7%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 7th-shallowest LF fences today. Hitters such as James Wood with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Nick Martinez who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dylan Crews in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Dylan Crews has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.1%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Extreme flyball hitters like Dylan Crews are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Nick Martinez. In the last 7 days, Dylan Crews's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 14.7% up to 22.2%. In the last two weeks, Dylan Crews's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 95.9-mph over the course of the season to 100.7-mph of late.

TJ Friedl is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in today's game. TJ Friedl pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.1% — 96th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest RF fences today. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and TJ Friedl will hold that advantage today. As it relates to plate discipline, TJ Friedl's talent is quite impressive, putting up a 2.04 K/BB rate since the start of last season while grading out in in the 75th percentile.

The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to drop to the 2nd-lowest level of all games on the slate at 56°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts). Nick Martinez will hold the platoon advantage over Amed Rosario in today's game. The Cincinnati Reds outfield defense projects as the 4th-best among all the teams in action today. Playing on the road generally lessens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Amed Rosario in today's matchup. Amed Rosario's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off in recent games, decreasing from 17.4% on the season to 0% in the last week's worth of games.

When estimating his BABIP skill, Elly De La Cruz is projected as the best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Elly De La Cruz is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today. The 7th-shallowest left field fences among all major league parks are found in Great American Ball Park. Extreme flyball hitters like Elly De La Cruz are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like MacKenzie Gore. Elly De La Cruz will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Jacob Young has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (43%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the league's 8th-shallowest RF fences today. Extreme flyball bats like Jacob Young usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Nick Martinez. Jacob Young has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 90-mph average in the last two weeks to his seasonal average of 87.3-mph. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.277) may lead us to conclude that Jacob Young has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season with his .252 actual batting average. With a .317 BABIP since the start of last season, Jacob Young finds himself in the 82nd percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Noelvi Marte in the 75th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Noelvi Marte is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 60% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. The 7th-shallowest left field fences among all major league parks are found in Great American Ball Park. Noelvi Marte will hold the platoon advantage over MacKenzie Gore in today's game. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Noelvi Marte will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Matt McLain's BABIP talent is projected in the 95th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Matt McLain is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game. Matt McLain will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against MacKenzie Gore today. Matt McLain has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Matt McLain will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

CJ Abrams's batting average talent is projected to be in the 76th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). CJ Abrams is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in today's game. Hitting from the opposite that Nick Martinez throws from, CJ Abrams will have an edge in today's game. CJ Abrams pulls many of his flyballs (34.7% — 87th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. CJ Abrams's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, increasing from 14.6% to 19.7%.

The 7th-shallowest left field fences among all major league parks are found in Great American Ball Park. Jose Trevino will hold the platoon advantage over MacKenzie Gore today. Jose Trevino will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats. Jose Trevino has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 98.8-mph average in the last week's worth of games to his seasonal figure of 91.9-mph. In the past 14 days, Jose Trevino's 28.6% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 15.3%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 85th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Tyler Stephenson will hold the platoon advantage over MacKenzie Gore in today's matchup. Tyler Stephenson has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.1%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Tyler Stephenson will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Tyler Stephenson's 93.8-mph exit velocity on flyballs (an advanced stat to assess power) ranks in the 76th percentile since the start of last season.

Keibert Ruiz is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today. The switch-hitting Keibert Ruiz will have the advantage of batting from from his good side (0) today against Nick Martinez. Keibert Ruiz pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (39.1% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 8th-shallowest RF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathaniel Lowe in the 82nd percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Nathaniel Lowe is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today. Hitting from the opposite that Nick Martinez throws from, Nathaniel Lowe will have an edge today. Nathaniel Lowe has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.8%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Extreme flyball hitters like Nathaniel Lowe are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Nick Martinez.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Santiago Espinal in the 82nd percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Santiago Espinal is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 53% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. Batting from the opposite that MacKenzie Gore throws from, Santiago Espinal will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Santiago Espinal has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.9%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards MLB's 8th-shallowest RF fences today. Santiago Espinal will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Spencer Steer ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Spencer Steer is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game. Spencer Steer will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against MacKenzie Gore today. Spencer Steer pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.4% — 89th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Spencer Steer will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

The 7th-shallowest left field fences among all major league parks are found in Great American Ball Park. Alex Call has notched a .331 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, grading out in the 83rd percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Alex Call has notched a .401 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, placing in the 98th percentile. Ranking in the 99th percentile, Alex Call sports a .344 batting average since the start of last season.

Jose Tena's BABIP ability is projected in the 95th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Batting from the opposite that Nick Martinez throws from, Jose Tena will have an advantage in today's game. Jose Tena has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.5%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Extreme groundball hitters like Jose Tena usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Nick Martinez. Jose Tena has recorded a .338 BABIP since the start of last season, placing in the 90th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Blake Dunn in the 95th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Blake Dunn will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against MacKenzie Gore in today's matchup. Blake Dunn has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.4%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Blake Dunn will hold the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats. In the past 7 days, Blake Dunn's maximum exit velocity (a favorable measure of recent form and raw power) has been 110-mph, which qualifies as one of the hardest-hit balls in baseball.