Washington @ Cincinnati picks

The Reds host the Nationals in the afternoon portion of Sunday’s MLB slate. Right-hander Nick Martinez takes the mound for Cincinnati, and he should serve as a good fade candidate. Through six starts this season, Martinez is 1-3 with a 4.68 ERA and 1.35 WHIP. His underlying metrics are equally poor, as the right-hander ranks in the 37th percentile in expected ERA (xERA) and 19th percentile in expected batting average (xBA). That brings us to CJ Abrams, who has been on fire lately. Over his past 12 games, Abrams boasts a .313 batting average, .500 slugging percentage, and .877 OPS. This success is likely to continue against Martinez, a pitcher Abrams has previously homered against.

When estimating his BABIP talent, James Wood is projected as the 3rd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. James Wood is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game.. Great American Ball Park grades out as the #1 park in baseball for lefty home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. James Wood will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Nick Martinez in today's game.. James Wood has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.7%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 7th-shallowest LF fences today.

When estimating his BABIP skill, Elly De La Cruz is projected as the best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Elly De La Cruz is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today.. Great American Ball Park profiles as the #1 venue in the league for righty home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The 7th-shallowest left field fences among all major league parks are found in Great American Ball Park.. Extreme flyball hitters like Elly De La Cruz are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like MacKenzie Gore.

Matt McLain's BABIP talent is projected in the 95th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Matt McLain is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game.. Great American Ball Park profiles as the #1 venue in the league for righty home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Matt McLain will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against MacKenzie Gore today.. Matt McLain has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dylan Crews in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.. Great American Ball Park profiles as the #1 venue in the league for righty home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Dylan Crews has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.1%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. Extreme flyball hitters like Dylan Crews are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Nick Martinez.. In the last 7 days, Dylan Crews's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 14.7% up to 22.2%.

Gavin Lux's BABIP ability is projected in the 89th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Great American Ball Park grades out as the #1 park in baseball for lefty home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. In the league, Great American Ball Park's RF dimensions are the 8th-shallowest.. Gavin Lux will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats.. Gavin Lux has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 95-mph average over the last week to his seasonal figure of 91.5-mph.

When estimating his BABIP talent, James Wood is projected as the 3rd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. James Wood is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game.. Great American Ball Park grades out as the #1 park in baseball for lefty home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. James Wood will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Nick Martinez in today's game.. James Wood has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.7%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 7th-shallowest LF fences today.

Matt McLain's BABIP talent is projected in the 95th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Matt McLain is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game.. Great American Ball Park profiles as the #1 venue in the league for righty home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Matt McLain will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against MacKenzie Gore today.. Matt McLain has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

When estimating his BABIP skill, Elly De La Cruz is projected as the best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Elly De La Cruz is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today.. Great American Ball Park profiles as the #1 venue in the league for righty home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The 7th-shallowest left field fences among all major league parks are found in Great American Ball Park.. Extreme flyball hitters like Elly De La Cruz are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like MacKenzie Gore.

CJ Abrams's batting average talent is projected to be in the 76th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. CJ Abrams is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in today's game.. Great American Ball Park grades out as the #1 park in baseball for lefty home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Hitting from the opposite that Nick Martinez throws from, CJ Abrams will have an edge in today's game.. CJ Abrams pulls many of his flyballs (34.7% — 87th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Blake Dunn in the 95th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.. Great American Ball Park profiles as the #1 venue in the league for righty home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Blake Dunn will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against MacKenzie Gore in today's matchup.. Blake Dunn has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.4%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Blake Dunn will hold the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.