Toronto @ New York props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alan Roden in the 77th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. The New York Yankees outfield defense projects as the worst out of every team today. Alan Roden has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 87.9-mph average over the past two weeks to his seasonal 85.1-mph figure. Compared to his seasonal average of 3.2°, Alan Roden has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 6.9° mark over the past 14 days. A consistent launch angle is a measure of good hitting, and Alan Roden has been very consistent with his lately, compiling a 41.9° launch angle standard deviation over the past two weeks.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Jazz Chisholm Jr. ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jazz Chisholm Jr. is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today's game. Hitting from the opposite that Kevin Gausman throws from, Jazz Chisholm Jr. will have an edge in today's game. Jazz Chisholm Jr. pulls many of his flyballs (34.4% — 84th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 6th-shallowest RF fences today. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Jazz Chisholm Jr. will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ben Rice in the 94th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Ben Rice is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game. Ben Rice will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kevin Gausman in today's game. Ben Rice will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats. The Barrel% of Ben Rice has significantly improved, with an increase from 15.6% last year to 22.8% this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andres Gimenez in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. The New York Yankees outfield defense projects as the worst out of every team today. Compared to last season, Andres Gimenez has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 13.8% to 19.2% this season. In the last week, Andres Gimenez's 30% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 19.2%. Andres Gimenez has had some very poor luck with his batting average since the start of last season; his .243 BA is significantly deflated relative to his .274 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

As it relates to his batting average skill, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected as the 2nd-best hitter in Major League Baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will hold the platoon advantage against Max Fried in today's matchup. The New York Yankees outfield defense projects as the worst out of every team today. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 95.9-mph average in the past 14 days to his seasonal 93.1-mph average.

Anthony Santander is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. The switch-hitting Anthony Santander will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side (0) today against Max Fried. Extreme flyball bats like Anthony Santander are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Max Fried. The New York Yankees outfield defense projects as the worst out of every team today. New York's 3rd-worst outfield defense of the day creates a favorable matchup for Anthony Santander, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.

Cody Bellinger is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today. Batting from the opposite that Kevin Gausman throws from, Cody Bellinger will have the upper hand today. Cody Bellinger pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.6% — 77th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Cody Bellinger will hold that advantage in today's game. Cody Bellinger has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 90.5-mph average to last year's 87.8-mph mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jasson Dominguez in the 88th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. The switch-hitting Jasson Dominguez will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side (0) today against Kevin Gausman. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Jasson Dominguez will hold that advantage today. In the last 7 days, Jasson Dominguez's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 8.2% up to 22.2%. Jasson Dominguez has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 97.2-mph average over the last week to his seasonal 87.9-mph figure.

Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Anthony Volpe will hold that advantage today. Anthony Volpe has made significant improvements with his Barrel%, upping his 4% rate last season to 12.5% this year. As it relates to his batting average, Anthony Volpe has been unlucky since the start of last season. His .238 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .253.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ernie Clement in the 89th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Batting from the opposite that Max Fried throws from, Ernie Clement will have an advantage today. The New York Yankees outfield defense projects as the worst out of every team today. Ernie Clement's launch angle this season (22.5°) is significantly better than his 16.2° figure last year. Ernie Clement has notched a .265 batting average since the start of last season, checking in at the 78th percentile.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, George Springer ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). George Springer is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup. George Springer will have the handedness advantage against Max Fried in today's matchup. The New York Yankees outfield defense projects as the worst out of every team today. George Springer has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 98.1-mph average to last year's 93.2-mph average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alejandro Kirk in the 87th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Alejandro Kirk is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Alejandro Kirk will have the handedness advantage over Max Fried in today's game. Alejandro Kirk has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.6%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the league's 6th-shallowest RF fences today. The New York Yankees outfield defense projects as the worst out of every team today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Paul Goldschmidt in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Paul Goldschmidt is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game. Paul Goldschmidt will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats. Paul Goldschmidt has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 99.3-mph average in the past week's worth of games to his seasonal average of 93.1-mph. Paul Goldschmidt's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this season (20.3°) is quite a bit higher than his 15.5° angle last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bo Bichette as the 8th-best hitter in MLB when estimating his BABIP ability. Bo Bichette is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. Bo Bichette will hold the platoon advantage against Max Fried today. Bo Bichette has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.9%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball's 6th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. The New York Yankees outfield defense projects as the worst out of every team today.

As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the dish, Oswaldo Cabrera will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side against Kevin Gausman in today's matchup. Oswaldo Cabrera will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats. Oswaldo Cabrera has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 86.9-mph average over the last week to his seasonal EV of 84.9-mph. Oswaldo Cabrera's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last year to this one, going from 43.5% to 55.3%.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Aaron Judge ranks as the best hitter in MLB. Aaron Judge is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today's game. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Aaron Judge will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Over the past 7 days, Aaron Judge's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 97.8-mph over the course of the season to 110.2-mph of late. Over the last two weeks, Aaron Judge's 58.8% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 47.9%.

Batting from the opposite that Max Fried throws from, Myles Straw will have an edge today. Myles Straw has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (45.5%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of baseball's 6th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. The New York Yankees outfield defense projects as the worst out of every team today. Myles Straw is remarkably fast, checking in at the 89th percentile in Sprint Speed at 28.54 ft/sec this year.

As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the dish, Tyler Heineman will have the advantage of batting from from his good side against Max Fried today. The New York Yankees outfield defense projects as the worst out of every team today.

Batting from the opposite that Kevin Gausman throws from, Austin Wells will have an edge in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Austin Wells will hold that advantage in today's game. Austin Wells has made substantial gains with his Barrel% lately, improving his 10.5% seasonal rate to 16% over the past two weeks. Austin Wells's launch angle this season (22.9°) is considerably higher than his 16.9° figure last year. In the past week, Austin Wells has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls: 23.6° compared to his seasonal mark of 11.6°.