Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on June 29, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.
CHW
@
BAL
Mon, Jun 29 • 6:35 PM ET
PIT
@
PHI
Mon, Jun 29 • 6:40 PM ET
DET
@
NYY
Mon, Jun 29 • 7:05 PM ET
NYM
@
TOR
Mon, Jun 29 • 7:07 PM ET
Kazuma Okamoto o0.5 Total Home Runs (+260)
This bet is wisely priced, so I’d only play Kazuma Okamoto to go deep at no shorter than +250. The reasoning is still sharp, though.
Manaea has been homer-prone for most of his career at 1.2 homers per nine, and righties have teed off on him this year to the tune of an .856 OPS. Okamoto does his best work against lefties, with an .811 OPS and five homers in just 72 at-bats off southpaws.
I’ll start with the Toronto Blue Jays on the run line at -1.5. Toronto’s offense has been explosive in stretches this year. While starting pitching has held the Jays back this year, Trey Yesavage has the stuff to out-duel Manaea on the other side.
Staying on that theme, I’ll take Yesavage over 6.5 strikeouts. The Mets are 15th in baseball with 8.32 strikeouts per game as a team, which doesn’t give a clear edge, but Toronto needs length out of Yesavage with a tired bullpen. He’ll get a long leash, and as the game mounts, he’ll find his rhythm and miss more bats.
WAS
@
BOS
Mon, Jun 29 • 7:10 PM ET
TEX
@
CLE
Mon, Jun 29 • 7:10 PM ET
o7.5 (-116)
Texas continues to swing the bats well, while Cleveland benefits from facing a bullpen-heavy pitching plan after Tyler Alexander exits. Even without an offensive explosion from the Guardians, both teams have realistic paths to enough runs, making the Over an attractive play.
CLE (-142)
Parker Messick enters in outstanding form and gives Cleveland a clear pitching advantage over a Texas club expected to rely heavily on its struggling bullpen. With the Rangers' relievers allowing more hard contact and home runs lately, the Guardians are well positioned to open the series with a victory.
CIN
@
MIL
Mon, Jun 29 • 7:40 PM ET
MIL (-155)
SD
@
CHC
Mon, Jun 29 • 8:05 PM ET
CHC -1.5 (+129)
The wind is forecast to be blistering out at Wrigley Field, and the Cubs have paced the majors with 6.6 runs per game during their 12-4 heater while also ranking fourth in wOBA and seventh in xwOBA. So, with the Padres sending righty Griffin Canning to the bump tonight, I’m anticipating another big night from the Chicago lineup. Canning has surrendered a 52.1% hard-hit rate, which is tied for the lowest mark in the majors among pitchers with 40 innings, after all.
MIN
@
HOU
Mon, Jun 29 • 8:10 PM ET
MIA
@
COL
Mon, Jun 29 • 8:40 PM ET
LAD
@
ATH
Mon, Jun 29 • 9:40 PM ET
o10.5 (-110)
Eric Lauer is sporting a sky-high 51% fly ball rate and has allowed 2.23 homers per nine innings.
He profiles as the exact kind of pitcher who will struggle mightily against a powerful Athletics offense in a very hitter-friendly ballpark.
Gage Jump has also allowed at least three runs in two of three home starts, with a putrid Angels team being the lone exception.
Bet to -125.
ATH (-105)
Gage Jump has posted a 2.56 xERA or lower in four of six starts, including three in a row.
Eric Lauer owns a 2.83 ERA over the last month despite a 5.17 xFIP.
Regression should set in against an Athletics attack sitting first in home wOBA and SLG against lefties.
Back the A's to -115.
SF
@
AZ
Mon, Jun 29 • 9:40 PM ET
SF (+114)
I'm happy to pick against Diamondbacks LHP Eduardo Rodriguez every time he takes the bump. The 11-year veteran owns a glowing 2.27 ERA to this point in the season, but his xERA sits at 4.80 and is in the 22nd percentile. The D-Backs own the league's worst wRC+ against right-handers this season at 85, and face Giants RHP Tyler Mahle.
LAA
@
SEA
Mon, Jun 29 • 9:40 PM ET
u7.5 (-103)
George Kirby should continue his recent dominance, while both bullpens have been among the league's best lately. Seattle may find early success against Ryan Johnson, but with the Mariners carrying just a .290 wOBA over the last week, runs could become scarce after the starters exit.
SEA -1.5 (-103)
George Kirby enters in outstanding form after posting a 2.82 FIP across his last four starts, while Ryan Johnson continues allowing hard contact and home runs. Seattle has also been a much stronger offense at T-Mobile Park, making the Mariners well positioned to cover the run line.
AZ
@
STL
Thu, Jul 23 • 5:15 PM ET
o2.5 Team Total (-115)
The Cardinals are in a premium offensive spot against Zac Gallen, who enters the day with the second-worst pitcher rating in Batters-Box's current season model. Gallen has struggled to limit power and hard contact, carrying poorly rated matchup marks in ISO, hard contact rate, and ground ball rate. St. Louis counters with seven elite-rated hitters and an offense averaging more than 2.5 first five innings runs per game at home. The Cardinals have also been red hot lately, posting a 122 wRC+ over their last 12 games. With so many favorable individual matchups, backing the offense as a whole makes plenty of sense.
Zac Gallen o2.5 Earned Runs Allowed (-141)
Zac Gallen has been one of the most vulnerable pitchers on the board, especially away from Arizona, where he owns a 7.68 ERA and 6.00 xERA while surrendering plenty of hard contact and barrels. Things do not get any easier against a Cardinals lineup loaded with seven elite-rated hitters according to Batters-Box. St. Louis has been one of the hotter offenses in baseball recently, producing a 122 wRC+, .782 OPS, and .345 wOBA over its last 12 games. With Gallen's struggles and the Cardinals continuing to swing hot bats, this sets up as an excellent spot to back St. Louis early and often.
TOR
@
CHC
Thu, Aug 6 • 2:20 PM ET
Kazuma Okamoto o0.5 Total Home Runs (+365)
Okamoto's hitting profile perfectly matches up well against Imanaga’s stuff. The Cubs starter throws a heavy dose of the fastball and gets barreled up at a 10.4% rate. The Jays third baseman barrels the ball better than anyone in the Blue Jays lineup with a 13.5% barrel rate, while owning a 63.2% hard hit rate against the four-seamer.
Swanson is just 1-for-6 against Cease in his career. Cease has electric stuff, leading the American League with 110 Ks, while ranking in the 97th percentile in K-rate. Springer is turning a corner with a 1.089 OPS over his last nine games.
ATL
@
CHW
Thu, Aug 20 • 2:10 PM ET
o8.5 (-105)
Atlanta and Chicago send two of the best lineups in baseball to the dish, and they respectively rank eighth and third in wOBA against lefties for the campaign. The two clubs have also trended to the Over, and I'm particularly expecting White Sox southpaw Anthony Kay to struggle considering he's saddled with the fifth-highest xERA in baseball among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings this year.
ATL (-112)
I'm fading Chicago White Sox lefty Anthony Kay on Thursday. He's sporting the fifth-highest xERA among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings, after all. Plus, the Atlanta Braves enter ranked eighth in wOBA against southpaws for the season and sixth in overall xwOBA across the past 14 days.
BOS
@
NYY
Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET
o8.5 (-110)
The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.
NYY (-135)
Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.
SF
@
ATL
Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET
o7.5 (-116)
SF (+124)
The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.
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