Baltimore @ Cleveland Picks & Props

Out of all the teams today, the strongest infield defense is that of the the Cleveland Guardians. Playing on the road typically weakens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Ryan Mountcastle today. In terms of plate discipline, Ryan Mountcastle's ability is quite bad, posting a 3.74 K/BB rate this year while checking in at in the 23rd percentile.

Steven Kwan's average exit velocity has dropped off of late; his 86-mph seasonal EV has dropped off to 83.1-mph over the last 14 days. Steven Kwan has experienced some positive variance in regards to with his wOBA this year; his .377 rate is inflated compared to his .331 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Progressive Field has the 7th-deepest CF dimensions among all parks. Out of all the teams today, the strongest infield defense is that of the the Cleveland Guardians. Adley Rutschman will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's game. In the last 7 days, Adley Rutschman's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7.9% down to 0%. In the past two weeks, Adley Rutschman's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal EV of 91 mph to 84.2 mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andres Gimenez in the 88th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Progressive Field as the 9th-best park in Major League Baseball for left-handed base hits. Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest elevation in the majors, which generally leads to higher offensive output. High humidity has a small but significant connection with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the 2nd-most humid conditions of all games on the slate at 77%. Andres Gimenez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zach Eflin today.

Angel Martinez is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Progressive Field as the 9th-best park in Major League Baseball for left-handed base hits. Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest elevation in the majors, which generally leads to higher offensive output. High humidity has a small but significant connection with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the 2nd-most humid conditions of all games on the slate at 77%. Angel Martinez pulls many of his flyballs (34.4% — 83rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest RF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Progressive Field as the 9th-best park in Major League Baseball for left-handed base hits. Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest elevation in the majors, which generally leads to higher offensive output. High humidity has a small but significant connection with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the 2nd-most humid conditions of all games on the slate at 77%. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Brayan Rocchio will hold that advantage today. Brayan Rocchio has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 95.7-mph average in the last two weeks to his seasonal EV of 90.2-mph.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Jose Ramirez ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jose Ramirez is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Progressive Field as the 9th-best park in Major League Baseball for left-handed base hits. Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest elevation in the majors, which generally leads to higher offensive output. High humidity has a small but significant connection with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the 2nd-most humid conditions of all games on the slate at 77%.

When it comes to his BABIP talent, Colton Cowser is projected as the 15th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Progressive Field as the 9th-best park in Major League Baseball for left-handed base hits. Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest elevation in the majors, which generally leads to higher offensive output. High humidity has a small but significant connection with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the 2nd-most humid conditions of all games on the slate at 77%. The Cleveland Guardians have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Colton Cowser can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eloy Jimenez in the 89th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Eloy Jimenez is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game. Progressive Field profiles as the #9 field in MLB for right-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest elevation in the majors, which generally leads to higher offensive output. High humidity has a small but significant connection with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the 2nd-most humid conditions of all games on the slate at 77%.

Gunnar Henderson projects as the 17th-best batter in MLB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Gunnar Henderson is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Progressive Field as the 9th-best park in Major League Baseball for left-handed base hits. Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest elevation in the majors, which generally leads to higher offensive output. High humidity has a small but significant connection with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the 2nd-most humid conditions of all games on the slate at 77%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Progressive Field as the 9th-best park in Major League Baseball for left-handed base hits. Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest elevation in the majors, which generally leads to higher offensive output. High humidity has a small but significant connection with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the 2nd-most humid conditions of all games on the slate at 77%. Hitting from the opposite that Zach Eflin throws from, Bo Naylor will have the upper hand in today's game. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Bo Naylor will hold that advantage today.

David Fry is penciled in 5th in the batting order today. Progressive Field profiles as the #9 field in MLB for right-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest elevation in the majors, which generally leads to higher offensive output. David Fry pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.8% — 91st percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and David Fry will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Progressive Field as the 9th-best park in Major League Baseball for left-handed base hits. Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest elevation in the majors, which generally leads to higher offensive output. High humidity has a small but significant connection with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the 2nd-most humid conditions of all games on the slate at 77%. Daniel Schneemann will hold the platoon advantage over Zach Eflin in today's game. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Daniel Schneemann will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Progressive Field profiles as the #9 field in MLB for right-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest elevation in the majors, which generally leads to higher offensive output. High humidity has a small but significant connection with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the 2nd-most humid conditions of all games on the slate at 77%. Hitting from the opposite that Joey Cantillo throws from, James McCann will have an edge in today's game. James McCann has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .268 mark is quite a bit lower than his .328 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Anthony Santander is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup. Progressive Field profiles as the #9 field in MLB for right-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest elevation in the majors, which generally leads to higher offensive output. High humidity has a small but significant connection with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the 2nd-most humid conditions of all games on the slate at 77%. Anthony Santander pulls a lot of his flyballs (40.9% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest LF fences today.

Jackson Holliday's BABIP talent is projected in the 90th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Progressive Field as the 9th-best park in Major League Baseball for left-handed base hits. Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest elevation in the majors, which generally leads to higher offensive output. High humidity has a small but significant connection with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the 2nd-most humid conditions of all games on the slate at 77%. Jackson Holliday may have the upper hand against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Cleveland Guardians has just 1 same-handed RP.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Slater as the 7th-best hitter in the game when it comes to his BABIP skill. Austin Slater is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this game. Progressive Field profiles as the #9 field in MLB for right-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest elevation in the majors, which generally leads to higher offensive output. High humidity has a small but significant connection with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the 2nd-most humid conditions of all games on the slate at 77%.