Baltimore @ Cleveland Picks & Props

Among every team in action today, the strongest infield defense is that of the the Cleveland Guardians. Gunnar Henderson will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's game. Gunnar Henderson has negatively regressed with his Barrel% in recent games; his 12.5% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% over the past 14 days. Compared to his seasonal mark of 8.3°, Gunnar Henderson has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (3.4°) over the past two weeks. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Gunnar Henderson's true offensive talent to be a .363, implying that he has experienced some positive variance this year given the .033 discrepancy between that mark and his actual .396 wOBA.

When starting against a righty hurler this year, Ryan O'Hearn has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 16% of the time. Among every team in action today, the strongest infield defense is that of the the Cleveland Guardians. Ryan O'Hearn will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's matchup. Ryan O'Hearn's average exit velocity has fallen off in recent games; his 90.3-mph seasonal figure has fallen off to 85.7-mph in the last week's worth of games. Ryan O'Hearn's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined of late, falling from 39.8% on the season to 16.7% in the last 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Anthony Santander in the 2nd percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Among every team in action today, the strongest infield defense is that of the the Cleveland Guardians. Playing on the road generally lowers hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Anthony Santander in today's matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Anthony Santander's true offensive ability to be a .340, indicating that he has been lucky this year given the .018 gap between that mark and his actual .358 wOBA. Placing in the 5th percentile, Anthony Santander sits with a .234 BABIP this year.

Among every team in action today, the strongest infield defense is that of the the Cleveland Guardians. Colton Cowser will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's game.

The #9 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting base hits to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation generally leads to better offense. High humidity has a small but significant connection with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report predicts the 2nd-most humidity of all games on the slate at 79%. Austin Hedges pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.5% — 89th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 3rd-shallowest LF fences today. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense profiles as the 4th-weakest among all the teams on the slate today.

Steven Kwan has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 86-mph dropping to 83.5-mph over the past two weeks. Steven Kwan has been lucky this year, putting up a .378 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .310 — a .068 deviation.

Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation generally leads to better offense. High humidity has a small but significant connection with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report predicts the most humidity of all games on the slate at 77%. Jhonkensy Noel pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.5% — 77th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 3rd-shallowest LF fences today. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Jhonkensy Noel will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Andres Gimenez's batting average skill is projected to be in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Progressive Field projects as the #9 park in MLB for LHB BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation generally leads to better offense. High humidity has a small but significant connection with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report predicts the 2nd-most humidity of all games on the slate at 79%. Andres Gimenez will hold the platoon advantage over Dean Kremer in today's game.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Jose Ramirez ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jose Ramirez is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game. Progressive Field projects as the #9 park in MLB for LHB BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation generally leads to better offense. High humidity has a small but significant connection with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report predicts the 2nd-most humidity of all games on the slate at 79%.

Progressive Field projects as the #9 park in MLB for LHB BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation generally leads to better offense. High humidity has a small but significant connection with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report predicts the 3rd-most humidity of all games on the slate at 78%. Hitting from the opposite that Dean Kremer throws from, Bo Naylor will have an edge today. Bo Naylor will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

Progressive Field projects as the #9 park in MLB for LHB BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation generally leads to better offense. High humidity has a small but significant connection with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report predicts the 2nd-most humidity of all games on the slate at 79%. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense profiles as the 4th-weakest among all the teams on the slate today. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Brayan Rocchio will hold that advantage today.

David Fry is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today. The #9 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting base hits to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation generally leads to better offense. High humidity has a small but significant connection with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report predicts the 2nd-most humidity of all games on the slate at 79%. David Fry pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.6% — 90th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Progressive Field projects as the #9 park in MLB for LHB BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation generally leads to better offense. High humidity has a small but significant connection with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report predicts the 2nd-most humidity of all games on the slate at 79%. Cedric Mullins II will have the handedness advantage over Carlos Carrasco today. The Cleveland Guardians have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Cedric Mullins II stands a good chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game.

The #9 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting base hits to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation generally leads to better offense. High humidity has a small but significant connection with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report predicts the 3rd-most humidity of all games on the slate at 76%. Ramon Urias has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 6th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. With a 2.08 K/BB rate this year, Ramon Urias has shown impressive plate discipline, ranking in the 79th percentile.

Progressive Field projects as the #9 park in MLB for LHB BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation generally leads to better offense. High humidity has a small but significant connection with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report predicts the 2nd-most humidity of all games on the slate at 79%. Angel Martinez pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.4% — 83rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 6th-shallowest RF fences today. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense profiles as the 4th-weakest among all the teams on the slate today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Mountcastle in the 93rd percentile when assessing his batting average ability. The #9 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting base hits to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation generally leads to better offense. High humidity has a small but significant connection with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report predicts the 2nd-most humidity of all games on the slate at 79%. Ryan Mountcastle has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 6th-shallowest RF fences today.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Adley Rutschman ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Adley Rutschman is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today. Progressive Field projects as the #9 park in MLB for LHB BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation generally leads to better offense. High humidity has a small but significant connection with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report predicts the 2nd-most humidity of all games on the slate at 79%.

Jackson Holliday's BABIP ability is projected in the 89th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Progressive Field projects as the #9 park in MLB for LHB BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation generally leads to better offense. High humidity has a small but significant connection with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report predicts the 2nd-most humidity of all games on the slate at 79%. Batting from the opposite that Carlos Carrasco throws from, Jackson Holliday will have an edge in today's matchup.

Eloy Jimenez has gone over 0.5 in 1 of his last 10 games.