Atlanta @ Boston Picks & Props

Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which tends to lead to worse offense. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast calls for the best pitching conditions on the slate today. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for hurlers. Hitting from the same side that Kutter Crawford throws from, Marcell Ozuna will have a tough challenge in today's game. Marcell Ozuna will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game.

Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which tends to lead to worse offense. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast calls for the best pitching conditions on the slate today. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for hurlers. Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Michael Harris II in today's game. This year, there has been a decline in Michael Harris II's quickness with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 28.78 ft/sec last year to 28.04 ft/sec currently.

Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which tends to lead to worse offense. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast calls for the best pitching conditions on the slate today. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for hurlers. Kutter Crawford will have the handedness advantage against Austin Riley in today's game. Austin Riley will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ceddanne Rafaela in the 80th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. The #3 park in the league for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. In Major League Baseball, Fenway Park's left field fences are the shallowest. Hitting from the opposite that Max Fried throws from, Ceddanne Rafaela will have the upper hand today. The Atlanta Braves infield defense projects as the 4th-weakest among every team today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rob Refsnyder in the 95th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Rob Refsnyder is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. The #3 park in the league for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. In Major League Baseball, Fenway Park's left field fences are the shallowest. Rob Refsnyder will hold the platoon advantage over Max Fried in today's game.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Rafael Devers ranks as the 16th-best batter in the majors. Rafael Devers is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today. The #3 park in baseball for boosting batting average to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Rafael Devers hits many of his flyballs to center field (38% — 75th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. The Atlanta Braves infield defense projects as the 4th-weakest among every team today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarren Duran in the 96th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Jarren Duran is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game. The #3 park in baseball for boosting batting average to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Jarren Duran has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.9%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's shallowest LF fences in today's game. The Atlanta Braves infield defense projects as the 4th-weakest among every team today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Wong in the 75th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Connor Wong is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. The #3 park in the league for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. In Major League Baseball, Fenway Park's left field fences are the shallowest. Hitting from the opposite that Max Fried throws from, Connor Wong will have the upper hand in today's game.

The #3 park in the league for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Orlando Arcia pulls many of his flyballs (34% — 79th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's shallowest LF fences in today's game. Extreme groundball batters like Orlando Arcia usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Kutter Crawford. Out of every team in action today, the 5th-worst outfield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Orlando Arcia has suffered from bad luck this year. His .264 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .342.

Jamie Westbrook has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (100% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game. The #3 park in the league for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. In Major League Baseball, Fenway Park's left field fences are the shallowest. Batting from the opposite that Max Fried throws from, Jamie Westbrook will have the upper hand today. The Atlanta Braves infield defense projects as the 4th-weakest among every team today.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Matt Olson ranks as the 14th-best batter in MLB. Matt Olson is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game. The #3 park in baseball for boosting batting average to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Hitting from the opposite that Kutter Crawford throws from, Matt Olson will have an advantage in today's game. Matt Olson pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.1% — 80th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today.

Enmanuel Valdez hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 87th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today. The Atlanta Braves infield defense projects as the 5th-weakest among every team today. Enmanuel Valdez will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Since the start of last season, Enmanuel Valdez's 10.5% Barrel%, an advanced metric for measuring power, places him in the 76th percentile among his peers. Enmanuel Valdez is in the 87th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs (19.8% rate since the start of last season).

The #3 park in baseball for boosting batting average to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Dominic Smith hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 88th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. The Atlanta Braves infield defense projects as the 4th-weakest among every team today. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Dominic Smith will hold that advantage in today's game. Dominic Smith and his 15.9° launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls rank in 85th percentile, among the highest in the league since the start of last season.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Sean Murphy ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The #3 park in the league for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Sean Murphy pulls many of his flyballs (34.4% — 82nd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's shallowest LF fences today. Out of every team in action today, the 5th-worst outfield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.275) implies that Sean Murphy has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season with his .247 actual batting average.

The #3 park in the league for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Adam Duvall pulls a lot of his flyballs (42.5% — 100th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's shallowest LF fences in today's game. Out of every team in action today, the 5th-worst outfield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox. Adam Duvall's 12.6% Barrel% (an advanced stat to study power) is in the 85th percentile since the start of last season. Adam Duvall's 95.1-mph exit velocity on flyballs (a reliable metric to assess power) is in the 89th percentile since the start of last season.

Jarred Kelenic's BABIP skill is projected in the 85th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The #3 park in baseball for boosting batting average to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Jarred Kelenic will hold the platoon advantage over Kutter Crawford in today's game. Jarred Kelenic hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.9% — 100th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Out of every team in action today, the 5th-worst outfield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox.

The #3 park in the league for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. In Major League Baseball, Fenway Park's left field fences are the shallowest. Bobby Dalbec will have the handedness advantage over Max Fried in today's matchup. The Atlanta Braves infield defense projects as the 4th-weakest among every team today. Bobby Dalbec will possess the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Garrett Cooper in the 96th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. The #3 park in the league for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Batting from the opposite that Max Fried throws from, Garrett Cooper will have an advantage in today's matchup. Garrett Cooper has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.2%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. The Atlanta Braves infield defense projects as the 4th-weakest among every team today.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Ozzie Albies ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Ozzie Albies is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game. The #3 park in baseball for boosting batting average to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Ozzie Albies pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (39.9% — 98th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Out of every team in action today, the 5th-worst outfield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox.

David Hamilton has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.