Minnesota @ Toronto Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manuel Margot in the 79th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Manuel Margot is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. The Rogers Centre roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 11° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense. Hitting from the opposite that Yusei Kikuchi throws from, Manuel Margot will have an edge today. Manuel Margot hits many of his flyballs to center field (41.5% — 100th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

The Rogers Centre roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 11° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense. Cavan Biggio will hold the platoon advantage over Joe Ryan in today's matchup... and even more favorably, Ryan has a large platoon split. Cavan Biggio hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 81st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Cavan Biggio will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Cavan Biggio is in the 100th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs (23% rate since the start of last season).

Daulton Varsho is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today's game. The 10th-shallowest CF fences in the league are found in Rogers Centre. The Rogers Centre roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 11° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense. Daulton Varsho will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Joe Ryan today... and moreover, Ryan has a large platoon split. Daulton Varsho will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

The 10th-shallowest CF fences in the league are found in Rogers Centre. The Rogers Centre roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 11° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense. Hitting from the opposite that Yusei Kikuchi throws from, Austin Martin will have an advantage in today's game. Austin Martin is remarkably quick, grading out in the 77th percentile in Sprint Speed at 27.99 ft/sec this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Jeffers in the 88th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Ryan Jeffers is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup. The 10th-shallowest CF fences in the league are found in Rogers Centre. The Rogers Centre roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 11° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense. Hitting from the opposite that Yusei Kikuchi throws from, Ryan Jeffers will have the upper hand today.

The 10th-shallowest CF fences in the league are found in Rogers Centre. The Rogers Centre roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 11° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense. Hitting from the opposite that Yusei Kikuchi throws from, Christian Vazquez will have an edge in today's matchup. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.243) suggests that Christian Vazquez has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season with his .219 actual batting average. Launch angles in the range of -4° to 26° tend to become base hits at a high rate; Christian Vazquez and his 47.6% since the start of last season rank in the 89th percentile by this measure.

Danny Jansen is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today. The 10th-shallowest CF fences in the league are found in Rogers Centre. The Rogers Centre roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 11° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Danny Jansen will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Danny Jansen ranks in the 99th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in home runs (21.4% rate since the start of last season).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Justin Turner in the 76th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Justin Turner is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today. The Rogers Centre roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 11° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense. Justin Turner hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 83rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Justin Turner will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Davis Schneider in the 90th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Davis Schneider is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in today's game. The 10th-shallowest CF fences in the league are found in Rogers Centre. The Rogers Centre roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 11° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense. Davis Schneider will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats.

The 10th-shallowest CF fences in the league are found in Rogers Centre. The Rogers Centre roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 11° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense. Kyle Farmer will hold the platoon advantage against Yusei Kikuchi in today's matchup. Despite posting a .239 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Kyle Farmer has suffered from bad luck given the .054 gap between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .293. Kyle Farmer and his 17.4° launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls rank in 92nd percentile, among the highest in the game since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Rogers Centre as the 8th-worst venue in MLB for right-handed batting average. Carlos Correa will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's game. When it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34° (the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs), Carlos Correa and his 11.8% rank in the 8th percentile since the start of last season. Checking in at the 25th percentile, Carlos Correa has posted a .278 BABIP since the start of last season.

When it comes to his batting average talent, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected as the 8th-best hitter in the majors by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this game. The Rogers Centre roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 11° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 89th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, George Springer ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). George Springer is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup. The 10th-shallowest CF fences in the league are found in Rogers Centre. The Rogers Centre roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 12° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense. George Springer will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isiah Kiner-Falefa in the 83rd percentile when estimating his batting average ability. The 10th-shallowest CF fences in the league are found in Rogers Centre. The Rogers Centre roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 11° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense. Extreme flyball hitters like Isiah Kiner-Falefa generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Joe Ryan. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Isiah Kiner-Falefa will hold that advantage today.

The Rogers Centre roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 11° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense. The switch-hitting Carlos Santana will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side (0) today against Yusei Kikuchi. Carlos Santana hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 79th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 10th-shallowest CF fences today. In terms of plate discipline, Carlos Santana's skill is quite impressive, posting a 1.73 K/BB rate since the start of last season while checking in at in the 83rd percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ernie Clement in the 86th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. The Rogers Centre roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 11° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense. Ernie Clement hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 83rd percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Ernie Clement will hold the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. Ernie Clement has gotten much quicker this year, improving from last season's 28.36 ft/sec to 28.84 ft/sec now (according to Statcast's Sprint Speed metric).

Willi Castro is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 94% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. The 10th-shallowest CF fences in the league are found in Rogers Centre. The Rogers Centre roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 11° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense. As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the dish, Willi Castro will get to bat from his better side against Yusei Kikuchi in today's matchup. Ranking in the 88th percentile, Willi Castro has put up a .334 BABIP since the start of last season.

The Rogers Centre roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 12° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense. Kevin Kiermaier will hold the platoon advantage over Joe Ryan in today's game... and even better, Ryan has a large platoon split. Kevin Kiermaier hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38% — 76th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 10th-shallowest CF fences today. Extreme groundball hitters like Kevin Kiermaier usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Joe Ryan. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Kevin Kiermaier will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bo Bichette as the 6th-best batter in baseball when assessing his batting average ability. The 10th-shallowest CF fences in the league are found in Rogers Centre. The Rogers Centre roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 11° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Bo Bichette will hold that advantage in today's game. Bo Bichette's speed has improved this year. His 27.08 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 27.62 ft/sec now.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Miranda in the 77th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Jose Miranda is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today. The 10th-shallowest CF fences in the league are found in Rogers Centre. The Rogers Centre roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 11° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense. Batting from the opposite that Yusei Kikuchi throws from, Jose Miranda will have an edge in today's game.

Edouard Julien has gone over 0.5 in 1 of his last 10 games.