Detroit @ Cleveland Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mark Canha in the 85th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Mark Canha is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game. Progressive Field ranks as the #6 stadium in the majors for RHB BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Among all major league stadiums, Progressive Field's left field dimensions are the shallowest. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andres Gimenez in the 87th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Andres Gimenez is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game. The #6 stadium in baseball for boosting BABIP to left-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Hitting from the opposite that Jack Flaherty throws from, Andres Gimenez will have the upper hand today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Torkelson in the 84th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Spencer Torkelson is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game. Progressive Field ranks as the #6 stadium in the majors for RHB BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Spencer Torkelson pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.5% — 90th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest LF fences today.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Kerry Carpenter ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Kerry Carpenter is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game. The #6 stadium in baseball for boosting BABIP to left-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Kerry Carpenter will hold the platoon advantage against Triston McKenzie in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Vierling in the 87th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Matt Vierling is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game. Progressive Field ranks as the #6 stadium in the majors for RHB BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Matt Vierling has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's 6th-shallowest RF fences today.

The #6 stadium in baseball for boosting BABIP to left-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Out of all the teams playing today, the 12th-worst infield defense is that of the the Detroit Tigers. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Brayan Rocchio will hold that advantage in today's game.

The #6 stadium in baseball for boosting BABIP to left-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Hitting from the opposite that Jack Flaherty throws from, Bo Naylor will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Bo Naylor pulls many of his flyballs (33.8% — 77th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Out of all the teams playing today, the 12th-worst infield defense is that of the the Detroit Tigers.

The #6 stadium in baseball for boosting BABIP to left-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Hitting from the opposite that Triston McKenzie throws from, Parker Meadows will have an advantage today. The Cleveland Guardians have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Parker Meadows stands a good chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Parker Meadows has experienced some negative variance in regards to his batting average since the start of last season; his .183 figure is quite a bit lower than his .265 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Progressive Field ranks as the #6 stadium in the majors for RHB BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Ramirez in the 95th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Jose Ramirez is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today. The #6 stadium in baseball for boosting BABIP to left-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the dish, Jose Ramirez will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side against Jack Flaherty in this game.

The weather report forecasts temperatures in this game to drop to the lowest level on the slate at 59°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 10.5-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hurlers. Steven Kwan has been lucky this year, posting a .392 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .308 — a .084 deviation. Since the start of last season, Steven Kwan's 1.1% Barrel%, a reliable metric for measuring power, places him in the 2nd percentile among his peers. Steven Kwan's 85.3-mph exit velocity on flyballs (an advanced metric to measure power) is in the 0th percentile since the start of last season.

When it comes to his BABIP ability, Riley Greene is projected as the 4th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Riley Greene is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today. The #6 stadium in baseball for boosting BABIP to left-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Hitting from the opposite that Triston McKenzie throws from, Riley Greene will have the upper hand in today's matchup.

Estevan Florial has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (94% of the time), but he is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup. The #6 stadium in baseball for boosting BABIP to left-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Batting from the opposite that Jack Flaherty throws from, Estevan Florial will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Out of all the teams playing today, the 12th-worst infield defense is that of the the Detroit Tigers.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Freeman in the 94th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Progressive Field ranks as the #6 stadium in the majors for RHB BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Among all major league stadiums, Progressive Field's left field dimensions are the shallowest. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Out of all the teams playing today, the 12th-worst infield defense is that of the the Detroit Tigers.

Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.231) may lead us to conclude that Jake Rogers has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season with his .213 actual batting average. Since the start of last season, Jake Rogers's 12% Barrel%, an advanced metric for measuring power, places him in the 81st percentile among his peers. Jake Rogers's 95.5-mph exit velocity on flyballs (a reliable metric to evaluate power) ranks in the 92nd percentile since the start of last season. Jake Rogers is in the 96th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs (20.2% rate since the start of last season).

Progressive Field ranks as the #6 stadium in the majors for RHB BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Javier Baez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.4% — 75th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Hitters such as Javier Baez with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Triston McKenzie who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Javier Baez has had bad variance on his side this year. His .209 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .301.

The #6 stadium in baseball for boosting BABIP to left-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Colt Keith will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Triston McKenzie in today's matchup. Colt Keith has a good chance to have the upper hand against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Cleveland Guardians only has 1 same-handed RP. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Colt Keith's true offensive talent to be a .297, suggesting that he has been unlucky this year given the .111 disparity between that mark and his actual .186 wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Will Brennan in the 89th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Will Brennan is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup. The #6 stadium in baseball for boosting BABIP to left-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Will Brennan will hold the platoon advantage over Jack Flaherty in today's game.

The #6 stadium in baseball for boosting BABIP to left-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Batting from the opposite that Triston McKenzie throws from, Zach McKinstry will have an advantage today. Zach McKinstry is likely to have the upper hand against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Cleveland Guardians only has 1 same-handed RP. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Zach McKinstry has had some very poor luck since the start of last season. His .285 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .323.

Ramon Laureano has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Wenceel Pérez has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Andy Ibanez has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.