Toronto @ Washington Picks & Props

When estimating his batting average skill, Bo Bichette is projected as the 7th-best batter in Major League Baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Bo Bichette is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game. Hitting from the opposite that Patrick Corbin throws from, Bo Bichette will have an edge today. Bo Bichette has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (43.2%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Bo Bichette's footspeed has increased this season. His 27.08 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 27.72 ft/sec now.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, George Springer ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). George Springer is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game. Hitting from the opposite that Patrick Corbin throws from, George Springer will have an advantage in today's matchup. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, George Springer has suffered from bad luck this year. His .279 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .405. Utilizing Statcast data, George Springer is in the 89th percentile via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .288.

Danny Jansen is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Hitting from the opposite that Patrick Corbin throws from, Danny Jansen will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Danny Jansen grades out in the 99th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs (21.4% rate since the start of last season). Danny Jansen has put up a .343 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, placing in the 77th percentile.

As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-best pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this game. The Washington Nationals outfield defense profiles as the 4th-best out of all the teams playing today. Justin Turner will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup. Justin Turner has been lucky this year, compiling a .378 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .316 — a .062 gap. With a .300 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season, Justin Turner finds himself in the 23rd percentile for hitting ability.

As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-best pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this game. The Washington Nationals outfield defense profiles as the 4th-best out of all the teams playing today. Playing on the road typically lowers batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Vladimir Guerrero Jr. today. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. grades out in the 6th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs (11.5% rate since the start of last season).

Alex Call will hold the platoon advantage against Yusei Kikuchi today. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Alex Call will hold that advantage in today's game. When it comes to plate discipline, Alex Call's ability is quite strong, putting up a 1.44 K/BB rate since the start of last season while placing in in the 92nd percentile.

The Washington Nationals don't have any same-handed relievers in their bullpen, so Cavan Biggio is guaranteed to hold the advantage against every reliever all game. Cavan Biggio grades out in the 100th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs (23% rate since the start of last season). The standard deviation of Cavan Biggio's launch angle since the start of last season (26.5°) is in the 79th percentile. A low figure like this tends to lead to a higher rate of base hits. Ranking in the 77th percentile for Sprint Speed at 27.99 ft/sec this year, Cavan Biggio is notably fast.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Young in the 88th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Jacob Young is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 80% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. Jacob Young will have the handedness advantage over Yusei Kikuchi in today's matchup. Jacob Young has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.6%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Jacob Young will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

The Washington Nationals don't have any same-handed relievers in their bullpen, so Daulton Varsho is guaranteed to never lose the platoon advantage against the bullpen the whole game. Daulton Varsho pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (39.3% — 97th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Daulton Varsho's 20.3° launch angle (a reliable stat to evaluate a batter's ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the steepest in the league: 96th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects CJ Abrams in the 78th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. CJ Abrams is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. CJ Abrams pulls many of his flyballs (34% — 79th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and CJ Abrams will hold that advantage in today's game. CJ Abrams has been hot recently, tallying a .409 wOBA in the last two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jesse Winker in the 83rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Jesse Winker is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game. Jesse Winker will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats. Jesse Winker's speed has increased this year. His 23.52 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 26.06 ft/sec now. Jesse Winker has been hot in recent games, putting up a .355 wOBA in the past 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isiah Kiner-Falefa in the 82nd percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Isiah Kiner-Falefa will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Patrick Corbin in today's matchup. Isiah Kiner-Falefa has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.3%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences today. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Isiah Kiner-Falefa has had some very good luck this year. His .304 figure has been considerably higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .257. Isiah Kiner-Falefa has been very good at hitting the ball to all fields (a key skill for batting average), grading out in the 86th percentile in THE BAT X's Spray Score since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alejandro Kirk in the 86th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Batting from the opposite that Patrick Corbin throws from, Alejandro Kirk will have an advantage today. Alejandro Kirk has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.4%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences today. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Alejandro Kirk has been unlucky this year. His .246 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .279. Alejandro Kirk has shown strong plate discipline since the start of last season, checking in at the 98th percentile with a 1.05 K/BB rate.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ernie Clement in the 87th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Ernie Clement will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Patrick Corbin in today's matchup. Ernie Clement's speed has gotten better this year. His 28.36 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 28.92 ft/sec now. Ernie Clement has put up a .328 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, grading out in the 99th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Ernie Clement is in the 84th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in home runs (19.1% rate since the start of last season).

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Davis Schneider ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Batting from the opposite that Patrick Corbin throws from, Davis Schneider will have an edge in today's matchup. In notching a .380 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season, Davis Schneider is ranked in the 96th percentile for offensive ability. Since the start of last season, Davis Schneider's flyball exit velocity (an advanced stat to measure power) grades out in the 92nd percentile at 96.5 mph. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Davis Schneider ranks in the 98th percentile with a 26° launch angle, which is among the steepest angles in the majors.

Riley Adams will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Yusei Kikuchi in today's matchup. Riley Adams has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.7%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences today. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Riley Adams will hold that advantage today. Riley Adams really hits the ball hard. If you were to take the top 5% of his batted balls by exit velocity, their average (109.8 mph) rank him among baseball's best: in the 87th percentile since the start of last season. Riley Adams ranks in the 85th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs (19.2% rate since the start of last season).

Nick Senzel is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 75% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. Nick Senzel will have the handedness advantage against Yusei Kikuchi in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Nick Senzel will hold that advantage today.

Keibert Ruiz is penciled in 5th in the lineup today. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Keibert Ruiz will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Keibert Ruiz ranks in the 75th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce base hits (45.3% rate since the start of last season). By putting up a 1.92 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Keibert Ruiz has displayed good plate discipline, ranking in the 77th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Meneses in the 81st percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Joey Meneses is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Batting from the opposite that Yusei Kikuchi throws from, Joey Meneses will have an advantage in today's game. Joey Meneses has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.1%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Joey Meneses will hold that advantage in today's game.

As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the plate, Ildemaro Vargas will get to bat from his good side against Yusei Kikuchi in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Ildemaro Vargas will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Sporting a 1 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Ildemaro Vargas has demonstrated good plate discipline, ranking in the 98th percentile.

Trey Lipscomb has gone over 0.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.