Texas @ Seattle Picks & Props

T-Mobile Park grades out as the #29 park in baseball for lefty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built just 17 feet above sea level, T-Mobile Park has one of the lowest elevations among all major league parks, which tends to lead to lower offensive output. Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather forecast expects the coldest temperature on the slate today at 59°. Playing on the road typically reduces hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Corey Seager today. In the past week, Corey Seager's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 15.5% down to 0%.

Mike Ford will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Dane Dunning in today's game. Mike Ford pulls many of his flyballs (38.5% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest RF fences today. Mike Ford will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats. Mike Ford has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 94.1-mph average to last season's 88.8-mph average. Utilizing Statcast metrics, Mike Ford is in the 82nd percentile for hitting ability via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .345.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.P. Crawford in the 78th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. J.P. Crawford is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup. Homers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the shallowest in the majors. J.P. Crawford will hold the platoon advantage against Dane Dunning today. J.P. Crawford will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Evan Carter in the 85th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Homers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the shallowest in the majors. Evan Carter will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against George Kirby today. Over the last week, Evan Carter's 25% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 8.3%. Over the last two weeks, Evan Carter's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 11.1% up to 13.6%.

Cal Raleigh is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today. Cal Raleigh pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.7% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Extreme flyball bats like Cal Raleigh usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Dane Dunning. Cal Raleigh will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Jonah Heim pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37.9% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Jonah Heim has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.2-mph to 92.2-mph over the past 14 days. Jonah Heim's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last year to this one, increasing from 13.4% to 18.7%. Jonah Heim's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved of late, going from 18.7% on the season to 23.1% in the last two weeks.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Eugenio Suarez ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Eugenio Suarez is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Eugenio Suarez pulls many of his flyballs (34.6% — 87th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Extreme flyball bats like Eugenio Suarez are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Dane Dunning. Eugenio Suarez will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Ty France's batting average ability is projected to be in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Homers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the shallowest in the majors. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Ty France will hold that advantage today. Over the last week, Ty France's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 6.7% up to 15.8%. Ty France has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 93.6-mph average in the last two weeks to his seasonal average of 90.2-mph.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Mitch Garver ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Mitch Garver is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 56% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. Mitch Garver pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (41.2% — 99th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Mitch Garver's launch angle lately (30.4° over the last 14 days) is considerably higher than his 20.2° seasonal figure. Mitch Garver has notched a .387 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, checking in at the 96th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Jung in the 95th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Homers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the shallowest in the majors. Grading out in the 93rd percentile, Josh Jung has notched a .346 BABIP this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adolis Garcia in the 88th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Adolis Garcia is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game. Homers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the shallowest in the majors. Over the past 7 days, Adolis Garcia's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 16.2% up to 46.2%. Adolis Garcia has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 95.8-mph average in the last week to his seasonal 92.2-mph figure.