Full slate on tap tonight with plenty to dig into.
Here are my favorite MLB player props from the board, featuring some heavy hitters who have been seeing the ball extremely well lately.
See why Juan Soto and others are primed for big offensive performances on Tuesday, June 16.
Best MLB player props today
| Player | Pick | Odds |
|---|---|---|
 Juan Soto |
Over 1.5 total bases | -118 |
 Kody Clemens |
Over 1.5 hits+runs+RBI | -113 |
 Bobby Witt Jr. |
Over 1.5 total bases | -128 |
Juan Soto Over 1.5 total bases (-118)
Run it back. Juan Soto did not cash for us last night, going 0-for-2 with two walks, but tonight sets up as a strong bounce-back spot.
The New York Mets slugger draws an even better matchup against Cincinnati Reds right-hander Brady Singer, who has struggled mightily with left-handed hitters. At home this season against lefties, opposing bats are hitting .362 with a .621 SLG and a .442 wOBA, while lifting the ball 60.5% of the time.
Singer also grades out as one of the weakest arms on the slate, sitting second-worst in Batters-Box’s current season dataset with poor marks in matchup wOBA, ISO, hard contact, and strikeout rate.
Soto brings one of the highest arsenal coverage profiles among elite-rated hitters on the slate, covering 92.2% of Singer’s pitch mix. He has also been heating up over the last stretch, posting a .922 OPS with 52.4% hard contact and a 9.5% barrel rate over his last 30 plate appearances against right-handed pitching.
The numbers point toward the over 1.5 hits, runs, and RBIs, but the price is steep. The cleaner approach is either taking his bases or going straight to a double or homer angle if you want more upside.
- Time: 7:10 p.m. ET
- Where to watch: CINR, SNY
Kody Clemens Over 1.5 hits + runs + RBI (-113)
Have I found my new favorite player? Maybe. He has only come through for me once so far, but Minnesota Twins outfielder Kody Clemens is in a strong spot against Texas Rangers right-hander Kumar Rocker, against whom he owns a 100% arsenal coverage.
Rocker has struggled at home against lefties, allowing a 70.6% elevation rate and 44.1% hard contact, while giving up a .425 slugging and .332 wOBA. Overall this season, left-handed hitters have posted a .302 xBA, .529 xSLG, and .359 xwOBA against him, while generating 53.2% hard contact.
Over his last 30 plate appearances against right-handed pitching, Clemens has been rolling, hitting .345 with a .862 SLG and 1.229 OPS, along with a 50% hard contact rate and a 16% barrel rate.
Getting an elite-rated hitter who is swinging it like this, with this level of arsenal coverage, below -120 is a gift. I would take this up to -125 if I had to.
- Time: 8:05 p.m. ET
- Where to watch: RSN, MNNT
Bobby Witt Jr. Over 1.5 total bases (-128)
Mr. Bobby Witt Jr., the pride of the Kansas City Royals, shows up every single day for his team. Now, the question is, does he show up for us?
Witt has been locked in against left-handed pitching for a while now, posting a .321 average with a .921 OPS, along with 61.5% hard contact and a 15.4% barrel rate. He draws Washington Nationals southpaw Foster Griffin, who has struggled against right-handed bats this season.
Over his last 60 batters faced, those hitters are producing a 46.5% hard contact rate, 14% barrel rate, with a .335 xBA, .696 xSLG, and .341 xwOBA.
Against Griffin’s pitch mix, Witt carries a 92.7% arsenal coverage rating, per Batters-Box. He also grades out strong in this spot, and over the last three seasons in 54 strong-rated spots, he has cleared this prop 50% of the time.
I am interested here, but I would not chase this at a bad number. If you cannot get it below -130, I would rather pivot to his double or home run look straight instead.
- Time: 6:45 p.m. ET
- Where to watch: NATS, ROYL
- Prop picks: 220-382-35, +7.8 units
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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