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St. Louis @ Milwaukee props

American Family Field

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Irving Lopez Total Hits Props • St. Louis

Irving Lopez
I. Lopez
second base 2B • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The 8th-shallowest centerfield fences among all parks are found in American Family Field. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation often leads to more offense. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Irving Lopez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Corbin Burnes in today's game.

Irving Lopez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The 8th-shallowest centerfield fences among all parks are found in American Family Field. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation often leads to more offense. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Irving Lopez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Corbin Burnes in today's game.

Lars Nootbaar Total Hits Props • St. Louis

Lars Nootbaar
L. Nootbaar
center outfield CF • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lars Nootbaar in the 90th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Lars Nootbaar is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation often leads to more offense. Lars Nootbaar will have the handedness advantage over Corbin Burnes in today's game. Lars Nootbaar hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 90th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

Lars Nootbaar

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lars Nootbaar in the 90th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Lars Nootbaar is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation often leads to more offense. Lars Nootbaar will have the handedness advantage over Corbin Burnes in today's game. Lars Nootbaar hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 90th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

Luken Baker Total Hits Props • St. Louis

Luken Baker
L. Baker
first base 1B • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Luken Baker is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 84% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. The 8th-shallowest centerfield fences among all parks are found in American Family Field. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation often leads to more offense. Luken Baker has had some very poor luck with his wOBA this year; his .275 figure is a good deal lower than his .300 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Luken Baker

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Luken Baker is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 84% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. The 8th-shallowest centerfield fences among all parks are found in American Family Field. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation often leads to more offense. Luken Baker has had some very poor luck with his wOBA this year; his .275 figure is a good deal lower than his .300 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Garrett Mitchell Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

Garrett Mitchell
G. Mitchell
left outfield LF • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Garrett Mitchell in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. The 8th-shallowest centerfield fences among all parks are found in American Family Field. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation often leads to more offense. Garrett Mitchell will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Dakota Hudson in today's game. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Garrett Mitchell will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Garrett Mitchell

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Garrett Mitchell in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. The 8th-shallowest centerfield fences among all parks are found in American Family Field. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation often leads to more offense. Garrett Mitchell will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Dakota Hudson in today's game. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Garrett Mitchell will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Willy Adames Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

Willy Adames
W. Adames
shortstop SS • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willy Adames in the 90th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Willy Adames is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today. The 8th-shallowest centerfield fences among all parks are found in American Family Field. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation often leads to more offense. Willy Adames will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats.

Willy Adames

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willy Adames in the 90th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Willy Adames is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today. The 8th-shallowest centerfield fences among all parks are found in American Family Field. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation often leads to more offense. Willy Adames will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats.

Tommy Edman Total Hits Props • St. Louis

Tommy Edman
T. Edman
shortstop SS • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Tommy Edman's batting average talent is projected to be in the 87th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Tommy Edman is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 62% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. The 8th-shallowest centerfield fences among all parks are found in American Family Field. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation often leads to more offense. Tommy Edman has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 94.4-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal 89.2-mph EV.

Tommy Edman

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Tommy Edman's batting average talent is projected to be in the 87th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Tommy Edman is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 62% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. The 8th-shallowest centerfield fences among all parks are found in American Family Field. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation often leads to more offense. Tommy Edman has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 94.4-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal 89.2-mph EV.

Masyn Winn Total Hits Props • St. Louis

Masyn Winn
M. Winn
shortstop SS • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The 8th-shallowest centerfield fences among all parks are found in American Family Field. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation often leads to more offense. In the past week, Masyn Winn's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 1.2% up to 11.1%. Masyn Winn has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 90.8-mph average over the past week to his seasonal 86.1-mph EV. Masyn Winn has been unlucky this year, notching a .216 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .291 — a .075 discrepancy.

Masyn Winn

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The 8th-shallowest centerfield fences among all parks are found in American Family Field. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation often leads to more offense. In the past week, Masyn Winn's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 1.2% up to 11.1%. Masyn Winn has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 90.8-mph average over the past week to his seasonal 86.1-mph EV. Masyn Winn has been unlucky this year, notching a .216 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .291 — a .075 discrepancy.

Sal Frelick Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

Sal Frelick
S. Frelick
center outfield CF • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Frelick in the 80th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Sal Frelick is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup. The 8th-shallowest centerfield fences among all parks are found in American Family Field. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation often leads to more offense. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game.

Sal Frelick

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Frelick in the 80th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Sal Frelick is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup. The 8th-shallowest centerfield fences among all parks are found in American Family Field. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation often leads to more offense. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game.

Richie Palacios Total Hits Props • St. Louis

Richie Palacios
R. Palacios
left outfield LF • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Richie Palacios is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game. The 8th-shallowest centerfield fences among all parks are found in American Family Field. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation often leads to more offense. Richie Palacios will hold the platoon advantage over Corbin Burnes today. As it relates to plate discipline, Richie Palacios's skill is quite impressive, putting up a 2.33 K/BB rate since the start of last season while checking in at in the 75th percentile.

Richie Palacios

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Richie Palacios is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game. The 8th-shallowest centerfield fences among all parks are found in American Family Field. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation often leads to more offense. Richie Palacios will hold the platoon advantage over Corbin Burnes today. As it relates to plate discipline, Richie Palacios's skill is quite impressive, putting up a 2.33 K/BB rate since the start of last season while checking in at in the 75th percentile.

Jordan Walker Total Hits Props • St. Louis

Jordan Walker
J. Walker
right outfield RF • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Walker in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Jordan Walker is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 78% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. The 8th-shallowest centerfield fences among all parks are found in American Family Field. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation often leads to more offense. Jordan Walker has posted a .275 Expected Batting Average this year, grading out in the 80th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Jordan Walker

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Walker in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Jordan Walker is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 78% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. The 8th-shallowest centerfield fences among all parks are found in American Family Field. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation often leads to more offense. Jordan Walker has posted a .275 Expected Batting Average this year, grading out in the 80th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Brice Turang Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

Brice Turang
B. Turang
shortstop SS • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Projection Rating

American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation often leads to more offense. Brice Turang will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Dakota Hudson in today's matchup. Brice Turang hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 87th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Brice Turang will hold that advantage today. Despite posting a .266 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Brice Turang has suffered from bad luck given the .032 discrepancy between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .298.

Brice Turang

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation often leads to more offense. Brice Turang will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Dakota Hudson in today's matchup. Brice Turang hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 87th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Brice Turang will hold that advantage today. Despite posting a .266 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Brice Turang has suffered from bad luck given the .032 discrepancy between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .298.

Josh Donaldson Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

Josh Donaldson
J. Donaldson
third base 3B • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Projection Rating

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Josh Donaldson ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The 8th-shallowest centerfield fences among all parks are found in American Family Field. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation often leads to more offense. Josh Donaldson will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats. Josh Donaldson has made significant improvements with his Barrel%, improving his 9.9% rate last season to 16.2% this year.

Josh Donaldson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Josh Donaldson ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The 8th-shallowest centerfield fences among all parks are found in American Family Field. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation often leads to more offense. Josh Donaldson will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats. Josh Donaldson has made significant improvements with his Barrel%, improving his 9.9% rate last season to 16.2% this year.

Christian Yelich Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

Christian Yelich
C. Yelich
right outfield RF • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

When it comes to his BABIP ability, Christian Yelich is projected as the 11th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Christian Yelich is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. The 8th-shallowest centerfield fences among all parks are found in American Family Field. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation often leads to more offense. Christian Yelich will have the handedness advantage over Dakota Hudson in today's matchup.

Christian Yelich

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When it comes to his BABIP ability, Christian Yelich is projected as the 11th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Christian Yelich is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. The 8th-shallowest centerfield fences among all parks are found in American Family Field. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation often leads to more offense. Christian Yelich will have the handedness advantage over Dakota Hudson in today's matchup.

Mark Canha Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

Mark Canha
M. Canha
right outfield RF • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Projection Rating

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Mark Canha ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Mark Canha has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (67% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game. The 8th-shallowest centerfield fences among all parks are found in American Family Field. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation often leads to more offense. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Mark Canha will hold that advantage in today's game.

Mark Canha

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Mark Canha ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Mark Canha has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (67% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game. The 8th-shallowest centerfield fences among all parks are found in American Family Field. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation often leads to more offense. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Mark Canha will hold that advantage in today's game.

Carlos Santana Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

Carlos Santana
C. Santana
first base 1B • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Carlos Santana is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today's game. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation often leads to more offense. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Carlos Santana will hold that advantage in today's matchup. In the last week, Carlos Santana's 25% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 14.6%. When it comes to plate discipline, Carlos Santana's skill is quite strong, putting up a 1.7 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 85th percentile.

Carlos Santana

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Carlos Santana is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today's game. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation often leads to more offense. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Carlos Santana will hold that advantage in today's matchup. In the last week, Carlos Santana's 25% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 14.6%. When it comes to plate discipline, Carlos Santana's skill is quite strong, putting up a 1.7 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 85th percentile.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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