MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on June 27, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

New York Yankees logo NYY @ Boston Red Sox logo BOS Sat, Jun 27 • 1:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Willson Contreras logo
Willson Contreras o1.5 Total Bases (+141)
Projection 1.7
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When assessing his overall offensive talent, Willson Contreras ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Willson Contreras is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 4th-best stadium in Major League Baseball for run-scoring.. Willson Contreras pulls many of his flyballs (34.9% — 81st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Willson Contreras will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.
Total Bases
Ceddanne Rafaela logo
Ceddanne Rafaela o1.5 Total Bases (+136)
Projection 1.68
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ceddanne Rafaela in the 81st percentile when assessing his batting average talent.. Ceddanne Rafaela is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 4th-best stadium in Major League Baseball for run-scoring.. Fenway Park has the 3rd-shallowest CF fences in the league.. Ceddanne Rafaela will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.
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Houston Astros logo HOU @ Detroit Tigers logo DET Sat, Jun 27 • 1:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Yordan Alvarez logo
Yordan Alvarez o0.5 Total RBIs (+156)
Projection 0.71
Best Odds
Pick made: 11 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Yordan Alvarez ranks as the 2nd-best hitter in the majors.. Yordan Alvarez is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. Comerica Park has the 2nd-shortest average fence height among all stadiums.. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. Extreme groundball bats like Yordan Alvarez are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Framber Valdez.
Total RBIs
Riley Greene logo
Riley Greene o0.5 Total RBIs (+165)
Projection 0.64
Best Odds
Pick made: 11 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Riley Greene in the 97th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.. Riley Greene is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup.. Comerica Park has the 2nd-shortest average fence height among all stadiums.. Batting from the opposite that Kai-Wei Teng throws from, Riley Greene will have an edge in today's game.. Riley Greene will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.
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Texas Rangers logo TEX @ Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR Sat, Jun 27 • 3:07 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Corey Seager logo
Corey Seager o1.5 Total Bases (+160)
Projection 1.69
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Corey Seager ranks as the 13th-best batter in MLB.. Corey Seager is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game.. Rogers Centre ranks as the #5 ballpark in baseball for LHB home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Rogers Centre has the 10th-shallowest CF fences in the league.. Corey Seager will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Dylan Cease in today's game.
Total Bases
George Springer logo
George Springer o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 1.9
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his overall offensive skill, George Springer ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. George Springer is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this matchup.. The #5 ballpark in the majors for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre.. George Springer hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38% — 76th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and George Springer will hold that advantage in today's game.
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Cincinnati Reds logo CIN @ Pittsburgh Pirates logo PIT Sat, Jun 27 • 4:05 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Eugenio Suarez logo
Eugenio Suarez o0.5 Total RBIs (+221)
Projection 0.54
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his home run talent, Eugenio Suarez ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Eugenio Suarez is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup.. PNC Park grades out as the #7 stadium in the majors for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. This game is predicted to have the 11th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.
Total Bases
Elly De La Cruz logo
Elly De La Cruz o1.5 Total Bases (+132)
Projection 1.71
Best Odds
Pick made: 44 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
As it relates to his BABIP ability, Elly De La Cruz is projected as the 5th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Elly De La Cruz is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. PNC Park projects as the #4 stadium in baseball for lefty base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. This game is predicted to have the 11th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.
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Kansas City Royals logo KC @ Chicago White Sox logo CHW Sat, Jun 27 • 4:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Colson Montgomery logo
Colson Montgomery o1.5 Total Bases (+139)
Projection 1.71
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Colson Montgomery as MLB's 15th-best home run batter.. Colson Montgomery is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Guaranteed Rate Field as the 9th-best venue in baseball for run-scoring.. Batting from the opposite that Michael Wacha throws from, Colson Montgomery will have the upper hand today.. Colson Montgomery pulls a lot of his flyballs (40.8% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Salvador Perez logo
Salvador Perez o1.5 Total Bases (+185)
Projection 1.65
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Guaranteed Rate Field as the 9th-best venue in baseball for run-scoring.. Salvador Perez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.4% — 88th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Salvador Perez has made substantial gains with his Barrel% of late, improving his 9.8% seasonal rate to 35.3% over the last week.. Salvador Perez has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.8-mph to 92.5-mph in the past week.. Salvador Perez's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved lately, rising from 14% on the season to 23.5% in the last week's worth of games.
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Philadelphia Phillies logo PHI @ New York Mets logo NYM Sat, Jun 27 • 4:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Bryce Harper logo
Bryce Harper o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 2.03
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bryce Harper ranks as the 11th-best batter in MLB.. Bryce Harper is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 4th-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game.. Bryce Harper will hold the platoon advantage over Christian Scott today.. Bryce Harper has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences today.
Total Bases
Francisco Lindor logo
Francisco Lindor o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 1.76
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Lindor in the 95th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.. Francisco Lindor is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup.. The shallowest centerfield dimensions in the league are found in Citi Field.. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 4th-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game.. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Francisco Lindor will hold that advantage in today's game.
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Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ @ Tampa Bay Rays logo TB Sat, Jun 27 • 6:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Ketel Marte logo
Ketel Marte o1.5 Total Bases (+110)
Projection 1.99
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Ketel Marte ranks as the 19th-best batter in MLB.. Ketel Marte is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Tropicana Field as the 3rd-best ballpark in baseball for righty home runs.. The switch-hitting Ketel Marte will get to bat from his better side (0) today against Cole Sulser.. Ketel Marte pulls a lot of his flyballs (37.8% — 94th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Junior Caminero logo
Junior Caminero o1.5 Total Bases (-102)
Projection 2.02
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When estimating his overall offensive ability, Junior Caminero ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Junior Caminero is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Junior Caminero pulls many of his flyballs (38% — 94th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Junior Caminero will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. Junior Caminero has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 93.2-mph to 97.7-mph in the past 14 days.
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Washington Nationals logo WAS @ Baltimore Orioles logo BAL Sat, Jun 27 • 7:05 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Dylan Crews logo
Dylan Crews u1.5 Total Bases (-176)
Projection 1
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Batting from the same side that Brandon Young throws from, Dylan Crews faces a tough challenge in today's game.. Dylan Crews will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.. Placing in the 15th percentile, Dylan Crews has notched a .282 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) since the start of last season.. Ranking in the 3rd percentile, Dylan Crews sits with a .243 BABIP since the start of last season.
Total Bases
Taylor Ward logo
Taylor Ward o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.81
Best Odds
Pick made: 19 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Taylor Ward in the 94th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.. Taylor Ward is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 8th-best park in baseball for run-scoring.. This game is forecasted to have the 13th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Hitting from the opposite that Foster Griffin throws from, Taylor Ward will have an edge in today's game.
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Chicago Cubs logo CHC @ Milwaukee Brewers logo MIL Sat, Jun 27 • 7:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Seiya Suzuki logo
Seiya Suzuki o1.5 Total Bases (+186)
Projection 1.59
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Seiya Suzuki ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Seiya Suzuki is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game.. In the league, American Family Field has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to higher offensive output.. Seiya Suzuki will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kyle Harrison in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Dansby Swanson logo
Dansby Swanson o1.5 Total Bases (+215)
Projection 1.36
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his overall offensive skill, Dansby Swanson ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. In the league, American Family Field has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to higher offensive output.. Dansby Swanson will hold the platoon advantage over Kyle Harrison today.. Dansby Swanson hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.
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Seattle Mariners logo SEA @ Cleveland Guardians logo CLE Sat, Jun 27 • 7:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Travis Bazzana logo
Travis Bazzana o0.5 Total RBIs (+271)
Projection 0.4
Best Odds
Pick made: 11 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Travis Bazzana is projected to hit 1st in the batting order today.. Progressive Field profiles as the #10 venue in baseball for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Travis Bazzana will have the handedness advantage against Logan Gilbert in today's matchup.. Out of all the teams in action today, the 3rd-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Seattle Mariners.. Travis Bazzana will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.
Total RBIs
Julio Rodriguez logo
Julio Rodriguez o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
Projection 0.63
Best Odds
Pick made: 19 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Julio Rodriguez as the 10th-best batter in the league when assessing his batting average talent.. Julio Rodriguez is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. Progressive Field projects as the #2 stadium in Major League Baseball for RHB BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation generally leads to more offense.. Over the last week, Julio Rodriguez's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 9.4% up to 18.2%.
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Colorado Rockies logo COL @ Minnesota Twins logo MIN Sat, Jun 27 • 7:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Kody Clemens logo
Kody Clemens o1.5 Total Bases (+115)
Projection 1.99
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his home run talent, Kody Clemens ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kody Clemens is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 82°.. Batting from the opposite that Michael Lorenzen throws from, Kody Clemens will have an edge in today's game.. The Colorado Rockies have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Kody Clemens has a strong chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.
Total RBIs
Hunter Goodman logo
Hunter Goodman o0.5 Total RBIs (+150)
Projection 0.8
Best Odds
Pick made: 11 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Hunter Goodman projects as the 17th-best home run batter in the game, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Hunter Goodman is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 82°.. Hunter Goodman has big-time power (98th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's never a guarantee (30.1% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Mike Paredes doesn't generate many whiffs (12th percentile K%) — great news for Goodman.. Among every team on the slate today, the 5th-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Minnesota Twins.
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Miami Marlins logo MIA @ St. Louis Cardinals logo STL Sat, Jun 27 • 7:15 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Alec Burleson logo
Alec Burleson o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-144)
Projection 2.34
Best Odds
Pick made: 11 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 95th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.. Alec Burleson is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. On average, the fence height at Busch Stadium is the 8th-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast calls for the highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 84°.. Alec Burleson will hold the platoon advantage against Ryan Gusto in today's game.
Total RBIs
Nathan Church logo
Nathan Church o0.5 Total RBIs (+265)
Projection 0.41
Best Odds
Pick made: 36 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathan Church in the 75th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.. On average, the fence height at Busch Stadium is the 8th-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast calls for the highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 84°.. Nathan Church will have the handedness advantage over Ryan Gusto today.. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Nathan Church will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
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Los Angeles Dodgers logo LAD @ San Diego Padres logo SD Sat, Jun 27 • 8:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Gavin Sheets logo
Gavin Sheets o0.5 Total RBIs (+280)
Projection 0.38
Best Odds
Pick made: 11 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Gavin Sheets is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today.. Petco Park has the 4th-lowest fences among all parks.. Batting from the opposite that Yoshinobu Yamamoto throws from, Gavin Sheets will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Gavin Sheets will hold that advantage in today's game.. Gavin Sheets has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 97.6-mph average in the last week to his seasonal figure of 93.7-mph.
Total Bases
Andy Pages logo
Andy Pages o1.5 Total Bases (+119)
Projection 1.79
Best Odds
Pick made: 30 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Andy Pages's batting average ability is projected to be in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Andy Pages is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. Petco Park has the 2nd-shallowest CF fences among all major league stadiums.. Petco Park has the 4th-lowest fences among all parks.. Andy Pages's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved in recent games, going from 43.1% on the season to 56.3% over the past week.
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Atlanta Braves logo ATL @ San Francisco Giants logo SF Sat, Jun 27 • 9:05 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Casey Schmitt logo
Casey Schmitt o0.5 Total RBIs (+187)
Projection 0.61
Best Odds
Pick made: 11 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his home run talent, Casey Schmitt ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Casey Schmitt is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 19.4-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for hitters.. Casey Schmitt will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.. Casey Schmitt has made big gains with his Barrel% recently, upping his 12.9% seasonal rate to 28.6% over the past 7 days.
Total RBIs
Bryce Eldridge logo
Bryce Eldridge o0.5 Total RBIs (+198)
Projection 0.58
Best Odds
Pick made: 29 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryce Eldridge in the 90th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.. Bryce Eldridge is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 64% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.. Oracle Park has the 2nd-shallowest RF fences in the league.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 19.4-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for hitters.. Hitting from the opposite that Bryce Elder throws from, Bryce Eldridge will have an edge in today's matchup.
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Athletics Athletics logo ATH @ Los Angeles Angels logo LAA Sat, Jun 27 • 9:38 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Nolan Schanuel logo
Nolan Schanuel u0.5 Total Hits (+183)
Projection 0.87
Best Odds
Pick made: 11 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 4th-best for pitching of all games on the slate.. Over the past 14 days, Nolan Schanuel has recorded a mere a 0% Barrel%, indicating a decline in power ability.
Total Hits
Jorge Soler logo
Jorge Soler u0.5 Total Hits (+137)
Projection 0.7
Best Odds
Pick made: 11 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jorge Soler in the 18th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 4th-best for pitching of all games on the slate.. Hitting from the same side that Jack Perkins throws from, Jorge Soler will not have the upper hand in today's matchup.. Today, Jorge Soler is at a disadvantage facing the league's 11th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 36.5% rate (89th percentile).. Posting a .290 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season, Jorge Soler grades out in the 17th percentile for hitting ability.
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Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ @ St. Louis Cardinals logo STL Thu, Jul 23 • 5:15 PM ET
6 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Game Prop
St. Louis Cardinals logo o2.5 Team Total (-115)
Best Odds
Pick made: yesterday
Colby Marchio image
Colby Marchio
Contributor

The Cardinals are in a premium offensive spot against Zac Gallen, who enters the day with the second-worst pitcher rating in Batters-Box's current season model. Gallen has struggled to limit power and hard contact, carrying poorly rated matchup marks in ISO, hard contact rate, and ground ball rate. St. Louis counters with seven elite-rated hitters and an offense averaging more than 2.5 first five innings runs per game at home. The Cardinals have also been red hot lately, posting a 122 wRC+ over their last 12 games. With so many favorable individual matchups, backing the offense as a whole makes plenty of sense.

Earned Runs Allowed
Zac Gallen logo Zac Gallen o2.5 Earned Runs Allowed (-141)
Best Odds
Pick made: yesterday
Colby Marchio image
Colby Marchio
Contributor

Zac Gallen has been one of the most vulnerable pitchers on the board, especially away from Arizona, where he owns a 7.68 ERA and 6.00 xERA while surrendering plenty of hard contact and barrels. Things do not get any easier against a Cardinals lineup loaded with seven elite-rated hitters according to Batters-Box. St. Louis has been one of the hotter offenses in baseball recently, producing a 122 wRC+, .782 OPS, and .345 wOBA over its last 12 games. With Gallen's struggles and the Cardinals continuing to swing hot bats, this sets up as an excellent spot to back St. Louis early and often.

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Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR @ Chicago Cubs logo CHC Thu, Aug 6 • 2:20 PM ET
4 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total Home Runs
Kazuma Okamoto logo Kazuma Okamoto o0.5 Total Home Runs (+365)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 days ago
Mike DiStefano image
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst

Okamoto's hitting profile perfectly matches up well against Imanaga’s stuff. The Cubs starter throws a heavy dose of the fastball and gets barreled up at a 10.4% rate. The Jays third baseman barrels the ball better than anyone in the Blue Jays lineup with a 13.5% barrel rate, while owning a 63.2% hard hit rate against the four-seamer. 

3 LEG PARLAY
Dansby Swanson profile picture
Dansby Swanson u0.5 Total Hits
Total Hits
Dylan Cease profile picture
Dylan Cease o6.5 Strikeouts Thrown
Strikeouts Thrown
George Springer profile picture
George Springer o1.5 Total Bases
Total Bases
Bet now
Pick made: 5 days ago
Mike DiStefano image
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst

Swanson is just 1-for-6 against Cease in his career. Cease has electric stuff, leading the American League with 110 Ks, while ranking in the 97th percentile in K-rate. Springer is turning a corner with a 1.089 OPS over his last nine games.

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Atlanta Braves logo ATL @ Chicago White Sox logo CHW Thu, Aug 20 • 2:10 PM ET
5 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Atlanta Braves logo Chicago White Sox logo o8.5 (-105)
Pick made: 15 days ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

Atlanta and Chicago send two of the best lineups in baseball to the dish, and they respectively rank eighth and third in wOBA against lefties for the campaign. The two clubs have also trended to the Over, and I'm particularly expecting White Sox southpaw Anthony Kay to struggle considering he's saddled with the fifth-highest xERA in baseball among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings this year.

Moneyline
Atlanta Braves logo ATL (-112)
Best Odds
Pick made: 15 days ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

I'm fading Chicago White Sox lefty Anthony Kay on Thursday. He's sporting the fifth-highest xERA among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings, after all. Plus, the Atlanta Braves enter ranked eighth in wOBA against southpaws for the season and sixth in overall xwOBA across the past 14 days.

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Boston Red Sox logo BOS @ New York Yankees logo NYY Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET
2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Boston Red Sox logo New York Yankees logo o8.5 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: 20 days ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.

Moneyline
New York Yankees logo NYY (-135)
Best Odds
Pick made: 20 days ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.

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San Francisco Giants logo SF @ Atlanta Braves logo ATL Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET
2 Expert Picks
Total
San Francisco Giants logo Atlanta Braves logo o7.5 (-116)
Pick made: 8 days ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and are fourth in xwOBA while averaging 5.5 runs per game across the past 30 days, and the Braves ranks ninth in wOBA against right-handed pitchers and third in overall xwOBA, so I think this total is too low.

Moneyline
San Francisco Giants logo SF (+124)
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 days ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.

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