West Ham vs Wolves Picks and Predictions: All Square at the London Stadium

West Ham and Wolves are tightly packed in the table, with the two surprisingly vying for European places. As they clash on Sunday in London, our EPL betting picks expect the two to yet again play each other close in a tight affair.

Sam Farley - Contributor at Covers.com
Sam Farley • Betting Analyst
Feb 26, 2022 • 15:51 ET • 4 min read
Ruben Neves Wolverhampton Wanderers EPL
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

West Ham face Wolves on Sunday with the two clubs just two points apart in the Premier League table. Will David Moyes’ West Ham get the three points or will Wolves bounce back after a cruel 95th-minute defeat to Arsenal earlier in the week?

This game could go a long way to decide who qualifies for European competition this season. Don’t miss our West Ham vs. Wolves picks and predictions.

West Ham vs Wolves match odds

Odds via the Covers Line, an average comprised of odds from multiple sportsbooks.

Compare EPL odds before betting to ensure you get the best number.

West Ham vs Wolves betting tips

Predictions made on 2/26/2022 at 3:30 p.m. ET.
Click on each prediction to jump to the full analysis.

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West Ham vs Wolves game info

Location: London Stadium, London, England
Date: Sunday, February 27, 2022
Time: 9:00 a.m. ET
TV: USA Network, DAZN

West Ham vs Wolves betting preview

Weather

The weather in London on Sunday should be sunny with temperatures in the 50s, with a cold breeze as the game kicks off at 2 p.m. local time.

Injuries

West Ham: Andriy Yarmolenko AM (Out), Vladimir Coufal RB (Out), Angelo Ogbonna CB (Out).
Wolves: Nelson Semedo RWB (Out).

West Ham vs Wolves predictions

Our predictions are compiled from the analysis of the spread and total and are indications of where we are leaning for this game.
Our best bet is the play that we like the most for this game, which we would actually put some of our bankroll behind.

Side analysis

On Sunday there is only one Premier League game but it looks set to be a very interesting game. West Ham vs. Wolves might not sound that exciting or action-packed but these are two of the best teams in the league outside of the traditional giants and they’re in a battle for European competition next season.

West Ham sit sixth in the league with 42 points, five points behind fourth-place Man United and with a game in hand. Wolves, with a game in hand on West Ham, sit just two points behind them in eighth. Just seven points separate Man United in fourth and Wolves in eighth and Man United have played more games than anybody else in the running.

In truth, it feels unlikely that either of these teams will claim that fourth spot and with it a chance to play in the lucrative Champions League, but they are certainly both with a good chance of qualifying for the Europa League or the Europa Conference.

West Ham have only won one of their past five after a very fast start in the Premier League this season but they have a very talented team and Moyes has turned the club around since he took charge.

There was a time when West Ham would have one top player, who they’d ultimately sell to a team higher up in the Premier League pecking order but now they have multiple. Declan Rice is, for my money at least, one of the best midfielders in the league if not the planet. His midfield partner Tomas Soucek is a strong presence too, and they’ll be key in shutting down Wolves’ creative star Ruben Neves. West Ham’s other star is Jarrod Bowen, and the former Hull man will surely be an England international in 2022. His crossing ability is sensational, especially when he’s got Michail Antonio in the box.

Wolves will need to dust themselves off and go again after their cruel defeat on Thursday against Arsenal. After getting an opening lead they gave up an equalizer in the 82nd minute before a shock 95th-minute goal cost them a point. Up until that point they played very well and continued to shine in the areas that we discussed in the preview for that game. Bruno Lage has created an incredibly well-drilled and organized team, they defend as a unit and although they’re not free-flowing in attack they are improving in that area while remaining tight at the back.

If you pressed me to pick the Premier League Manager of the Year today it would be Lage. The Portuguese manager has done such a fantastic job with this team and they’re not really getting the praise they deserve. His tactical battle with David Moyes on Sunday is going to be enthralling even if it isn’t box office viewing.

Lage will again deploy his players in a 3-4-3 formation and look to use fullbacks Nelson Semedo and Marcal to stop the forays of Bowen and Said Benrahma, before getting forward and supporting Raul Jimenez and the other Wolves forwards.

With West Ham’s Antonio on a baron run in front of goal, having not scored since New Year’s Day, and Wolves’ great defensive displays recently, it’s hard to see West Ham being dangerous enough in front of goal to get the win. For that reason, the draw seems like value at +220.

Prediction: Draw (+220)

Over/Under analysis

West Ham started brilliantly this season but the goals have dried recently, as indicated by Michail Antonio’s recent lack of goals. In their four games at home in 2022, they’ve only had Over 2.5 goals on one occasion, which happened to be when Leeds, who can’t defend, turned up at the London Stadium.

Wolves on the road has meant Under 2.5 goals all season, with the Under landing in 76.9% of all their games outside of Molineux Stadium, a huge 10 of 13 games. I expect the Under to land here again and odds of -163 are worth it even at such a short price.

Prediction: Under 2.5 (-163)

Best bet

With both teams tussling at the top of the Premier League table this game has a real influence on who’ll qualify for Europe at the end of the season. 

Moyes might have done a brilliant job with the Hammers but it does feel like they’re perhaps starting to run out of ideas, with their tactics having potentially been found out by opposition managers. If Wolves win this game, they’ll leapfrog West Ham, and on present form that feels likely. 

Wolves have had a great history recently when playing at the London Stadium, winning two of their past three games there. This current spell is arguably the best Wolves have played since they were first promoted to the Premier League in 2018 and it’s hard to see them losing, even after that crushing defeat to Arsenal. I think it’ll most likely be a draw but I certainly wouldn’t rule out Wolves getting a win, that’s why backing the double chance makes such sense. At odds of -138, you won’t be making bank but this is a team who have only conceded 20 goals all season, the third least in the Premier League behind Man City and Chelsea, so you can expect them to avoid defeat.

Pick: Draw or Wolves – double chance (-138) 

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Sam Farley
Betting Analyst

Sam is based in the United Kingdom, where he grew up living and breathing soccer, before discovering - and playing - a different kind of football at the University of Bristol. He’s worked in the media covering soccer and the NFL for the better part of a decade, and has been a regular on the Matchbook NFL Podcast. His work has also appeared in a wide range of publications including The Telegraph, The Independent, VICE, and MSN.

The search for great betting value is a daily one, and Sam always hunts out big prices with a particular focus on player props. Sam’s best advice for bettors is to track their bets on a spreadsheet, that way you can keep an eye on your P&L but also the types of bets and sports that you are most successful in. He also recommends using a variety of different sportsbooks, with bet365, Betfair and Paddy Power amongst his favorites.

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