Monaco vs PSG Predictions, Picks & Odds for Tuesday's Champions League Match

Don't expect a repeat from Monaco's surprise 1-0 victory over PSG in Ligue 1 back in November. This will be a different result, with Ousmane Dembele ensuring a PSG victory.

Emanuel Rosu - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Emanuel Rosu • Betting Analyst
Feb 16, 2026 • 08:15 ET • 4 min read
Ousmane Dembele Paris Saint-Germain Champions League
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Paris St Germain's Ousmane Dembele celebrates a goal.

These two French rivals last met in Ligue 1 in November, and Monaco survived a heated encounter to take the three points.

My Monaco vs. PSG predictions and free soccer picks suggest the opposite will happen on Tuesday, February 17.

PSG are close to their normal running speed, and they won't let this slip. 

Monaco vs PSG picks and predictions

My Monaco vs PSG best bet: PSG moneyline (-172 at Sports Interaction)

In the same phase of last year's Champions League, the Round of 16, PSG beat another French team, Brest, 10-0 on aggregate.

So far this season, Monaco have scored just eight goals in the Champions League. PSG are already at 21 in just eight games, an average of almost three per match.

Monaco managed to win just two of their eight league phase fixtures. In fact, they've won just two of their last eight clashes across all competitions. Ignore the prior result between these sides, as PSG have the edge and will walk off the pitch as winners on Tuesday.

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Monaco vs PSG same-game parlay (SGP)

PSG moneyline

Ousmane Dembele anytime goal

Ansu Fati 1+ shots on target

Vitinha 1+ shots on target

Nuno Mendes 1+ shots on target

PSG will be on the attack, so I'm counting on a few of their players to be visible in the clash at Stade Louis II.

Injuries have stopped Ousmane Dembele from reaching full potential in the second part of the season, but his recent brace against archrivals Olympique de Marseille showed he's back to his best. I'm counting on him to score against Monaco as well.

Vitinha and Nuno Mendes, two key players for Luis Enrique's side, should also be involved in the opposite box. Vitinha sent no fewer than 11 shots on target so far this season in the Champions League, troubling Newcastle's keeper three times in PSG's last outing in the league phase back in January. Despite being a left back, Mendes recorded shots on target in both of his previous Champions League games.

Monaco vs PSG odds

Monaco vs PSG odds

Monaco Monaco PSG PSG
+400 Moneyline -172
+340 Draw +340
Over 2.5 (-200) Total Under 2.5 (+140)

Odds courtesy of Sports Interaction.

Monaco vs PSG opening odds

  • Moneyline: Monaco +400 | PSG -172
  • Draw: +340
  • Over/Under: Over 2.5 (-200) | Under 2.5 (+140)

How to watch Monaco vs PSG

Location Stade Louis II, Monaco, France
Date Tuesday, February 17, 2026
Time 3:00 p.m. ET
TV Paramount+
Weather Text

Monaco vs PSG key injuries

Monaco: Lukás Hrádecký GK (Out), Mohammed Salisu CB (Out), Eric Dier CB (Out), Kassoum Ouattara LB (Out), Paul Pogba CM (Out), Takumi Minamino FW (Out).
PSG: Fabian Ruiz CM (Out), Quentin Ndjantou CM (Out), Senny Mayulu CM (Out).

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Emanuel Rosu
Betting Analyst

Emanuel Roșu studied public administration but only to have a degree in something. He was always passionate about football. Writing about it, that is, as we've seen him play and he should feel fortunate he never took that road. He is based in Bucharest and has reported on Champions League, Europa League, and European Championship matches for various media outlets in Europe. He wrote stories for The Guardian, BBC, FourFourTwo, and many more. He represents Romania in the vote for the "Ballon d'Or", the most important individual trophy in world football.

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