Marseille vs Liverpool Predictions, Picks & Odds for Wednesday's Champions League Match

Our Marseille vs. Liverpool predictions anticipate plenty of goals in the Velodrome.

Emanuel Rosu - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Emanuel Rosu • Betting Analyst
Jan 20, 2026 • 11:29 ET • 4 min read
Olympique de Marseille's Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang reacts.
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Olympique de Marseille's Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang reacts.

Marseille form one of the most entertaining sides in Europe, while Liverpool are slowly coming back to form after a torrid ending to 2025. It's not going to be dull at all.

My Marseille vs. Liverpool predictions expect plenty of goals at the Velodrome in this Champions League affair. 

Find out more in my free betting picks for January 21.

Marseille vs Liverpool picks and predictions

My Marseille vs Liverpool best bet: Over 3.5 goals (+145 at Sports Interaction)

Under former Brighton manager Roberto De Zerbi, Marseille are beautiful to watch but sometimes inconsistent.

They now sit 16th in the Champions League table, three points behind Liverpool, who are ninth. Marseille have a small chance to reach the Round of 16 directly, and a win is a must on Wednesday if they're to stand any chance of qualifying directly. 

Marseille are on a run of 30 UCL games without a draw, while Liverpool haven't drawn any of their last 27 (won 19, lost eight). These two play for goals, and their track in the competition shows it.

Over six Champions League games, both Marseille's and Liverpool's fixtures have averaged 3.16 goals. I'll happily take Over 3.5 at plus money.

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Marseille vs Liverpool same-game parlay (SGP)

Over 3.5 goals

Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang 1+ shot on target

Florian Wirtz 1+ shot on target

Marseille to have more corners

Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang has scored 13 goals on the European stage for Marseille, hitting the net three times in the UEFA Champions League this term and 10 more in the 2023-24 UEFA Europa League.

Florian Wirtz has been delivering below what was expected from him this season. But against an open side like Marseille, he can show his quality. I believe he'll look to have an impact at the Velodrome in order to convince the Liverpool supporters his current stats are just a slow start and not a dimension of his real worth.

Marseille have thrilling wide players, and I think there should be context for many corners in this game.

Marseille vs Liverpool odds

Marseille vs Liverpool odds

Marseille Liverpool
+275 Moneyline -111
+275 Draw +275
Over 2.5 (-172) Total Under 2.5 (+120)

Odds courtesy of Sports Interaction.

Marseille vs Liverpool opening odds

  • Moneyline: Marseille +260 | Liverpool -108
  • Draw: +275
  • Over/Under: Over 2.5 (-172) | Under (+120)

How to watch Marseille vs Liverpool

Location Stade Velodrome, Marseille, France
Date Wednesday, January 21, 2026
Time 3:00 p.m. ET
TV Paramount+
Weather 46 F, 6 MPH, 0% POP

Marseille vs Liverpool key injuries

Marseille: Benjamin Pavard CB (Out), Nayef Aguerd CB (Questionable).
Liverpool: Giovanni Leoni CB (Out), Wataru Endo CM (Out), Stefan Bajcetic CM (Out), Conor Bradley RB (Out), Mohamed Salah FW (Questionable), Alexander Isak ST (Out).

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Emanuel Rosu
Betting Analyst

Emanuel Roșu studied public administration but only to have a degree in something. He was always passionate about football. Writing about it, that is, as we've seen him play and he should feel fortunate he never took that road. He is based in Bucharest and has reported on Champions League, Europa League, and European Championship matches for various media outlets in Europe. He wrote stories for The Guardian, BBC, FourFourTwo, and many more. He represents Romania in the vote for the "Ballon d'Or", the most important individual trophy in world football.

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