Latvia vs USA Prediction, Picks & Odds for Thursday's Men's Olympic Hockey Game

Our Latvia vs. USA predictions think the Americans will handle business against an overmatched Latvian squad.

Todd Cordell - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Todd Cordell • Betting Analyst
Feb 11, 2026 • 10:29 ET • 4 min read
Tage Thompson Team USA Olympic Games
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Tage Thompson during a Team USA practice.

The United States begin their quest for Olympic Gold with a matchup against the Latvians.

My Latvia vs. USA predictions and free betting picks expect the latter to hit the ground running and win convincingly in their opener.

Latvia vs USA prediction

Latvia vs USA Best bet: USA -3.5 (-150 at Fanatics)

Latvia’s recent results against elite competition are telling. In the 2025 World Hockey Championship, they were outscored 15-2 over three games against Sweden, Canada, and Finland. They never scored more than one goal, and two of the losses were by a margin of six.

Finland was the lone powerhouse that failed to blow out Latvia, and they brought only five NHL players to that tournament, one of whom was a goaltender.

The United States are loaded with elite offensive talent and came just one goal shy of winning the World Cup of Hockey a year ago. Latvia won’t be able to keep up.

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Latvia vs USA same-game parlay

USA -3.5

Under 6.5

Scoring goals is always a challenge for Latvia against high-end teams. It’ll be difficult for them to generate chances against a loaded USA defensive core and, even when they do, reigning Vezina winner Connor Hellebuyck will be there to slam the door.

The Latvians have competent goaltending with an NHL tandem of Elvis Merzlikins and Arturs Silovs, and will be leaning on structure to help avoid a track meet.

USA will dominate the run of play, but won’t need to score at will to cover the spread, which sets up nicely for the Under.

Latvia vs USA SGP

  • USA -3.5
  • Under 6.5

Latvia vs USA odds

  • Moneyline: Latvia +1100 | USA -2000
  • Puck Line: Latvia +3.5 (+125) | USA -3.5 (-150)
  • Over/Under: Over 6.5 | Under 6.5

How to watch Latvia vs USA

Location Milana Santagiulia Arena, Milan, Italy
Date Thursday, February 12, 2026
Puck drop 3:10 p.m. ET
TV CBC, NBC

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Todd Cordell - Covers
Betting Analyst

Todd Cordell is a data-driven betting analyst. He uses numbers to help identify value across a wide variety of sports, with NHL being his specialty. Shot props, in particular, have proven to be a very fruitful market. Todd has served as a betting analyst in the public sphere for many years, most recently with theScore covering the NHL and MLB.

When not writing about sports betting, Todd stays busy analyzing the New Jersey Devils with a fine-tooth comb for InfernalAccess, his Devils-centric blog. Todd attended Sheridan College and graduated in 2014 with a diploma in print journalism.

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