Team USA Anytime Goal Scorer Picks vs Canada - February 22, 2026

Auston Matthews remains one of the top goal-scorers in the world, and we expect the superstar forward to find the back of the net in the gold medal game.

Todd Cordell - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Todd Cordell • Betting Analyst
Feb 21, 2026 • 12:47 ET • 4 min read
Auston Matthews (34) of the United States takes a shot.
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Auston Matthews (34) of the United States takes a shot.

The United States has won all five of its Olympic matches and piled up the goals along the way, scoring 24 times.

Let’s dive into a few of my favorite USA goal-scorer picks with my USA vs. Canada predictions and free betting picks for Sunday, February 22.

Team USA goal scorer picks for Sunday

Player Fanatics
🥇 Auston Matthews +200
🥈 Jake Guentzel +400
🥉 Matt Boldy +425
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Auston Matthews

+200 at Fanatics

Auston Matthews has been one of hockey’s elite finishers for nearly a decade, and that skill has translated well on the world stage.

He’s scored three times in five games, tying for second on a deep American roster with 12 slot chances.

That’s good news against Canadian netminder Jordan Binnington. While Binnington has held up in this tournament, he ranks 56th out of 57 goalies (1,000+ minutes) in high-danger save percentage this season.

Matthews is the type of player who may only need a couple of quality chances to make them count.

Men's Hockey Final Challenge
Men's Hockey Final Challenge

Jake Guentzel

+400 at Fanatics

Jake Guentzel isn’t a high-volume shooter like some of Team USA’s other stars. Instead, he prioritizes quality over quantity.

He’s generated 11 shots on goal in this tournament, 10 of which came from the slot — over 90% from prime scoring areas.

Guentzel is playing in the Top-6 at 5-on-5 and getting power play time on the second unit. As one of the NHL’s most consistent playoff scorers, this stage shouldn’t be too big for him.

Matt Boldy

+425 at Fanatics

Matt Boldy is playing a key role for the United States, and he’s doing it effectively. He ranks fourth among the team’s forwards in ice time and has more shots on net than all but Jack Eichel. He’s also even with Auston Matthews in slot shots, totaling 12 through five appearances.

Boldy has converted 18.5% of his shots in the NHL this season, but his Olympic shooting rate is just 5.5%. This could be the perfect opportunity for some regression to the mean.

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Todd Cordell - Covers
Betting Analyst

Todd Cordell is a data-driven betting analyst. He uses numbers to help identify value across a wide variety of sports, with NHL being his specialty. Shot props, in particular, have proven to be a very fruitful market. Todd has served as a betting analyst in the public sphere for many years, most recently with theScore covering the NHL and MLB.

When not writing about sports betting, Todd stays busy analyzing the New Jersey Devils with a fine-tooth comb for InfernalAccess, his Devils-centric blog. Todd attended Sheridan College and graduated in 2014 with a diploma in print journalism.

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