Two historic hockey rivals collide at the Milano-Cortina 2026 Winter Olympics when Finland faces Sweden on Friday.
The Swedes cruised to a dominant win in their tournament opener, and my Sweden vs. Finland predictions are backing them to maintain a perfect record.
Read more in my free betting picks for February 13.
Finland vs Sweden prediction
Finland vs Sweden Best bet: Sweden -1.5 (+145 at BET99)
Finland suffered a shocking 4-1 loss to Slovakia in its Olympic opener as Juuse Saros allowed three goals on 24 shots.
Goaltenders Saros (.892 SV%), Kevin Lankinen (.876 SV%), and Joonas Korpisalo (.893 SV%) have been subpar in the NHL this season, while Sweden should have the edge in net, with Jesper Wallstedt (.914 SV%) most likely getting the start.
Sweden flexed its firepower against Italy in a 5-2 win, with William Nylander and Rasmus Dahlin having standout performances. Their offense will ultimately lift them to another comfortable victory.
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Finland vs Sweden same-game parlay
Sweden -1.5
Under 5.5
Sweden and Finland typically produce low-scoring games, with the teams combining for Under 5.5 goals in four of their last six meetings in major tournaments.
The Swedes have also won four of those matchups, and I expect that trend to continue on Friday, as their offense and goaltending should make the difference.
Finland vs Sweden SGP
- Sweden -1.5
- Under 5.5
Finland vs Sweden odds
- Moneyline: Finland +160 | Sweden -200
- Puck Line: Finland +1.5 (-180) | Sweden -1.5 (+145)
- Over/Under: Over 5.5 (+105) | Under 5.5 (-135)
How to watch Finland vs Sweden
| Location | Milano Santagiulia Ice Hockey Arena, Milano, Italy |
| Date | Friday, February 13, 2026 |
| Puck drop | 6:10 a.m. ET |
| TV | Peacock |
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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