The Canadians and Finns both received a wake-up call in their quarterfinal overtime wins, and the two teams will meet today for the chance to advance to the gold medal game at the Milano Cortina 2026 Winter Olympics.
CBC and NBC have the coverage starting at 10:40 a.m. ET.
My top Canada vs. Finland predictions and free betting picks for on Friday, February 20 expect goals to be at a premium.
Canada vs Finland prediction
Canada vs Finland Best bet: Under 5.5 (-120)
Defense has been the calling card for the Canadians and Finns, with the teams respectively allowing just six and seven goals across their four games.
Despite the Canadian question marks in goal, No. 1 Jordan Binnington has turned in a .922 SV%, and Finland starter Juuse Saros has been even better with a .938 mark.
Both teams have played a particularly strong possession game while also allowing the second-and third-fewest slot shots per game.
Enjoying Covers content? Add us as a preferred source on your Google account
Canada vs Finland same-game parlay
Under 5.5
Canada moneyline
Statistically, the Finns and Canadians have incredibly similar numbers through four games, and there’s a strong case Finland has been on an upward trajectory after a surprise 4-1 loss to Slovakia in the tournament opener.
I think Finland clogs the natural zone and leans on its wealth of defensively responsible NHLers to hang around and keep this game tight for 60 minutes, with the Canadians ultimately leaning on their own superior star power to punch their ticket to the final.
Canada vs Finland SGP
- Under 5.5
- Canada moneyline
Canada vs Finland odds
- Moneyline: Canada -450 | Finland +320
- Puck Line: Canada -1.5 (-145) | Finland +1.5 (+115)
- Over/Under: Over 5.5 (-110) | Under 5.5 (-120)
How to watch Canada vs Finland
| Location | Milano Santagiulia Arena, Milan, Italy |
| Date | Friday, February 20, 2026 |
| Puck drop | 10:40 a.m. ET |
| TV | CBC, NBC |
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.
