The Memphis Grizzlies look like an entirely different team from the one that set the basketball world on fire to kick off the 2026-27 regular season.
My Grizzlies vs. Raptors prediction has their recent issues being magnified north of the border in what will be just their first road loss in five tries.
The Toronto Raptors are 3.5-point favorites for a 7:30 p.m. ET tip-off at Scotiabank Arena. Let's dive into my analysis and NBA picks for Monday, Nov. 9.
TOP PICK
Grizzlies vs Raptors prediction: Raptors -3.5
Play up to 55% and -5.5.
The Memphis Grizzlies scored 118.8 points per 100 possessions (fourth) with a league-best net rating (14.7) during their six-game winning streak. However, in their three losses since, those numbers have sunk to 106 points per 100 possessions (24th) and -11.4 (25th).
The Toronto Raptors have proven to be resilient without Kawhi Leonard (knee), producing 117 points per 100 possessions (eighth) without him. They're coming off an NBA Cup win on the road against the Bucks without Scottie Barnes (adductor) and Immanuel Quickley (hamstring), as well. Both are questionable for tonight's action.
Toronto overcame deficits of 16 and 15 points in its last two wins, and continues to rank among the league's elite in forcing turnovers (20.2, first). Memphis sits 26th in turnovers over its last three games, making the Raptors' defensive pressure a key advantage in covering the narrow spread.
COVERS INTEL: The Raptors should be trusted in part because of their league-best net rating of +34.9 in the fourth quarter. The Pistons are second at +15.8 in the final frame. At this stage last season, Toronto's net rating in the final 12 minutes was just +4.0.
Grizzlies vs Raptors combo
The Raptors and Grizzlies have registered an Under the last four times the total for their matchup was set at 228.5 points or less. That includes five of their last six and seven of their last nine meetings under said criteria, as well.
Rookie of the Year candidate Cameron Boozer is just off the team lead for Memphis with 5.2 assists on nine potential assists per contest. A prop of 4.5 for Monday is too high for my interests, as the 19-year-old prospect has fallen Under that mark in five of the last seven games.
Grizzlies vs Raptors combo
- Raptors -3.5
- Under 228.5
- Cameron Boozer Under 4.5 assists
Grizzlies vs Raptors player props
Grizzlies player prop: Zach Edey Over 7.5 rebounds
Play up to 57% and 9.5.
All 7-foot-3 of Zach Edey's immense frame has been too much for the Raptors to handle in recent meetings. He's seen them twice in his young career, averaging a Shaq-like double-double of 17 points and 15.5 rebounds in just 26 minutes of action.
His 20.5 minutes per game are his lowest through three seasons, as playing someone of Edey's size with his plodding nature does come with its degree of limitations. Nonetheless, the Canadian giant will have a distinct size advantage in the frontcourt, and should match minutes whenever Jakob Poeltl is on the hardwood.
This will help Edey achieve an Over at 7.5 boards for the fifth time overall, and the third time in his last four appearances.
Raptors player prop: RJ Barrett Over 1.5 threes
Play up to 65%.
An 0-for-4 shooting performance from distance for RJ Barrett on Friday was a rare off night for the 26-year-old guard.
Yes, his current 29.2% efficiency is the worst of his career, but props for 3-pointers made don't take into account how many attempts it takes to reach an Over, just as long as a player gets there.
Barrett still has four Overs at 1.5 makes in his last six games, and the Grizzlies are allowing opponents to shoot 38.5% (24th) during their ongoing losing skid.
- Top picks: 9-12, -4.99 units
- Combos: 4-17, +4.96 units
- Props: 20-20, -2.87 units
Grizzlies vs Raptors odds
For help understanding probabilities, see our odds calculator.
- Spread: Grizzlies +3.5 (52%) | Raptors -3.5 (49%)
- Over/Under: Over 228.5 (52%) | Under 228.5 (49%)
- Moneyline: Grizzlies 43% | Raptors 58%
For the full slate of NBA matchups, check out our NBA odds board!
Grizzlies vs Raptors trend
The Raptors are 6-0 ATS in their last six home games against teams with a winning road record. Find more NBA betting trends.
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How to watch Grizzlies vs Raptors
| Location | Scotiabank Arena, Toronto, Ontario |
| Date | Monday, Nov. 9, 2026 |
| Tip off | 7:30 p.m. ET |
| TV | DAZN-Memphis, Sportsnet |
Grizzlies vs Raptors latest injuries
Check out our NBA injuries page for updates on every team.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
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