The Edmonton Oilers host the New York Islanders at Rogers Place tonight, and the underlying numbers reveal a significant mismatch between the two teams.
My Islanders vs. Oilers predictions expect New York’s unsustainable run to come to a humbling halt against Edmonton.
Read more in my NHL picks for Thursday, January 15.
Islanders vs Oilers prediction
Islanders vs Oilers best bet: Oilers -1.5 (+140)
The Edmonton Oilers rank eighth in expected goals percentage at five-on-five over nine games since the holiday break, while the New York Islanders sit 31st.
An unsustainable 103.0 PDO has masked the Islanders’ five-on-five shortcomings and helped them post a 5-3-1 record out of the break. Edmonton has also held the edge on both special teams during this stretch.
The rubber meets the road tonight, with the Oilers averaging the second-most goals per game at home (3.85) and the Islanders scoring the ninth-fewest on the road (2.82).
I also value Edmonton getting No. 1 goalie Tristan Jarry and top defenseman Jake Walman back in the lineup.
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Islanders vs Oilers same-game parlay
Connor McDavid has recorded multi-point performances in 13 of 20 home games at Rogers Place, totaling 37 points and leading the NHL with 5.59 points per 60 minutes on home ice.
Meanwhile, the Islanders have allowed the fifth-most expected goals per 60 minutes at five-on-five over the highlighted nine-game stretch since the break.
Oilers winger Zach Hyman has been nearly as automatic, hitting the scoresheet in 13 of his past 17 games for 21 total points. Skating alongside McDavid on the top line and the No. 1 power-play unit, the duo has connected for an eye-popping 6.68 goals per 60 this season.
Islanders vs Oilers SGP
- Oilers -1.5
- Connor McDavid Over 1.5 points
- Zach Hyman Over 0.5 points
Islanders vs Oilers odds
- Moneyline: Islanders +150 | Oilers -180
- Puck Line: Islanders +1.5 (-165) | Oilers -1.5 (+140)
- Over/Under: Over 6.5 (+110) | Under 6.5 (-130)
Islanders vs Oilers trend
The total has gone Over in six of Edmonton's last seven games. Find more NHL betting trends for Islanders vs. Oilers.
How to watch Islanders vs Oilers
| Location | Rogers Place, Edmonton, AB |
| Date | Thursday, January 15, 2026 |
| Puck drop | 9:00 p.m. ET |
| TV | Sportsnet One |
Islanders vs Oilers latest injuries
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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