Week 14 is when the playoff race stops simmering and starts boiling over. Division leads are on the line, Wild Card hopefuls are fighting for oxygen, and almost every game has seeding implications.
For bettors, that means sharper lines, smaller edges, and the constant temptation to chase a narrative instead of the numbers. It’s a lot to keep track of, so we’ve handed the controls to ChatGPT for sweat-free, straight-up NFL picks.
No spreadsheets, no frantic odds shopping — just a clear side on every game while you handle the important stuff, like locking in the perfect game-day snacks.
Week 14 NFL moneyline picks
| Matchup | Pick |
|---|---|
 Cowboys vs  Lions |
-164 |
 Steelers vs  Ravens |
-295 |
 Seahawks vs  Falcons |
-405 |
 Titans vs  Browns |
-210 |
 Dolphins vs  Jets |
-152 |
 Saints vs  Buccaneers |
-500 |
 Colts vs  Jaguars |
+108 |
 Commanders vs  Vikings |
-126 |
 Bengals vs  Bills |
-275 |
 Broncos vs  Raiders |
-450 |
 Bears vs  Packers |
-330 |
 Rams vs  Cardinals |
-450 |
 Texans vs  Chiefs |
-180 |
 Eagles vs  Chargers |
-154 |
Lines courtesy of FanDuel.
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Cowboys vs Lions: Lions (-164)
Detroit comes in at 7-5 and still very live in the NFC North race despite a Thanksgiving stumble against Green Bay.
Their offense can still move the ball with the best of them, and Ford Field has been a real advantage. Dallas is dangerous, with Dak Prescott still leading a capable passing attack, but the market is leaning toward the more complete Lions team at home. With Detroit favored by about a field goal on the spread, backing the Lions on the moneyline is the safer side of this coin flip environment.
Steelers vs Ravens: Ravens (-295)
Ravens-Steelers games are usually tight, ugly, and physical, but this year’s number says Baltimore is clearly a tier above. Lamar Jackson is still the offensive engine in Baltimore, and even through some injury issues, he remains a top-tier dual-threat quarterback.
Pittsburgh’s offense has been inconsistent enough that asking them to win outright on the road at this price is a big ask. With Baltimore’s defense playing at a high level and home-field advantage in a rivalry spot, the AI stays chalky and rides with the Ravens.
Seahawks vs Falcons: Seahawks (-405)
Seattle is tied for the best record in the NFC and just added multiple defensive pieces back from injury heading into the stretch run.
Sam Darnold has stabilized the offense enough that the defense can win games, and this price reflects a clear talent gap. Atlanta’s offense has weapons with Bijan Robinson and a strong receiver group, but inconsistency at quarterback has held them back. As a big road favorite, Seattle is parlay material more than a straight play, but the AI side is squarely on the Seahawks.
Titans vs Browns: Browns (-210)
Tennessee is breaking in rookie quarterback Cam Ward, and like most first-year passers, the ride has been up and down.
The Browns still boast a defense capable of winning on its own, and the market respects that, installing them as more than field-goal favorites. The AI leans toward that defensive floor and takes Cleveland to grind out a home win, even if it’s not pretty.
Dolphins vs Jets: Dolphins (-152)
FanDuel has Miami favored by roughly a field goal on the road, and the moneyline reflects confidence in the Dolphins’ offensive firepower versus a Jets unit that has struggled to sustain drives and finish in the red zone.
Miami still profiles as the more dangerous team vertically and after the catch, even when not at full strength. New York’s defense can absolutely keep them in it, but unless the Jets get short fields from turnovers, the AI leans toward Miami simply outscoring them over four quarters.
Saints vs Buccaneers: Buccaneers (-500)
This is one of the most lopsided moneylines on the Week 14 board. Tampa Bay has spent time near the top of league power rankings this season, while New Orleans has struggled to keep pace in key efficiency metrics and on the scoreboard.
A -500 tag implies a very high win probability, so this is another spot where a single-game moneyline bet offers limited value. If you’re including the Bucs in a Sunday parlay, you’re largely betting they don’t implode against a clearly overmatched Saints roster.
Colts vs Jaguars: Jaguars (+108)
The Jaguars’ offense is built on explosive plays, and if they hit a couple of deep shots or chunk gains off play-action, they can flip game script fast. If their pass rush disrupts the Colts’ timing and forces Daniel Jones (if available) into hurried throws and third-and-long, Indy’s efficiency drops.
Turnovers are the equalizer here: a tipped-ball interception, a strip-sack, or a big special-teams return could hand Jacksonville short fields. In a near coin-flip matchup, a few situational wins on third down and in the red zone could swing it the Jags’ way.
Commanders vs Vikings: Vikings (-126)
Minnesota has navigated injuries and quarterback changes all season but still feels live in most games, especially at home in the controlled environment of U.S. Bank Stadium. Washington has playmakers, but protection issues and turnover volatility have frequently undercut them.
The market’s slight lean to Minnesota matches the perception of a more stable passing game at home, so the AI sides with the Vikings.
Bengals vs Bills: Bills (-275)
Joe Burrow’s return has reignited Cincinnati’s offense, but he’s still managing a turf toe injury and playing with a protective plate in his cleat.
Winning in Buffalo is a very different task than beating Baltimore. The Bills remain one of the league’s most explosive scoring attacks with Josh Allen under center and are tough at home in December conditions. The plus-money price on Cincinnati is tempting, but the AI sticks with Buffalo’s offensive ceiling and home-field edge.
Broncos vs Raiders: Broncos (-450)
Denver is 10-2 and leading the AFC West, with Bo Nix emerging as a legitimate franchise quarterback.
The Raiders, meanwhile, are rebuilding and have struggled to keep pace with top offenses. At -450, the moneyline is pricing in a dominant Denver team against an overmatched opponent, especially in the trenches.
Upsets happen in division games, but from a probability standpoint this is one of the more straightforward chalk spots on the card. The AI is comfortable riding with the Broncos.
Bears vs Packers: Packers (-330)
Green Bay is 8-3-1 and pushing hard in the NFC North, while Chicago has quietly climbed in league power rankings thanks to recent improved play.
Still, Lambeau Field in December is a tough ask for a Bears team that’s still finding its offensive identity. Jordan Love has grown into the role and gives the Packers a steady passing attack, supported by a defense that has held up well enough in key spots. At this price, the Packers are the logical moneyline choice, even if the Bears are no longer an automatic fade.
Rams vs Cardinals: Rams (-450)
The Rams enter Week 14 at 9-3 and sit atop some national power rankings, reflecting both their record and underlying performance.
Arizona has young talent and occasional flashes, but they haven’t matched L.A.’s week-to-week consistency. This is another big favorite where a solo moneyline bet won’t excite many bettors, but in terms of straight-up prediction, the Rams’ combination of coaching, scheme, and top-end talent makes them the clear side. If you’re hunting for a “safe” anchor leg in a multi-team moneyline parlay, this is one of the cleaner options.
Texans vs Chiefs: Chiefs (-180)
This is one of the week’s most intriguing matchups. Houston started 0-3 but has played its way firmly back into the playoff conversation, with C.J. Stroud continuing to look like a franchise quarterback.
The market still gives the edge to Kansas City at Arrowhead, where Patrick Mahomes remains an elite difference-maker and the Chiefs’ defense has carried more of the load in 2025. The plus-money on the Texans is attractive for bettors seeking value, but in a straight-up prediction setting, the AI gives a slight nod to Mahomes at home.
Eagles vs Chargers: Eagles (-154)
Philadelphia remains one of the NFC’s heavyweights, with Jalen Hurts putting together another strong season as a dual-threat quarterback.
The Chargers have talent and can absolutely score in bunches, but they’ve been one of the league’s most inconsistent teams, featuring prominently in midseason power-ranking slides.
With the Eagles laying under a field goal on the spread and around -154 on the moneyline, the market clearly expects Philly’s offensive and coaching edge to win out. The AI agrees and closes the week backing the Eagles to take care of business on the road.
ChatGPT has gone 129-64 so far this season for +53.3 units.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
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