The Tennessee Titans finally won a game. The problem? They haven't figured out how to follow one victory with another in nearly four years. The Saints, meanwhile, keep rewarding bettors willing to take the points, and Sunday's trip to Paris offers another opportunity to cash in.
My Week 7 NFL trends dig into Tennessee's 0-12 ATS skid following a win, New Orleans' impressive 8-2 ATS run as an underdog, and a Sunday Night Football showdown between Kansas City and Seattle that could turn into a defensive street fight.
Three games, three compelling trends, and three betting angles worth exploring before the weekend kicks off.
Best NFL trends for Week 7
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| Trend | Pick |
|---|---|
 CLE vs  TEN• TEN is 0-12 ATS after a win. |
|
 NO vs  PIT• NO is 8-2 ATS as an underdog. |
|
 KC vs  SEA• The Under is 12-3 in Kansas City's last 15 games. |
Under 42.5
53% |
Percentages courtesy of Kalshi, one of the best prediction market apps.
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Browns vs Titans trends
Trend: Titans are 0-12 SU and ATS in their last 12 games following an outright win
Why it matters for Week 7: The Tennessee Titans finally won a game, but this is precisely the spot where backing them has been a financial disaster.
Week 7 pick: Browns -1.5
The Titans won! Now comes the part where we fade them.
This skid began on November 27, 2022, and Sunday's escape against Indianapolis hardly convinced me Tennessee has turned a corner. The Titans trailed by 13 at halftime, were outgained by 213 yards, and possessed the ball for just 21:28. Three Colts turnovers and massive special teams plays handed them a lifeline, while Cam Ward completed just 11 passes for 102 yards.
That's a win you shove in your pocket before someone starts asking questions.
The Cleveland Browns aren't winning any beauty contests either, but their defense gets my vote. Cleveland ranks second in sacks, giving Ward another difficult assignment. Tennessee has scored just 33 points across three home games. Good luck building a winning streak with that.
Steelers vs Saints trends
Trend: Saints are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog
Why it matters for Week 7: The New Orleans Saints keep rewarding bettors who take the points, and Pittsburgh hasn't earned my trust to pull away.
Week 7 pick: Saints +3.5
Nothing says Sunday morning quite like NFL football in France. Pour the coffee, grab a croissant, and give me the points. (Save the wine for later.)
The Pittsburgh Steelers have been maddeningly inconsistent, going 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following an outright win. I'm not rushing to pay a premium for another Steelers victory.
Meanwhile, the Saints know how to play up to the competition. Their offense ranks eighth on third down and second in red-zone touchdown rate, keeping drives alive and finishing them with six points.
We've already seen that scrappiness travel. New Orleans pushed Detroit to overtime and beat Baltimore outright, covering in both games.
The Saints don't need to become world-beaters in Paris. They just need to keep throwing punches and stay within three points.
Chiefs vs Seahawks trends
Trend: Kansas City's last 15 games are 12-3 to the Under
Why it matters for Week 7: Two of the league's top defenses can drag this matchup into the kind of grind Under bettors love.
Week 7 pick: Under 42.5
The Seattle Seahawks rank first in yards allowed per play, with the Kansas City Chiefs sixth. Both defenses also rank inside the Top 10 on third down. With Seattle at home on extra rest, this is the stiffest test of the season for the Chiefs' offense, and it's not especially close.
Kansas City can dish out punishment, too, having held three opponents to 10 points or fewer this season.
That's bad news for Sam Darnold, who already has seven interceptions in five starts and has been sacked 13 times across his last three games. Seattle's offense has shrunk under the bright lights, managing just 27 points in two primetime appearances.
The quarterbacks will get their tires pumped all night by Cris Collinsworth, but I'll take the defenses and the Under.
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Other notable NFL trends for Week 7
Packers vs. Lions matchup page
🟢 The Detroit Lions have gone Over in seven straight home games
Back Over 53.5 vs. the Green Bay Packers.
Rams vs. Raiders matchup page
🟢 The Los Angeles Rams are 9-1 to the Over in their last 10 road games
Back Over 48.5 vs. the Las Vegas Raiders.
Broncos vs. Cardinals matchup page
🔴 The Denver Broncos are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 road games
Avoid Denver Broncos -4.5.
Buccaneers vs. Panthers matchup page
🔴 The Carolina Panthers are 3-7 SU and ATS as favorites since 2022
Avoid the Panthers -3.5.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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