NFL survivor pools have long been a popular content for football fans, but what if you took a survivor pool... and made it for touchdowns?
Well, we've got the answer, as we run our first Covers NFL expert survivor pool!
Eight of our brightest football minds draft one player each week to find paydirt. Heading into Week 6, three experts are on the brink of elimination with two strikes already... while one expert remains unblemished — follow along with our team's selections this week as we look to go a perfect 8/8... and tail the NFL TD picks you also think will deliver!
Covers NFL Touchdown Survivor rules
- Random draft order each week for player selection (two analysts cannot have the same player in the same week).
- Each analyst chooses one player. Once he's selected, they cannot select him again this year.
- If your pick is correct: Gold star. If your pick is wrong: You get a strike.
- Three strikes... and you're out of the competition.
Covers NFL TD Survivor Picks: Week 6
| Draft No. | Expert Pick |  Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Joe Osborne  Javonte Williams |
64% |
| 2 | Jason Logan Jonathan Taylor |
70% |
| 3 | Dustin Saracini Christian McCaffrey |
72% |
| 4 | Chris Vasile Bijan Robinson |
70% |
| 5 | Josh Inglis Kyren Williams |
65% |
| 6 | Jon MetlerDavante Adams |
53% |
| 7 | Neil Parker Dalton Kincaid |
35% |
| 8 | Rob Paul Kenneth Walker III |
61% |
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Joe Osborne's TD play: Javonte Williams 64%
Week 6 draft spot: No. 1
Williams already has seven touchdowns on the season and draws a Packers defense that's allowed nine TDs to the running back position, while ranking 31st in red zone defense. No further explanation required.
Jason Logan's TD play: Jonathan Taylor 70%
Week 6 draft spot: No. 2
Taylor gets his favorite foe this week in the Titans, as he has scored eight total TDs in his last three matchups with Tennessee. JT didn't score last week, and he rarely goes two straight games without cracking the end zone.
Dustin Saracini's TD play: Christian McCaffrey 72%
Week 6 draft spot: No. 3
With my back against the wall, I'm taking the Swiss Army knife in San Francisco. The Niners are averaging 30 points per game and own the best red-zone offense in football. I’ll ride with him against Washington.
Chris Vasile's TD play: Bijan Robinson 70%
Week 6 draft spot: No. 4
He leads the NFL with 580 rushing yards through five games and has already logged 20 red-zone carries. His ability to score on the ground, or through the air, gives him multiple paths to the end zone against Chicago.
More NFL touchdown picks at Covers
Josh Inglis' TD play: Kyren Williams 65%
Week 6 draft spot: No. 5
Letting this guy slip this low was a mistake by my co-workers.
Williams has the highest TD probability, per THE BLITZ, despite the fourth-highest implied probability on his price.
He's playing indoors vs. the Cardinals, and drew 73% of the snaps last week. Even with all the throwing Stafford is doing, Williams is heavily involved with 28 (!) targets over the last three games.
Jon Metler's TD play: Davante Adams 53%
Week 6 draft spot: No. 6
The Rams are going to live in the red zone against this Cardinals defense. Sitting at 2-3, this is a classic "get-right" spot, where LA runs up the score to reset the locker room vibes.
Adams is fresh off a 2-TD game and remains one of the most lethal red-zone weapons this league has ever seen.
Neil Parker's TD play: Dalton Kincaid 35%
Week 6 draft spot: No. 7
Buffalo is going to have its way in Sin City, and that includes Josh Allen gifting Kincaid a touchdown on his birthday homecoming to Vegas.
The Raiders have already allowed six touchdowns (and the third-highest catch rate) to tight ends, and Bills head coach Joe Brady wants Kincaid more involved in Week 6.
Rob Paul's TD play: Kenneth Walker III 61%
Week 6 draft spot: No. 8
I've got the last pick for the third time in five weeks — and two strikes against me — so I can't mess around.
Walker has six TDs in four games, leads the NFL in forced missed tackles (39), and should be fresh coming off a bye. Plus, the Chargers are tied for the third-most rushing TDs allowed (7).
How this week's draft order was decided
We're breaking the rules and talking Fight Club. Our analysts took it to the basement for our Week 6 Covers Anytime TD Survivor Draft 🏈 Credit: https://t.co/V4rypMKKVj https://t.co/gp5K0dus4u
— Covers.com (@Covers) October 15, 2026
Week 6 TD combo: Covers Survivor Pool edition
Let's put some extra juice into tailing our touchdown survivor picks! Put our TD picks together in a combo, with this week equaling a 44.9 payout!
Javonte Williams
Jonathan Taylor
Christian McCaffrey
Bijan Robinson
Kyren Williams
Davante Adams
Dalton Kincaird
Kenneth Walker III
Covers Weekly TD Survivor tracker
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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