The latest chapter in one of the NFL's fiercest rivalries takes center stage on Sunday Night Football as the Pittsburgh Steelers visit the Cincinnati Bengals at Paycor Stadium, with sole possession of first place in the AFC North on the line.
Our Steelers vs. Bengals expert picks and NFL picks envision an opportunity for tight ends on each team to flourish, with the Steelers covering as road underdogs. It should be an exciting evening featuring two teams that are 6-2 and riding four-game winning streaks.
Steelers vs Bengals expert picks
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| Expert Pick |  Probability |
|---|---|
 Jason Logan: Mike Gesicki 25+ receiving yards |
51% |
 Josh Inglis: Pat Freiermuth touchdown |
20% |
 Joe Osborne: Steelers +3.5 |
52% |
 Jon Metler: Tee Higgins touchdown |
46% |
Percentages courtesy of Kalshi, one of the best prediction market apps.
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Jason Logan’s expert pick: Mike Gesicki 25+ receiving yards
The Pittsburgh Steelers have allowed the 15th-most receiving yards to tight ends despite facing the fifth-fewest targets. Cincinnati Bengals tight end Mike Gesicki caught all three balls thrown his way for 37 yards in the Week 3 matchup with the Steelers. Projections for Sunday night are very bullish for Gesicki, with all models north of 25 yards and a ceiling flirting with 40 yards. My number on him comes out to 33+ yards in Week 10.
Josh Inglis' expert pick: Pat Freiermuth touchdown
I’m on Pat Freiermuth at 4.17x in one of the best tight end matchups in football and would play him down to 3.85x. The Steelers are coming off their bye and face a Cincinnati defense that allows the fourth-most receiving yards to opposing tight ends leaguewide. The Bengals are also returning from Spain without the benefit of a bye.
Darnell Washington is getting his, but Freiermuth still leads comfortably in target share and has double the air-yard share of his backup. Both players get plenty of red-zone work, but Freiermuth has already logged four red-zone touchdowns this season, tied for second among tight ends. He’s the Pittsburgh TE I’m backing at this price.
Joe Osborne's expert pick: Steelers +3.5
The vibes are high in Cincinnati heading into SNF, but people seem to have short memories when it comes to this Bengals team. Don’t forget, they’re just two weeks removed from needing overtime to beat the Tennessee Titans at home.
Pittsburgh already beat Cincinnati in Week 3, winning the yards-per-play battle 7.0 to 6.3. The Steelers are also coming off their bye, giving them a significant rest advantage over a Bengals team that played in Spain last week. I like Pittsburgh to take advantage and keep this affair tight.
Jon Metler’s expert pick: Tee Higgins touchdown
I’ll back Tee Higgins at 46% to score a touchdown, as I price his chances closer to 53% against the Pittsburgh Steelers on Sunday Night Football. This matchup comes down to Pittsburgh’s tendency to shade coverage toward Ja’Marr Chase and bracket him with safety help. That leaves Higgins with more isolated opportunities on the boundary, where Joe Burrow can give him chances to win jump balls and use his size and ability to high-point the football.
How to watch Steelers vs Bengals
| Location | Paycor Stadium, Cincinnati, OH |
| Date | Sunday, Nov. 15, 2026 |
| Kickoff | 8:20 p.m. ET |
| TV | NBC |
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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