Seahawks vs Chiefs Week 16 Picks and Predictions: Welcome to the Red Kingdom

Seattle is starting to fall apart at the seams and its leaky run defense will play a major factor in why their losing ways will continue. But what is our best bet? Find out in our Seahawks vs. Chiefs betting picks.

Last Updated: Dec 24, 2022 8:18 AM ET Read Time: 4 min
Patrick Mahomes Isiah Pacheco Kansas City Chiefs NFL
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

The Kansas City Chiefs enter Sunday with a superb 11-3 record, coming off an overtime win in Houston last week. The Chiefs have won their last two and will now face a Seattle team that is coming back down to earth fast. 

The Seahawks are losers of four of their last five, as the Hawks have plummeted down to 7-7 on the season and are no longer in possession of a Wild Card spot. 

Can Seattle get back on track, or will KC continue its dominance on Christmas Eve? Find out in our free NFL picks and predictions for Seahawks vs. Chiefs on December 24. 

Seahawks vs Chiefs best odds

Seahawks vs Chiefs picks and predictions

Patrick Mahomes is once again an MVP season for the Kansas City Chiefs, as the superstar quarterback leads the league in both passing yards (4,496) and passing touchdowns (11). 

However, the Chiefs have also found success on the ground, and that's enabling them to pick secondaries apart off play action. Kansas City ranks fifth in yards per rush and fifth in play-action yards per attempt this season. 

The combo of rookie Isiah Pacheco and Jerick McKinnon has been an answer for Clyde Edwards-Helaire's letdown, as the two running backs most recently combined for 138 rushing yards on 25 carries in Week 15. 

This time around, they'll get the chance to put up big numbers against a Seattle Seahawks run defense that ranks second-last in yards allowed on the ground per contest (161.1). To make matters worse for Seattle, it'll be without starting nose tackle Al Woods in this one. 

Weather is expected to be around -10 at Arrowhead Stadium on Saturday, which means Mahomes should be handing the ball off more often than usual. Take Pacheco and McKinnon to carve the Seahawks up on the ground and for Mahomes to go Under his passing yards total. 

My best bet: Patrick Mahomes Under 299.5 passing yards (-114)

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Seahawks vs Chiefs spread analysis

The Chiefs are catching the Seahawks at a perfect time. Not only are the Hawks in the midst of their worst stretch of the season, but Seattle is banged up at numerous key spots.

Wide receiver Tyler Lockett suffered a broken finger last week against the 49ers and won't be available on Saturday. Lockett has been Geno Smith's favorite receiver this season, accounting for 38% of the quarterback's passing yards through 14 games.

Meanwhile, rookie running back Kenneth Walker III was a DNP at practice earlier this week, and backup DeeJay Dallas has been limited as well. 

Smith has a passer rating of just 88.6 over his last two games. With Geno's favorite weapon now out and facing a Chiefs defense that suffocates the rush, Seattle could be in for a long day on both sides of the ball. 

Expect this game to be over by halftime and for KC to successfully cover the double-digit spread.

Seahawks vs Chiefs Over/Under analysis

The total opened at 48 and has been bet up to 49.5 as of Thursday afternoon. Anytime the Chiefs are involved, casual bettors love to hammer the Over, and our Covers Consensus page currently shows that 65% of the public is riding with the Over. 

However, the Under is 4-0 in the Chiefs' last four home games, and it's also 11-4 in the Seahawks' last 15 vs. a team with a winning record.

With the temperature below freezing on Saturday, I expect this trend to continue. Mix in Seattle being seriously banged up on offense, and Kansas City likely to keep the ball on the ground on offense?

Take the Under and run. 

Seahawks vs Chiefs betting trend to know

Seattle is 0-5 ATS in its last five games overall. Find more NFL betting trends for Seahawks vs. Chiefs.

Seahawks vs Chiefs game info

Location: Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, MO
Date: Saturday, December 24, 2022
Kickoff: 1:00 p.m. ET
Opening odds: Chiefs -9.5, 48 O/U

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Seahawks vs Chiefs weather

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