Saquon Barkley Next Team Odds: Will Giants Let Barkley Walk?

Saquon Barkley is one of the best running backs in the NFL when he's healthy, but injuries have plagued him over most of his six-season career. Will the Giants cut bait with their former No. 2 overall draft pick?

Feb 9, 2024 • 11:45 ET • 4 min read
Saquon Barkley New York Giants NFL
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Saquon Barkley could be one of the most coveted free agents in the NFL this offseason, as he would represent an upgrade at running back for the vast majority of the other 31 teams in the league. The New York Giants could still franchise tag Barkley for a second time, and that's why they're the clear-cut favorites when looking at the NFL odds for Saquon Barkley's next team.

I'm taking a look at the market for Saquon's next squad and making my NFL picks as I try to identify a long shot that might swoop in and lure Barkley away should he test free agency.

Saquon Barkley next team odds

Team DraftKings
Giants New York Giants -150
Texans Houston Texans +220
Chargers Los Angeles Chargers +500
Eagles Philadelphia Eagles +1,600
Bears Chicago Bears +2,200
Vikings Minnesota Vikings +2,200
Cowboys Dallas Cowboys +2,500
Ravens Baltimore Ravens +2,500
Titans Tennessee Titans +2,500
Raiders Las Vegas Raiders +3,000

Odds as of February 9, 2024.

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Saquon Barkley's situation at a glance

Saquon Barkley will be 27 when he enters his seventh season in the NFL in 2024. Injuries both major and minor have plagued Barkley over his first six seasons, as he's suited up for a full 16 games only twice, and just once since winning Offensive Rookie of the Year in 2018. He missed all but two games in 2020 with a torn ACL.

Barkley's rookie deal expired at the end of 2022 — his second-ever 16-game season — but the New York Giants hit him with the franchise tag to ensure he wouldn't get away. Like many players, Barkley wasn't happy with getting tagged, and he's far from ecstatic about it potentially happening again.

“They did it last year. So I’m numb to it. I don’t have any feelings toward that at all,” Barkley told the media when the Giants’ season ended. “If you’re gonna do it, just don’t wait until March 5. Just get it over with. If not, let me go. Simple.” 

Both parties eventually negotiated a one-year deal for 2023 and that could happen again. A multi-year deal is also a possibility, even if the Giants decide to tag the Penn State product a second time.

Barkley has averaged nearly 99 scrimmage yards per game over 74 career starts with 47 all-purpose touchdowns. The magic number for running backs in the NFL is 30, and Barkley is still a few years below that mark, so he should have his fair share of suitors in the open market.

Saquon Barkley's next team favorites

New York Giants (-150)

Big Blue is in the driver's seat in the race for Barkley because they still have the franchise tag in their back pocket. The reason this line isn't shorter is that the Giants were such a mess in 2023 that they want to make some wholesale changes.

Barkley could be seen as a luxury New York can't afford if they try to plug up the holes in their leaky offensive line and get Daniel Jones some decent wide receivers to work with. The Giants are 17th in available cap space going into the offseason, including the potential $11.3 million owed to Barkley on the franchise tag.

Houston Texans (+220)

PFF believes that Barkley would be a natural fit with the Houston Texans. The running back tandem of Devin Singletary and Dameon Pierce overachieved in 2023 but still hit a wall in crunch time as they were sent packing by the Baltimore Ravens in the Divisional Round.

Assuming the kid gloves come off, 2023 Rookie of the Year C.J. Stroud is poised to drop back more often next season. Barkley can help in the pass-blocking game and serve as an invaluable outlet in the flat for Stroud.

Saquon Barkley next team odds pick

New York Giants (-150)

The Giants have all the bargaining power thanks to the franchise tag. 

Barkley has often said that he wants to be a Giant for life, and the appeal of the New York marketplace when it comes to endorsement deals could definitely play a role in Barkley deciding to stay. PFF has projected a two-year, $22 million deal for Barkley in the open market, and the Giants are not that cash-strapped that they couldn't make that deal if they wanted to. 

However, if forced to bet on a long shot, I would consider sprinkling something on the Tennessee Titans at +2,500.

Change is coming in Nashville with Brian Callahan taking over as head coach from Mike Vrabel. Running back Derrick Henry said his goodbyes like a man who is on his way out, and quarterback Ryan Tannehill could also be on the move, or benched in favor of Will Levis again.

The Titans have the third-most cap room of any NFL team, so if Barkley is looking to break the bank and get in on the ground floor with a dark-horse playoff contender, Tennessee looks like the wisest destination.

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