Thursday Night Football Computer Picks: Our Best Week 16 Player Prop Projections

Our best Rams vs. Seahawks computer picks for tonight like Over for the skill-position players, including L.A.'s breakout tight end Colby Parkinson.

Jared Hochman - Content Operations Manager at Covers.com
Jared Hochman • Content Manager
Dec 18, 2025 • 08:12 ET • 4 min read
Rams vs Seahawks computer picks Colby Parkinson
Photo By - Imagn Images. Los Angeles Rams tight end Colby Parkinson (84) scores a touchdown against the Seattle Seahawks.

Week 16 kicks off with a battle for NFC West supremacy as the Seattle Seahawks visit the Los Angeles Rams.

Our NFL player projections have picked out the best TNF prop values for tonight's game, which involves betting the Over for all the star skill position players.

Rams vs Seahawks computer picks for Thursday Night Football

Rams Rams Seahawks Seahawks
Stafford o229.5 pass
-110
Darnold o225.5 pass
-110
Williams o55.5 rush
-115
Walker o45.5 rush
-110
Nacua o92.5 rec
-110
Smith-Njigba o88.5 rec
-110
Parkinson o39.5 rec
-115
Barner o30.5 rec
-110
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Rams TNF computer picks

Matthew Stafford Over 229.5 passing yards (-110)

Projection: 263.95 yards

Stafford has topped this number in four straight games, and six of his last seven, with our projections expecting him to have another big game tonight.

Alternate-total bet
250+ yards (+155) - This prop shows incredible value.

Bet Stafford passing yards now at bet365!

Kyren Williams Over 55.5 rushing yards (-115)

Projection: 57.6 yards

Our projections put the Rams RB just above his posted total, a number he's also hit in six of his last seven contests.

Bet Williams rushing yards now at bet365!

Puka Nacua Over 92.5 receiving yards (-110)

Projection: 95.54 yards

Nacua has 348 yards in his last two games (and 97+ in three of his last four), and we're forecasting him to finish in the mid-90s tonight.

Bet Nacua receiving yards now at bet365!

Colby Parkinson Over 39.5 receiving yards (-115)

Projection: 47.3 yards

Los Angeles' TE has hit the Over in five straight games, with our projections expecting him to make it six straight this evening.

Bet Parkinson receiving yards now at bet365!


More Thursday Night Football picks from Covers


Seahawks TNF computer picks

Sam Darnold Over 225.5 passing yards (-110)

Projection: 243.8 yards

The Seattle QB has gone Over this number in four of his last five outings, and our projections expect him to finish past this total tonight.

Bet Darnold passing yards now at bet365!

Kenneth Walker III Over 45.5 rushing yards (-110)

Projection: 57.3 yards

Walker has struggled in his last two games, but our projections see him bouncing back in this prime-time divisional showdown.

Bet Walker rushing yards now at bet365!

Jaxon Smith-Njigba Over 88.5 receiving yards (-110)

Projection: 95.04 yards

JSN has topped this total in 12/14 games this season. It's a tough matchup, but we expect the star receiver to finish above this line yet again.

Bet JSN receiving yards now at bet365!

A.J. Barner Over 30.5 receiving yards (-110)

Projection: 36.6 yards

We're projecting the Seahawks' TE to chip in tonight, going Over his receiving total in the process.

Bet Barner receiving yards now at bet365!

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Jared Hochman Content Operations Manager at Covers.com
Content Manager

Before Jared Hochman joined the Covers team in 2020, he worked for newspaper outlets such as the Chronicle Herald and The Coast, worked in marketing for SkipTheDishes and Vivid Seats, and previously ran a magazine. A journalism graduate from the University of King's College in, Halifax, N.S., "Hoch" brings more than a decade of experience in sports betting, having worked as a freelance handicapper, making appearances on Monumental Sports Network and the Sharp 600 podcast, and now also filling in occasionally as host of Covers' NHL Puck Props. 

Awarded Covers' company MVP for 2023, Jared is an avid bettor of MLB, NFL, NHL, and NBA, while also wagering on some soccer and WNBA. His best advice for sports bettors? Price shop, which is something he does daily across 10 different sportsbook apps.

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