Thursday Night Football Computer Picks: Our Best Week 13 Player Prop Projections

Our NFL player prop projections love Ja'Marr Chase's chances of having a big game tonight, highlighting our best computer picks for TNF.

Jared Hochman - Content Operations Manager at Covers.com
Jared Hochman • Content Manager
Nov 27, 2025 • 08:47 ET • 4 min read
Bengals vs Ravens computer picks Ja'Marr Chase
Photo By - Imagn Images. Cincinnati Bengals wide receiver Ja'Marr Chase (1) runs after a catch as Baltimore Ravens inside linebacker Roquan Smith (0) defends.

The nightcap of a Thanksgiving Day tripleheader is an AFC North grudge match between the Cincinnati Bengals and Baltimore Ravens, including the return of Bengals star QB Joe Burrow.

Our NFL player prop projections have identified the best TNF props for Thanksgiving, including the biggest beneficiary of Burrow's return — wide receiver Ja'Marr Chase — having a big game in prime time.

Bengals vs Ravens computer picks for Thursday Night Football

Bengals Bengals Ravens Ravens
Burrow o260.5 pass
-110
Jackson o232.5 pass
-110
Brown o18.5 rec
-110
Henry o5.5 rec
-110
Chase o91.5 rec
-110
Flowers o68.5 rec
-110
Gesicki o34.5 rec
-110
Andrews o42.5 rec
-110
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Bengals TNF computer picks

Joe Burrow Over 260.5 passing yards (-110)

Projection: 292.2 yards

Burrow hasn't played since Week 2, but our projections expect him to make a splash in his return tonight.

Alternate-total bet
275+ yards (+135) - This prop shows very strong value.
300+ yards (+300) - The alt-total shows a small level of value.

Chase Brown Over 18.5 receiving yards (-110)

Projection: 23.1 yards

Brown has topped 20 receiving yards in four straight games and six of his last eight, and our projections expect him to finish above that mark again tonight.

Ja'Marr Chase Over 91.5 receiving yards (-110)

Projection: 103.4 yards

No Tee Higgins + Burrow's return + an iffy Ravens pass defense = a monster projection for Chase tonight.

Alternate-total bet
100+ yards (+120) - This prop shows good value.

Mike Gesicki Over 34.5 receiving yards (-110)

Projection: 38.8 yards

Cincy's TE should also benefit from Higgins' absence, as we project him to just finish above his yardage total.


More Thursday Night Football picks from Covers


Ravens TNF computer picks

Lamar Jackson Over 232.5 passing yards (-110)

Projection: 244 yards

Lamar has not looked like himself since returning from injury, but we're projecting him to finally break out against the worst defense in the NFL.

Derrick Henry Over 5.5 receiving yards (-110)

Projection: 13.2 yards

Our projections aren't big on King Henry's rushing yards, but it does like him to top a tiny receiving total for the fourth straight game.

Zay Flowers Over 68.5 receiving yards (-110)

Projection: 76.2 yards

We're also forecasting a solid night for the Ravens' WR1, topping a modest yardage total against the pitiful Bengals secondary.

Mark Andrews Over 42.5 receiving yards (-110)

Projection: 43.3 yards

The same goes for the veteran TE Andrews, as we're projecting him right above his posted total.

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Jared Hochman Content Operations Manager at Covers.com
Content Manager

Before Jared Hochman joined the Covers team in 2020, he worked for newspaper outlets such as the Chronicle Herald and The Coast, worked in marketing for SkipTheDishes and Vivid Seats, and previously ran a magazine. A journalism graduate from the University of King's College in, Halifax, N.S., "Hoch" brings more than a decade of experience in sports betting, having worked as a freelance handicapper, making appearances on Monumental Sports Network and the Sharp 600 podcast, and now also filling in occasionally as host of Covers' NHL Puck Props. 

Awarded Covers' company MVP for 2023, Jared is an avid bettor of MLB, NFL, NHL, and NBA, while also wagering on some soccer and WNBA. His best advice for sports bettors? Price shop, which is something he does daily across 10 different sportsbook apps.

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