The nightcap of a Thanksgiving Day tripleheader is an AFC North grudge match between the Cincinnati Bengals and Baltimore Ravens, including the return of Bengals star QB Joe Burrow.
Our NFL player prop projections have identified the best TNF props for Thanksgiving, including the biggest beneficiary of Burrow's return — wide receiver Ja'Marr Chase — having a big game in prime time.
Bengals vs Ravens computer picks for Thursday Night Football
| Burrow o260.5 pass -110 |
Jackson o232.5 pass -110 |
| Brown o18.5 rec -110 |
Henry o5.5 rec -110 |
| Chase o91.5 rec -110 |
Flowers o68.5 rec -110 |
| Gesicki o34.5 rec -110 |
Andrews o42.5 rec -110 |

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Bengals TNF computer picks
Joe Burrow Over 260.5 passing yards (-110)
Projection: 292.2 yards
Burrow hasn't played since Week 2, but our projections expect him to make a splash in his return tonight.
Alternate-total bet
275+ yards (+135) - This prop shows very strong value.
300+ yards (+300) - The alt-total shows a small level of value.
Chase Brown Over 18.5 receiving yards (-110)
Projection: 23.1 yards
Brown has topped 20 receiving yards in four straight games and six of his last eight, and our projections expect him to finish above that mark again tonight.
Ja'Marr Chase Over 91.5 receiving yards (-110)
Projection: 103.4 yards
No Tee Higgins + Burrow's return + an iffy Ravens pass defense = a monster projection for Chase tonight.
Alternate-total bet
100+ yards (+120) - This prop shows good value.
Mike Gesicki Over 34.5 receiving yards (-110)
Projection: 38.8 yards
Cincy's TE should also benefit from Higgins' absence, as we project him to just finish above his yardage total.
More Thursday Night Football picks from Covers
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Ravens TNF computer picks
Lamar Jackson Over 232.5 passing yards (-110)
Projection: 244 yards
Lamar has not looked like himself since returning from injury, but we're projecting him to finally break out against the worst defense in the NFL.
Derrick Henry Over 5.5 receiving yards (-110)
Projection: 13.2 yards
Our projections aren't big on King Henry's rushing yards, but it does like him to top a tiny receiving total for the fourth straight game.
Zay Flowers Over 68.5 receiving yards (-110)
Projection: 76.2 yards
We're also forecasting a solid night for the Ravens' WR1, topping a modest yardage total against the pitiful Bengals secondary.
Mark Andrews Over 42.5 receiving yards (-110)
Projection: 43.3 yards
The same goes for the veteran TE Andrews, as we're projecting him right above his posted total.
Not intended for use in MA.
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