The Dallas Cowboys, anointed by some as the best team in the NFL just a few weeks ago, have lost their luster following two straight losses. Those came on the road, where Dallas has struggled all season, and they came to two quality opponents in the Bills and Dolphins.
The Cowboys will now return home, where they’re unbeaten in seven games this season, but waiting for them in the Week 17 odds will be a strong Lions team which has gone an impressive 6-2 away from home this season.
Without further ado, let’s break down the SNF odds and give you our best NFL picks for this special edition of Saturday Night Football.
Don't forget to look at our full-game Lions vs. Cowboys predictions, as well as our Dak Prescott odds spotlight.
Lions vs Cowboys Saturday Night Football props
- Cooks anytime TD (+175 at BetMGM)
- Prescott Under 0.5 interceptions (-110 at DraftKings)
- Gibbs Over 50.5 rushing yards (-110 at BetMGM)
Picks made on December 29 at 8:00 p.m. ET.
Read full analysis of each pick.
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Lions vs Cowboys Saturday Night Football props
Prop bet #1: Cookin on Saturday
My first look in this game is going to be at one of the Dallas Cowboys’ receivers to take the top off of this Detroit Lions secondary, which has ranked 24th in EPA per dropback this season and 26th in dropback success rate. I expect the Cowboys to do a lot of passing, particularly without the services of Rico Dowdle to spell Tony Pollard, and Brandin Cooks is the guy I want to target.
Yes, Cooks was very quiet against the Dolphins last week with just a pair of catches on two targets for 14 yards, but I expect him to get free for a score in this one. He draws the best matchup of any Cowboys receiver in this one, playing on the outside against Khalil Dorsey who grades out incredibly poorly according to PFF.
Cooks has caught a touchdown in six of his last 10 games, and while it may be a scary thought to back him to score given he has just two catches in each of his last three contests, he’s clearly a focal point of this passing attack with roughly five targets per game over his last seven. I expect Dak Prescott to look his way as the Cowboys enter Lions territory, and given this matchup I think he’ll burn Dorsey at least once and get free for a score, using his game-breaking speed.
Brandin Cooks prop: Anytime TD (+175 at BetMGM)
Prop bet #2: Dak attack
The Lions rank just 21st in takeaways per game this season and 14th in interceptions per game on defense, which makes it hard to see the Lions picking off Dak Prescott in this one.
Prescott has been extremely careful with the football, throwing just seven interceptions this season and just one over the last six games. Getting him just shy of even money to go yet another game without an interception is a deal I simply can’t pass up, and it’s stunning to see Detroit ranked this poorly in interception rate given it just picked off four passes a week ago.
That was against Nick Mullens, however, and Prescott is a far smarter signal-caller than a career backup. Before that one, Detroit had just one pick in its last five games, and I expect things to return to normal in a game where Prescott should carve up this struggling secondary.
Dak Prescott prop: Under 0.5 interceptions (-110 at DraftKings)
Prop bet #3: Gibb me all the yards
For all the havoc that this Dallas front seven has wreaked, most of it has come in the passing game. It's been able to get to the quarterback quickly, allowing its strong secondary to do its job and put together one of the best defenses in the league.
Against the run, Dallas has struggled this season, ranking 14th in success rate on the ground. They’re 18th in the league in yards per carry, allowing 4.2 per tote, and with that, I think Jahmyr Gibbs is in an excellent spot to keep his hot streak going.
Gibbs has eclipsed 50 yards in five straight and has only failed to do so in four of his 13 games this season. The Lions may need to throw a bunch to get back in this game late, and it’s true that David Montgomery has encroached on Gibbs’ touches at points this season, but the Dallas defense has still struggled enough against the run to trust Gibbs to have a strong showing here. Keep in mind, too, that Gibbs commanded 58% of the snaps last week and his excellent performance has solidified his position as the lead back for Detroit.
Jahmyr Gibbs prop: Over 50.5 rushing yards (-110 at BetMGM)
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